Match Prediction
Match Prediction
South-Korea
Gyeongju HNP
€225.00Th.
Daejeon Korail
€75.00Th.
Preview
Welcome to our detailed Gyeongju HNP vs Daejeon Korail prediction for this intriguing K3 League fixture. On 2025-07-13, all eyes will be on the Gyeongju Sports Complex artificial pitch as these two sides lock horns at 11:00 GMT. On the surface, the bookmakers have a clear favourite. But as any seasoned football fan knows, the beautiful game loves to rip up the script, and our AI analysis suggests we could be in for a surprise. This is more than just a match; it’s a fascinating puzzle of stats, form, and potential value.
Gyeongju HNP enters this contest as the bookies' pick, priced at 2.15 for a home win. It’s easy to see why. With a squad valued at a hefty €225.00Th, they dwarf Daejeon Korail’s €75.00Th valuation. That’s a significant difference in perceived quality. Furthermore, they got the better of Daejeon in their most recent head-to-head encounter on 2024-06-22, securing a tight 1-0 victory. Everything seems to point towards a comfortable day at the office for the home side, right? Well, not so fast.
This is where our analysis gets spicy. Despite the odds and the squad value disparity, our number-crunching AI is pointing in the opposite direction. It has flagged an away win for Daejeon Korail as its primary 1x2 market prediction. While the confidence level of 5.9/10 suggests it's a calculated risk rather than a certainty, the odds of 3.15 offer some seriously tempting value for those willing to trust the data over the general consensus. The AI's projected final score of 0:2, with Daejeon leading 0:1 at half-time, paints a clear picture of a controlled and effective away performance.
When our AI makes a bold call like this, we like to dig into the supporting bets to understand its logic. Here’s what the data is telling us for this Gyeongju HNP vs Daejeon Korail encounter:
Of course, we can't ignore the past. Gyeongju's 1-0 win in the last head-to-head shows they know how to get a result in this fixture. However, it's important to look at the bigger picture. The K3 League is notoriously competitive and balanced. Historical data shows home teams win just 35.5% of the time, while away teams triumph in 32.9% of games. The gap is minimal, meaning home advantage isn't the fortress it is in other leagues. An away win is far from a statistical anomaly, which lends credibility to the AI's prediction. This Gyeongju HNP vs Daejeon Korail prediction is a testament to finding value where others might not see it.
Ultimately, this match presents a classic betting dilemma. Do you back the on-paper strength, home advantage, and recent head-to-head record of Gyeongju HNP? Or do you follow the data, which points to an undervalued Daejeon Korail side capable of pulling off an upset? For the cautious, the 'Away to Score' tip looks golden. For the bold, the 3.15 on an away win could be the ticket to a very happy weekend.
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AS -256
Daejeon Korail is expected to score at least 1 goal with odds of -2562 215
Daejeon Korail is expected to win with odds of 215Over 1.5 -333
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -105
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U4.5 -125
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:2
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12
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7
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7
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|
 Daejeon K |
16-Mar-25
2:0
| Gyeongju HNP  |
| Daejeon K |
02-Nov-24
2:1
| Gyeongju HNP |
| Gyeongju HNP |
22-Jun-24
1:0
| Daejeon K |
| Daejeon K |
18-Aug-23
0:0
| Gyeongju HNP |
| Gyeongju HNP |
22-Apr-23
0:2
| Daejeon K |
| Daejeon K |
15-Jul-22
0:2
| Gyeongju HNP |
| Gyeongju HNP |
02-Apr-22
3:1
| Daejeon K |
| Daejeon K |
20-Aug-21
1:3
| Gyeongju HNP |
| Gyeongju HNP |
17-Apr-21
1:1
| Daejeon K |
| Gyeongju HNP |
19-Sep-20
1:1
| Daejeon K |
South-Korea - K3 League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Gimhae City | 28 | 48-20 | 61 |
| 2 |
Siheung Citize | 28 | 45-25 | 57 |
| 3 |
Pocheon | 28 | 47-28 | 55 |
| 4 |
Daejeon Korail | 28 | 48-32 | 49 |
| 5 |
Gyeongju HNP | 28 | 34-29 | 45 |
| 6 |
Busan Transpor | 28 | 35-34 | 44 |
| 7 |
Changwon City | 28 | 31-23 | 43 |
| 8 |
Yangpyeong | 28 | 27-24 | 43 |
| 9 |
Yeoju Sejong | 28 | 31-35 | 36 |
| 10 |
Paju Citizen | 28 | 27-32 | 36 |
| 11 |
Gangneung City | 28 | 38-45 | 31 |
| 12 |
Chuncheon | 28 | 27-37 | 30 |
| 13 |
Ulsan Citizen | 28 | 20-38 | 21 |
| 14 |
Jeonbuk Motors | 28 | 28-51 | 20 |
| 15 |
Mokpo City | 28 | 18-51 | 16 |
