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Match Prediction

Granada vs Eibar Prediction

Finished
Spain flag Spain
Segunda División

Granada

€33.30m

12 May14:30
0 : 2

Eibar

€19.50m

Preview

Granada vs Eibar Prediction Segunda División

Granada vs Eibar Prediction: Tight Battle in the Segunda División

When Granada vs Eibar prediction comes into play, the numbers tell a compelling story. With Granada sitting 7th (59 points) and Eibar languishing in 15th (49 points) after 38 games, this Segunda División encounter at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes promises tension. The €33.35m-valued hosts clearly outmuscle their €19.5m opponents financially—a gap that neatly mirrors their table positions. But as their shocking 1-1 draw at Athletic Club last April proved (at 12.0 odds!), Granada’s form can defy logic. Let’s break down why this match might hinge on fine margins.

Home Advantage: Worth Backing or Overrated?

Granada’s 1.814 home win odds look tempting, especially given their recent giant-killing tendencies. But Segunda División trends add nuance: only 44% of home games end in home wins. Here’s how the stats stack up:

  • Expected dominance: NerdyTips’ AI projects 59% possession, 13-7 shots, and 5-3 corners for Granada.
  • Conversion worries: Despite the shot advantage, only 4 are on target—just enough to justify the 1-0 score prediction (4.5/10 trust score).

This aligns with Granada’s season-long pattern: control games, but struggle to kill them off. Eibar’s resilience (see last H2H’s 1-1 stalemate in 2023) suggests they’ll cling tight.

Betting Tips: Where’s the Smart Money?

For those eyeing Granada vs Eibar betting tips, the under 2.5 goals market (1.65 odds, 4.3 trust score) stands out. Consider:

  1. League-wide, only 39.1% of games surpass 2.5 goals.
  2. Their last head to head finished 1-1, with Granada as 2.12 favorites—a repeat wouldn’t shock.

Add Granada’s modest shot accuracy, and the under feels safer than a Eibar defender clearing a backpass (which, given their 3 projected yellow cards, might happen often).

Referee Watch: Will Discipline Derail Eibar?

Eibar’s 3 projected yellows (vs. Granada’s 1) hint at a scrappy approach. If the referee leans strict, their already shaky away record (just 4 wins on the road) could crumble further. Granada’s patience in buildup might force frustrated fouls—another tick for the 1-0 lean.

Final Verdict: Data Meets Drama

This Granada vs Eibar prediction boils down to trust in home grit. The AI’s 1-0 call reflects Granada’s control metrics, while the under 2.5 goals tip mirrors Segunda’s low-scoring DNA. Eibar’s fight (and fouls) might keep it close, but the hosts’ financial and table-edge suggests they’ll grind it out. For bettors, that means:

  • Lean on Granada at 1.814, but don’t expect fireworks.
  • Under 2.5 goals (1.65) is the savvy side dish.

One thing’s certain: at Nuevo Los Cármenes, tension will outweigh flair. Just like Segunda likes it.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Granada didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Granada vs Eibar

1 -123

Granada is expected to win with odds of -123
4/10

1x2 Tip

1 -123

Granada is expected to win with odds of -123
4/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -159

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No -141

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U3.5 -185

Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
7/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

59%
Ball Possession
41%
13
Total Shots
7
4
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

2.7
Total Goals
1.9
1.4
Goals Scored
1.1
1.3
Goals Against
0.8
47%
Possession
50%
11.3
Total Shots
10.5
4.1
Shots on Goal
3.5
4
Shots off Goal
4.8
12.9
Fouls
13.8
4.9
Corners
4.2
1.7
Offsides
2.6
1.9
Yellow Cards
2.2
0.1
Red Cards
0.1
341
Total Passes
408

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
3
7
Over 1.5 Goals
6
5
Over 2.5 Goals
3
3
Over 3.5 Goals
2
4
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Granada
1 - 4 - 9
Eibar
Granada Granada CF 12-May-25
0:2
Eibar Eibar
Eibar Eibar 21-Dec-24
1:1
Granada CF Granada
Granada Granada CF 30-Apr-23
1:1
Eibar Eibar
Eibar Eibar 12-Sep-22
4:0
Granada CF Granada
Granada Granada CF 22-Apr-21
4:1
Eibar Eibar
Eibar Eibar 03-Jan-21
2:0
Granada CF Granada
Granada Granada CF 28-Jun-20
1:2
Eibar Eibar
Eibar Eibar 20-Dec-19
3:0
Granada CF Granada
Eibar Eibar 13-Feb-17
4:0
Granada CF Granada
Granada Granada CF 11-Sep-16
1:2
Eibar Eibar

Profile time Recent Matches of Granada CF

07 DecD Granada CF Granada CF.
1:1
Ceuta. Ceuta
04 DecW Tenerife Tenerife.
0:1
Granada CF. Granada CF

Profile time Recent Matches of Eibar

07 DecLEibar Eibar.
1:2
Cultural .Cultural
03 DecWPontevedra Pontevedra.
0:3
Eibar.Eibar

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Levante Levante42
69-42
79
2 Elche Elche42
59-34
77
3 Mirandes Mirandes42
59-40
75
4 Oviedo Oviedo42
56-42
75
5 Racing Santander Racing Santand42
65-51
71
6 Almeria Almeria42
72-55
69
7 Granada CF Granada CF42
65-54
65
8 Huesca Huesca42
58-49
64
9 Eibar Eibar42
44-41
58
10 Albacete Albacete42
57-57
58
11 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon42
57-54
56
12 Burgos Burgos42
41-48
55
13 Cadiz Cadiz42
55-53
55
14 Cordoba Cordoba42
59-63
55
15 Castellón Castellón42
65-63
53
16 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La C42
56-54
53
17 Malaga Malaga42
42-46
53
18 Zaragoza Zaragoza42
56-63
51
19 Eldense Eldense42
44-63
45
20 Tenerife Tenerife42
35-55
36
21 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol42
22-64
30
22 FC Cartagena FC Cartagena42
33-78
23
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