icon back

Match Prediction

Houston Dynamo vs Philadelphia Union Prediction

Finished
USA flag USA
Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo

€34.22m

19 Jul20:30
1 : 1

Philadelp

€36.80m

Preview

Houston Dynamo vs Philadelp Prediction Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo vs Philadelphia Union Prediction: Stats, Tips & Story

Welcome to NerdyTips, where we turn numbers into stories and football into fun! Here’s your Houston Dynamo vs Philadelphia Union prediction for the MLS regular season match on July 20, 2025, at Shell Energy Stadium. Whether you’re a stats lover, a betting enthusiast, or just here for the drama, this preview will guide you through the tactics, head to head history, and betting tips for this much-anticipated encounter.

Background: Two Teams, Two Stories, One Big Night

Let’s set the stage. Philadelphia Union, currently topping the Eastern Conference and sitting 6th overall, are having a season to remember. With 10 wins and 32 goals after 17 games, they’re just a point off the Supporters' Shield summit. But, recent stumbles against Nashville SC and Columbus Crew have shown that even the best can slip on a banana peel.

Houston Dynamo, on the other hand, are 10th in the West. Their form? A mixed bag: 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last 10 outings. At home, they’ve notched up 4 wins but also suffered 6 defeats. The Dynamo are coming off a narrow 1-0 loss at Real Salt Lake, so expect them to be hungry for redemption.

Tactics and Team News: Styles Make Matches

  • Houston Dynamo love to keep the ball. Under Ben Olsen, they’re among MLS’s possession kings, usually lining up in a 4-2-3-1. Expect them to try and slow the game down, passing short and controlling the tempo. Ezequiel Ponce leads the attack, with Amine Bassi and Ondrej Lingr pulling strings in midfield. New signings like Jack McGlynn (ironically, from Philly!) add extra bite.
  • Philadelphia Union play fast and direct under Bradley Carnell, with a “Red Bull DNA” approach. Their 4-4-2 diamond is all about quick transitions, vertical play, and aggressive pressing. Dániel Gazdag, Tai Baribo, and Mikael Uhre are all double-digit scorers, and new faces like Bruno Damiani keep things fresh up front.

Both teams have dealt with injuries, but the Union’s FIFA ban on new signings adds extra pressure on their young guns to step up. Houston, meanwhile, are still adjusting to life without key midfielders like Coco Carrasquilla and Héctor Herrera.

Head to Head: History Favors the Visitors

  • Last five MLS meetings: Philadelphia Union 4 wins, Houston Dynamo 1 win.
  • Last encounter: A 6-0 romp for the Union in July 2022.
  • But at home, Houston have a strong record: 4 wins, 1 loss vs. Philly.

So, while the Union have the recent upper hand, Houston’s home turf has often been a fortress in this head to head.

Betting Tips & AI Predictions: What the Numbers Say

Now, for the moment you’ve been waiting for: the Houston Dynamo vs Philadelphia Union prediction from our AI. Here’s how the odds stack up:

  • Home win: 2.63
  • Draw: 3.3
  • Away win: 2.635

Our AI’s favorite bet? Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.33 and a trust rating of 5.3/10. The numbers suggest a tight, tactical battle—think chess, not pinball. The 1x2 prediction leans toward a draw (X) with a trust of 2.0, also at 3.3 odds. The projected final score? A nail-biting 0:0, with both teams expected to share the ball and the chances almost evenly.

  • Houston Dynamo: 54% possession, 15 shots (3 on target), 5 corners, 2 yellow cards
  • Philadelphia Union: 46% possession, 13 shots (3 on target), 5 corners, 3 yellow cards

With both sides boasting solid defenses and a recent trend toward low-scoring matches, the under 3.5 goals market is the safest play. If you’re feeling lucky, a draw at 3.3 odds could be worth a flutter—just don’t bet the farm!

Final Thoughts: Will It Be a Tactical Stalemate?

To sum up this Houston Dynamo vs Philadelphia Union prediction: expect a game of patience, with both teams trying to out-think rather than out-run each other. The stats, tactics, and recent form all point to a low-scoring affair, and our AI’s 0:0 prediction isn’t just for show. Sometimes, the best drama comes from the tension, not the goals.

So, mark your calendars for July 20, 2025, and get ready for a match where every pass, tackle, and shot could make the difference. And remember—sometimes, the best bet is the one that lets you enjoy the game!

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Warning

Philadelp has an unusually high recent form

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Houston Dynamo vs Philadelp

U3.5 -303

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -303
5/10

1x2 Tip

X 230

The match is expected to end in a draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -303

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

No 115

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -139

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:0

Stats Predictions

54%
Ball Possession
46%
15
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Goal
3
6
Shots Off Goal
6
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

0.41
Expected Goals
0.25
3.7
Total Goals
2.7
1.5
Goals Scored
1.8
2.2
Goals Against
0.9
52%
Possession
49%
13.7
Total Shots
12.7
4
Shots on Goal
4
5.8
Shots off Goal
5.7
14.8
Fouls
15.3
4.9
Corners
5.7
1.7
Offsides
1.4
2.67
Yellow Cards
3.67
0
Red Cards
0
447
Total Passes
372

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
7
8
Over 1.5 Goals
6
8
Over 2.5 Goals
5
6
Over 3.5 Goals
3
6
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Houston Dynamo
7 - 2 - 6
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union Philadelp 31-Jul-22
6:0
Houston D Houston Dynamo
Philadelphia Union Philadelp 11-Aug-19
2:1
Houston D Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo Houston D 27-Sep-18
3:0
Philadelp Philadelphia Union
Houston Dynamo Houston D 26-Jul-18
1:3
Philadelp Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union Philadelp 18-May-17
2:0
Houston D Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo Houston D 03-Jul-16
1:0
Philadelp Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union Philadelp 21-Sep-15
2:0
Houston D Houston Dynamo
Philadelphia Union Philadelp 21-Sep-14
0:0
Houston D Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo Houston D 16-Aug-14
2:0
Philadelp Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union Philadelp 19-Apr-14
0:0
Houston D Houston Dynamo
Video preview
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches