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Match Prediction

La Equidad vs Fortaleza FC Prediction

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Colombia flag Colombia
Copa Colombia

La Equidad

€7.38m

15 Jun16:00
0 : 2

Fortaleza FC

€7.03m

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La Equidad vs Fortaleza FC Prediction Copa Colombia

La Equidad vs Fortaleza FC Prediction: Can the Underdogs Hold Their Ground?

When La Equidad vs Fortaleza FC face off on June 15, 2025, at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, the stakes are higher than the odds suggest. With Fortaleza arriving as slight favorites (away win odds: 1.43), this match promises tactical tension—but will the numbers back the hype? Our La Equidad vs Fortaleza FC prediction dives into the data, recent surprises, and why NerdyTips' AI leans toward an away victory.

Recent Form: Grit vs. Momentum

La Equidad’s recent 0-0 draw against Independiente Medellín (odds: 6.5) showcased their defensive resilience, but their lack of attacking punch remains a concern. Meanwhile, Fortaleza’s 0-2 upset over Once Caldas (odds: 5.2) revealed a team capable of capitalizing on chances—a trend that could decide this matchup.

  • La Equidad’s last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses | Goals scored: 3
  • Fortaleza’s last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss | Goals scored: 7

Head-to-Head and Tactical Context

The last head-to-head meeting ended 1-1 in March 2025, but Fortaleza’s improved form since then tips the scales. Here’s what the stats reveal:

  1. Expected possession: Fortaleza (57%) should control tempo, while La Equidad (43%) may rely on counters.
  2. Shots per game: Fortaleza averages 17 attempts (3 on target) vs. La Equidad’s 12 (2 on target).
  3. Discipline: La Equidad’s 3 yellow cards per game hints at defensive struggles under pressure.

Key Battle: Set-Piece Supremacy

Fortaleza’s 7 corners per game (vs. La Equidad’s 3) suggests relentless wing play—a weakness for a home side conceding more fouls. If they convert just one, the betting odds for an away win (6.7 vs. 1.43) could look generous.

NerdyTips’ AI Betting Recommendations

Our model calculates a 0-2 scoreline (HT: 0-1) as the most probable outcome. Here’s why:

  • Top bet: Away win (‘2’) | Trust: 4.3.1.43 | Odds: 1.43
  • Secondary pick: Under 2.5 total goals | Trust: 6.7 | Odds: 1.62

Fortaleza’s higher shot volume and La Equidad’s shaky defense (2 on-target attempts/game) align with a low-scoring, away-favored script. The total goals market, in particular, reflects both teams’ tendency for tight games—only 2 of their last 5 H2H meetings saw over 2.5 goals.

Final Verdict: Trust the Data

While La Equidad’s home grit can’t be ignored, Fortaleza’s form and statistical edges make them the smarter pick. For value seekers, pairing the away win with under 2.5 goals mirrors the AI’s cold logic—and the numbers don’t lie.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Fortaleza FC didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for La Equidad vs Fortaleza FC

2 -233

Fortaleza FC is expected to win with odds of -233
4/10

1x2 Tip

2 -233

Fortaleza FC is expected to win with odds of -233
4/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 100

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

No -125

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -345

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:2

Stats Predictions

43%
Ball Possession
57%
12
Total Shots
17
2
Shots on Goal
3
6
Shots Off Goal
7
3
Corners
7
3
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

3
Total Goals
1.6
0.7
Goals Scored
1.1
2.3
Goals Against
0.5
48%
Possession
49%
12.3
Total Shots
13.7
2.3
Shots on Goal
3.7
7.1
Shots off Goal
5.9
12.1
Fouls
10.4
3.3
Corners
6.6
1.3
Offsides
1.6
3.29
Yellow Cards
1.57
0
Red Cards
0.29
348
Total Passes
340

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
4
10
Over 1.5 Goals
5
7
Over 2.5 Goals
2
2
Over 3.5 Goals
1
4
Both Teams Scored
2
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

La Equidad
1 - 4 - 5
Fortaleza FC
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 08-Sep-25
1:0
La Equidad La Equidad
La Equidad La Equidad 15-Jun-25
0:2
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 10-May-25
4:0
La Equidad La Equidad
La Equidad La Equidad 22-Mar-25
1:1
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 06-Nov-24
2:1
La Equidad La Equidad
La Equidad La Equidad 18-Apr-24
0:0
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 24-Sep-16
1:1
La Equidad La Equidad
La Equidad La Equidad 27-Aug-16
2:2
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC
La Equidad La Equidad 24-Apr-16
0:1
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 19-Mar-16
0:1
La Equidad La Equidad

Profile time Recent Matches of La Equidad

Profile time Recent Matches of Fortaleza FC

03 DecLFortaleza Fortaleza.
1:2
Santa Fe.Santa Fe
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