Haugesund vs Viking Prediction

Haugesund vs Viking Prediction: Can the Underdogs Defy the Odds Again?

When Haugesund hosts Viking on May 11, 2025, at the Haugesund Sparebank Arena, it’ll be a classic case of a struggling side facing a team in red-hot form. Our Haugesund vs Viking prediction leans heavily toward the visitors, but as history shows, surprises are always possible in the Eliteserien. With Viking sitting 2nd in the table and Haugesund languishing in 16th, the betting odds reflect a stark contrast: a home win at 5.4, a draw at 4.5, and an away win at a measly 1.53. The numbers don’t lie—Viking are the clear favorites.

Why Viking Are Expected to Dominate

The stats paint a grim picture for Haugesund. Viking’s squad value (€17.65m) more than doubles Haugesund’s (€8.10m), highlighting the gap in quality. The AI-backed projections suggest Viking will control 60% possession, fire off 21 shots (7 on target), and earn 10 corners. Meanwhile, Haugesund are expected to muster just 7 shots (2 on target) and 2 corners. If these numbers hold, it’s hard to see anything but a Viking victory.

• Most likely outcome: Away win (confidence 5.7/10, odds 1.53)


• Expected scoreline: 1-2 to Viking


• Half-time prediction: 0-1, with Viking likely to strike early

The Case for Over 2.5 Goals

The AI’s best bet for this match is total goals over 2.5, priced at 1.5 with a trust rating of 6.8/10. This aligns with broader Eliteserien trends, where 56.5% of matches see over 2.5 goals. Viking’s attacking intent and Haugesund’s defensive frailties—just 1 point from 6 games—suggest goals are inevitable. With 76.5% of league games exceeding 1.5 goals and 35.1% surpassing 3.5, this could be a high-scoring affair.

Head-to-Head History: A Glimmer of Hope for Haugesund?

While the current form favors Viking, the head to head record offers a sliver of optimism for Haugesund. Last season, they pulled off a shock 1-0 win against Viking despite being underdogs (odds of 3.48 vs. Viking’s 1.97). Even more impressive was their 1-1 draw at Brann, defying odds of 9.03. These results prove that Haugesund can punch above their weight—but repeating such heroics against this Viking side will be a monumental task.

Key Stats That Tell the Story

1. Viking average 2.33 points per game; Haugesund manage just 0.17.


2. Home teams win 44.1% of Eliteserien matches, but Haugesund’s form skews this trend.


3. Both teams score in 56.1% of league games, but Viking’s defense may keep a clean sheet.

Final Thoughts: Betting Smart on Haugesund vs Viking

Our Haugesund vs Viking prediction boils down to this: back Viking to win, but don’t expect a walkover. The over 2.5 goals bet is the safer play, given the league’s attacking tendencies and Viking’s firepower. While Haugesund have pulled off upsets before, the sheer weight of stats—possession, shots, squad value—points to a comfortable Viking victory. If you’re feeling bold, a 1-2 correct score at higher odds could be worth a punt.

One thing’s certain: this won’t be a dull affair. Whether Haugesund defy the odds again or Viking assert their dominance, the betting odds and total goals market promise plenty of drama.