Karpaty hosts Shakhtar Donetsk at Stadion Ukraina on March 11, 2025, at 16:00 UTC, and the odds tell an interesting story. The home side is a massive underdog at 8.0, while a draw sits at 4.8. Shakhtar, the clear favorite, is priced at 1.36, and considering their squad value of €151.62m compared to Karpaty’s €17.62m, it’s easy to see why.

But let’s talk betting strategy. Our AI’s best tip? Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.4, backed by a confidence rating of 7.2/10. Why? Because only 23.4% of Premier League matches in Ukraine see more than 3.5 goals. That’s a solid trend to follow.

Shakhtar is expected to control the game, but don’t expect a goal fest. Our AI predicts a tight 0:1 win for the visitors, with that lone goal likely coming in the first half. That aligns with the league’s stats, where just 45.7% of matches go over 2.5 goals.

If you’re thinking about a 1X2 bet, the safest play is X2 (Shakhtar win or draw) at 1.08. Not the best value, but a near lock given the quality gap between these teams.

And for those who love an underdog story, remember when Shakhtar shocked Barcelona 1:0 in 2023 at odds of 10.0? Upsets happen, but Karpaty pulling off something similar seems unlikely.

Bottom line? Stick with Under 3.5 goals – history and stats are on your side!