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Match Prediction

Jong Utrecht vs FC Volendam Prediction

Finished
Netherlands flag Netherlands
Eerste Divisie

Jong Utrecht

€5.85m

28 Apr14:00
2 : 3

FC Volendam

€7.12m

Preview

Jong Utrecht vs FC Volendam Prediction Eerste Divisie

Jong Utrecht vs FC Volendam Prediction: Can the Underdogs Shock the Leaders?

When Jong Utrecht vs FC Volendam takes center stage on April 28, 2025, the Eerste Divisie will witness a classic David vs. Goliath battle. The league leaders, Volendam, arrive at Stadion Galgenwaard with a staggering 56-point advantage over their 19th-placed hosts. Our Jong Utrecht vs FC Volendam prediction dives into the stats, tactics, and betting odds to see if the underdogs can defy logic—or if the visitors will cruise to another victory.

The Staggering Gap: A Tale of Two Teams

Jong Utrecht’s €5.85m squad might need a miracle—or at least a Volendam off-day—to bridge this gap. Here’s why the odds are stacked against them:

  • League Positions: Volendam (1st, 76 pts) vs. Jong Utrecht (19th, 20 pts).
  • Betting Odds: Volendam’s away win is priced at 1.45, while a Jong Utrecht victory sits at 5.4.
  • Head-to-Head: Volendam has dominated recent meetings, winning 3 of the last 5.

Yet, football loves an upset. Jong Utrecht’s gritty 1-1 draw against ADO Den Haag (1.5 odds) proves they can punch above their weight. But can they replicate that against a side averaging over 2 goals per game?

Tactical Breakdown: Possession vs. Pragmatism

Volendam’s expected 59% possession and 15 shots (5 on target) paint a picture of control. Meanwhile, Jong Utrecht’s 41% possession and 9 shots (3 on target) suggest a defensive grind. Here’s how the tactical battle could unfold:

  1. Volendam’s Attack: High pressing, quick transitions, and lethal finishing. They’ve scored in 89% of their matches.
  2. Jong Utrecht’s Defense: Likely a low block, aiming to frustrate and counter. Their 1.8 goals conceded per game is a concern.

The total goals market leans toward over 2.5 (1.44 odds), fitting Volendam’s style and the league’s 58.2% rate for high-scoring games.

Key Stats to Consider

  • Eerste Divisie Trends: Home wins (44.3%) vs. away wins (30.6%) slightly favor Jong Utrecht, but Volendam’s form defies norms.
  • Clean Sheets: Volendam has kept 12 clean sheets this season; Jong Utrecht, just 3.
  • Corners & Cards: Expected corners (2 vs. 5) and yellow cards (0 each) hint at a disciplined but lopsided affair.

Betting Insights: Where’s the Value?

NerdyTips’ best bet—NG (No Goal for at least one team, 2.38 odds, 6.0/10 confidence)—aligns with the predicted 0-3 scoreline. Here’s why:

  • Both teams scored in just 57.1% of Eerste Divisie matches this season.
  • Volendam’s defense has been rock-solid, while Jong Utrecht struggles to convert chances.

For risk-takers, a Volendam -1.5 handicap (1.85 odds) could offer value given their dominance.

Final Prediction: Efficiency Meets Struggle

Expect Volendam to dictate tempo and capitalize on Jong Utrecht’s defensive frailties:

  • Half-Time: 0-1 (Volendam’s early pressure pays off).
  • Full-Time: 0-3 (Their superior quality shines through).

While miracles happen, the Jong Utrecht vs FC Volendam prediction leans heavily toward the visitors. Tune in to see if the underdogs can rewrite the script—or if Volendam’s march to the title continues unabated.

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Warning

FC Volendam has an unusually high recent form. Be cautious!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Jong Utrecht vs FC Volendam

NG 138

At least one team is not expected to score with odds of 138
6/10

1x2 Tip

2 -222

FC Volendam is expected to win with odds of -222
5/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -250

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

No 138

At least one team is not expected to score
6/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O2.5 -179

Away win/draw and over 2.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:3

Stats Predictions

41%
Ball Possession
59%
9
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Goal
5
4
Shots Off Goal
5
2
Corners
5

Average / Match

2.9
Total Goals
3.3
0.5
Goals Scored
2.5
2.4
Goals Against
0.8
41%
Possession
48%
10
Total Shots
12.8
3.9
Shots on Goal
5.2
4.3
Shots off Goal
4.6
12.5
Fouls
9.9
3.7
Corners
4.4
1.4
Offsides
2.6
1.44
Yellow Cards
0.78
0.3
Red Cards
0
342
Total Passes
388

Overview Last 10 Matches

0
Wins
9
9
Over 1.5 Goals
9
5
Over 2.5 Goals
7
3
Over 3.5 Goals
5
5
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Jong Utrecht
4 - 1 - 9
FC Volendam
Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht 28-Apr-25
2:3
FC Volendam FC Volendam
FC Volendam FC Volendam 08-Nov-24
2:0
Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht
FC Volendam FC Volendam 04-Feb-22
2:0
Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht
Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht 22-Nov-21
0:1
FC Volendam FC Volendam
Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht 16-Apr-21
2:3
FC Volendam FC Volendam
FC Volendam FC Volendam 11-Sep-20
0:1
Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht
Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht 24-Feb-20
2:1
FC Volendam FC Volendam
FC Volendam FC Volendam 08-Nov-19
1:0
Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht
Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht 22-Apr-19
3:1
FC Volendam FC Volendam
FC Volendam FC Volendam 23-Nov-18
2:0
Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht

Profile time Recent Matches of Jong Utrecht

08 Dec Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht.
-
De Graafscha. De Graafschap

Profile time Recent Matches of FC Volendam

07 DecLFC Volendam FC Volendam.
2:3
Nijmegen.Nijmegen

Netherlands - Eerste Divisie Netherlands - Eerste Divisie

Team Matches Goals Points
1 FC Volendam FC Volendam38
87-48
82
2 Excelsior Excelsior38
74-38
74
3 Cambuur Cambuur38
63-42
71
4 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag38
69-47
70
5 Dordrecht Dordrecht38
69-46
68
6 De Graafschap De Graafschap38
73-50
65
7 Telstar Telstar38
69-47
61
8 Emmen Emmen38
56-53
56
9 Den Bosch Den Bosch38
53-48
55
10 Jong AZ Jong AZ38
69-63
52
11 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven38
58-64
51
12 Roda Roda38
49-57
49
13 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport38
53-61
46
14 VVV Venlo VVV Venlo38
44-69
41
15 MVV MVV38
52-59
40
16 FC OSS FC OSS38
31-61
38
17 Jong Ajax Jong Ajax38
37-52
36
18 Jong PSV Jong PSV38
55-86
30
19 Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht38
31-82
23
20 Vitesse Vitesse38
54-73
5
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