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Match Prediction

Hegelmann Litauen vs St Patrick's Athl. Prediction

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UEFA Europa Conference

Hegelmann

€5.28m

17 Jul12:00
0 : 2

Patrick's

€3.95m

Preview

Hegelmann vs Patrick's Prediction UEFA Europa Conference League

Hegelmann vs St Patrick's Athl. Prediction: A Tense Test

Our Hegelmann Litauen vs St Patrick's Athl. prediction is here for what promises to be a nervy night of European football in Lithuania. St Patrick's Athletic, or St Pat's as they're affectionately known, travel to the Raudondvario stadionas with a fragile 1-0 lead. After a hard-fought first leg at a packed Richmond Park, this second leg on July 17th is perfectly poised. One goal separates them, but with a spot in the next qualifying round on the line, that one goal feels like a mountain for one side and a molehill for the other. It's all to play for.

First Leg Recap: A Penalty Separates the Sides

Anyone who watched the first leg in Dublin saw a familiar story for Stephen Kenny's Saints. They controlled the ball, created chances, but for 80 minutes, it looked like their recent goal drought would haunt them again. Kenny himself had described their run of one goal in six games as 'unacceptable,' and you could feel the collective sigh of relief around Richmond Park when teenage sensation Mason Melia won a late penalty. Aidan Keena stepped up and coolly converted, giving St Pat's the crucial advantage. For Hegelmann, escaping Dublin with just a one-goal deficit was likely seen as a minor victory. They were defensively resolute and now have the chance to turn the tables on their own turf.

Hegelmann's Home Comforts and European Grit

Don't let the first leg result fool you; Hegelmann Litauen are a capable side. They currently sit second in their domestic A Lyga and have a squad sprinkled with international talent from Brazil, Cameroon, and Ukraine. Their manager, Andrius Skerla, will be urging his team to be more adventurous at home. Interestingly, Skerla has a bit of history here, having captained the Zalgiris team that knocked St Pat's out of Europe back in 2013. He knows what it takes to get a result against the Dubliners. The Lithuanian side also has a history of upsetting the betting odds, having secured a 0-0 draw away to Shkupi in 2023 when priced at a lengthy 5.0. They won't be intimidated.

St Pat's European Quest: Betting Odds and Prediction

For St Pat's, this is a massive test of character. Their recent form has been patchy, but they too have a history of digging deep in Europe. Who can forget their 0-0 draw with Turkish giants Istanbul Basaksehir in 2024? They know how to frustrate more fancied opponents. The head to head is only one game deep, but it's the one that counts. The bookmakers see this as an incredibly tight affair, and the odds reflect that. Hegelmann are slightly unfavoured at 2.62 for the win, with St Pat's at 2.51 and the draw at 3.45. Our AI analysis leans towards a narrow home victory, projecting a final score of 1-0 to Hegelmann. However, this comes with a very low confidence rating of just 3.1/10, so it's far from a certainty.

Our Top Betting Tips for This European Game

While picking a winner feels like a coin toss, the real value in the sports betting markets appears to be in the goals department. Here’s where our analysis points:

  • Top Selection: Our AI's strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals in the match. With a high confidence rating of 7.8/10, this seems like a very solid bet. The first leg was a tight, low-scoring game, and with so much at stake, neither side is likely to throw caution to the wind. The odds of 1.35 won't make you rich, but it's a sensible foundation for any bet builder.
  • Score Prediction: The AI projects a 1:0 final score to the hosts and a 0:0 scoreline at half-time. This aligns perfectly with the 'under' goals theme, suggesting a cagey first half before Hegelmann potentially find a breakthrough as they push for an equaliser on aggregate.

Key Players to Watch

The outcome could well be decided by a moment of individual brilliance. For Hegelmann, their experienced Serbian midfielder Lazar Kojic will be crucial in controlling the tempo, while their attack, featuring Cameroonian forward Abdel Kader Njoya, will be tasked with breaching the Saints' defence. For the visitors, all eyes will be on Mason Melia. The future Tottenham Hotspur starlet was a constant menace in the first leg, and Stephen Kenny has already voiced concerns about the rough treatment he's receiving. If he can stay on his feet, his pace could be the perfect outlet for a St Pat's side that will likely play on the counter. Of course, Aidan Keena will be hoping to add to his European tally after his first-leg heroics.

This Hegelmann Litauen vs St Patrick's Athl. prediction points towards a nail-biting evening. St Pat's hold the cards with their 1-0 lead, but Hegelmann’s superior squad value of €5.28m to St Pat's €3.95m and home advantage make them a serious threat. It's a classic European tie where discipline and nerve will be just as important as skill. While a 1-0 home win is a real possibility, the smarter money is on a tense, low-scoring contest where every tackle and every set-piece will feel monumental.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Hegelmann vs Patrick's

U3.5 -286

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -286
7/10

1x2 Tip

1 162

Hegelmann is expected to win with odds of 162
3/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -286

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

No 110

At least one team is not expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -137

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Average / Match

2.8
Total Goals
1.6
1.7
Goals Scored
0.5
1.1
Goals Against
1.1

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
2
6
Over 1.5 Goals
3
4
Over 2.5 Goals
3
3
Over 3.5 Goals
3
4
Both Teams Scored
2
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Hegelmann Litauen
0 - 0 - 1
St Patrick's Athl.
St Patrick's Athl. Patrick's 10-Jul-25
1:0
Hegelmann Hegelmann Litauen

World - UEFA Europa Conference League World - UEFA Europa Conference League

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