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Match Prediction

Gornik Zabrze vs Korona Kielce Prediction

Finished
Poland flag Poland
Ekstraklasa

Gornik Zabrze

€14.10m

24 May11:30
1 : 1

Korona Kielce

€9.60m

Preview

Gornik Zabrze vs Korona Kielce Prediction Ekstraklasa

Gornik Zabrze vs Korona Kielce Prediction: A Tight Mid-Table Battle

As the Ekstraklasa season nears its climax, the Gornik Zabrze vs Korona Kielce prediction becomes a focal point for fans and sports betting enthusiasts alike. With just two points separating these mid-table rivals, the stakes are higher than they appear. Scheduled for May 24, 2025, at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, this match promises tactical intrigue and potential late-season momentum shifts.

The Stakes: More Than Just Three Points

While neither team is fighting for the title, the psychological edge of finishing higher in the table matters. Gornik Zabrze (8th, 46 pts) and Korona Kielce (11th, 44 pts) are close enough for this game to redefine their season endings. A win for Gornik could push them toward the top half, while Korona will aim to distance themselves from the lower-mid-table scramble.

Recent Form: Contrasting Stories

Gornik’s recent 1-1 draw against Legia Warszawa showcased their ability to compete with stronger sides, but their inconsistency at home raises questions. On the other hand, Korona’s gritty 1-1 draw against Raków Częstochowa—a game where they were heavy underdogs—proves their resilience. This head-to-head could hinge on which version of these teams shows up.

Tactical Breakdown: Stats Tell the Tale

The numbers paint a picture of a balanced but tense encounter:

  • Possession: Gornik is projected to dominate with 58%, but Korona’s counter-attacking style could exploit gaps.
  • Shots: Gornik’s 14 shots (5 on target) vs. Korona’s 12 (4 on target) suggest a tight defensive battle.
  • Corners: A 6-4 edge for Gornik hints at their slightly higher attacking pressure.

Betting Odds and AI Insights

The betting odds reflect the evenly matched nature of this duel. Gornik’s home win is priced at 2.07, a draw at 3.65, and a Korona upset at 3.25. The AI’s top recommendation—1X (home win or draw) at 1.33 odds—carries modest confidence (2.0/10), suggesting cautious optimism for Gornik. Meanwhile, the under 3.65 goals prediction (1.42 odds) aligns with Ekstraklasa’s low-scoring trends, where only 27.3% of games exceed that mark.

Historical Context: What the Data Says

Ekstraklasa’s 44.3% home-win rate justifies Gornik’s slight favoritism, while the 51.8% ‘both teams to score’ rate supports the projected 1-1 scoreline. Their last head-to-head—a 3-1 Gornik victory in February 2024—adds psychological weight, but Korona’s recent defensive improvements suggest a tighter game this time.

Key Contradictions to Watch

Gornik’s expected possession dominance contrasts with the low-scoring prediction. Will their control translate into goals, or will Korona’s compact defense frustrate them? Similarly, Korona’s ability to defy betting odds (like their Raków result) makes them a wildcard.

Final Predictions and Betting Tips

For those diving into sports betting, here’s the actionable insight:

  1. 1X (Home Win or Draw): At 1.33 odds, this is a safer play given Gornik’s slight edge.
  2. Under 3.65 Goals: The stats and league trends heavily support this at 1.42 odds.

Referee TBD—let’s hope the officiating isn’t as unpredictable as Korona’s recent results. Whether you’re here for the Gornik Zabrze vs Korona Kielce prediction or the sheer drama of a mid-table scrap, this game won’t disappoint.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Meaningless match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Gornik Zabrze vs Korona Kielce

1X -303

Gornik Zabrze to win or draw with odds of -303
2/10

1x2 Tip

1X -303

Gornik Zabrze to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -200

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
1/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -189

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -154

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:1

Stats Predictions

58%
Ball Possession
42%
14
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Goal
4
5
Shots Off Goal
5
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

2.2
Total Goals
3
1.2
Goals Scored
1.5
1
Goals Against
1.5
55%
Possession
48%
12.1
Total Shots
14.4
4.6
Shots on Goal
4.2
4.1
Shots off Goal
6.4
9.3
Fouls
10.3
5
Corners
4.3
1.4
Offsides
0.9
1.9
Yellow Cards
1.78
0
Red Cards
0
454
Total Passes
342

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
4
8
Over 1.5 Goals
10
5
Over 2.5 Goals
6
1
Over 3.5 Goals
3
5
Both Teams Scored
9
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Gornik Zabrze
7 - 4 - 1
Korona Kielce
Gornik Zabrze Gornik 24-May-25
1:1
Korona K Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce Korona K 01-Dec-24
2:4
Gornik Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze Gornik 19-Feb-24
3:1
Korona K Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce Korona K 12-Aug-23
0:1
Gornik Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze Gornik 06-Apr-23
1:1
Korona K Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce Korona K 18-Sep-22
1:2
Gornik Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze Gornik 19-Jun-20
3:2
Korona K Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce Korona K 08-Feb-20
0:0
Gornik Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze Gornik 25-Aug-19
3:0
Korona K Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce Korona K 18-May-19
0:3
Gornik Gornik Zabrze

Profile time Recent Matches of Gornik

05 DecL Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdans.
5:2
Gornik Zabrz. Gornik Zabrze
02 DecW Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdans.
1:3
Gornik Zabrz. Gornik Zabrze

Profile time Recent Matches of Korona K

08 DecKorona Kielce Korona Kielc.
-
Wisla Plock.Wisla Plock
04 DecDChojniczanka Chojniczanka.
1:1
Korona Kielc.Korona Kielce

Poland - Ekstraklasa Poland - Ekstraklasa

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan34
68-31
70
2 Raków Częstochowa Raków Często34
51-23
69
3 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia34
56-42
61
4 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin34
59-40
58
5 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa34
60-45
54
6 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krako34
58-53
51
7 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin34
48-59
49
8 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice34
49-47
49
9 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze34
43-39
47
10 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice34
37-36
45
11 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce34
37-45
45
12 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom34
48-52
41
13 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź34
38-49
40
14 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk34
44-59
37
15 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin34
33-51
36
16 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec34
39-56
31
17 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw34
38-53
30
18 Puszcza Niepołomice Puszcza Niepo34
37-63
28
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