Larisa welcomes Makedonikos Neapolis to the AEL Arena on March 15, 2025, at 13:00 UTC, in what looks like a one-sided Super League 2 clash. With odds of 1.1 for a home win, 8.0 for a draw, and a staggering 19.0 for an away victory, bookmakers are heavily favoring the hosts. But is there value in this match? Let’s break it down.
Larisa welcomes Makedonikos Neapolis to the AEL Arena on March 15, 2025, at 13:00 UTC, in what looks like a one-sided Super League 2 clash. With odds of 1.1 for a home win, 8.0 for a draw, and a staggering 19.0 for an away victory, bookmakers are heavily favoring the hosts. But is there value in this match? Let’s break it down.

1x2 Market: A Home Win Looks Inevitable
Larisa is the clear favorite, and for good reason. Their squad is valued at €6.38m, more than double Makedonikos Neapolis' €3.08m. History also favors the home side—when these teams last met on October 28, 2024, Larisa secured a 2-0 victory. However, Makedonikos Neapolis did pull off a shock result on January 21, 2024, holding Larisa to a 0-0 draw despite being heavy underdogs.

Still, our AI assigns a 6.0/10 confidence rating to a Larisa win, and with odds of 1.1, it’s a safe but low-value bet. If you’re looking for a bit more excitement, consider the H1 handicap bet (Larisa to win by at least two goals) at 1.47 odds, which comes with a 5.9/10 trust rating. Given Larisa’s dominance and the predicted 3-0 final score, this bet offers a much better return.

Goals Market: Over 2.5 Goals? Not So Fast
Our AI suggests over 2.5 goals with odds of 1.57, but the trust rating is only 2.0/10, meaning caution is advised. While Larisa is expected to dominate, Super League 2 stats show that only 42.2% of matches exceed the 2.5-goal mark. Additionally, in their last two meetings, one ended 2-0 and the other 0-0, suggesting that goal-fests aren’t a given when these sides meet.

However, with Larisa’s superior squad and home advantage, a 3-0 scoreline is the AI’s predicted outcome. If you’re feeling adventurous, backing Larisa to win to nil could be a solid alternative.

Final Verdict: Stick to the Handicap Bet
While a straight Larisa win is almost certain, the 1.1 odds don’t offer much value. Instead, the H1 bet (Larisa -1.5) at 1.47 odds is the smarter play, given the expected margin of victory. If you’re looking for a goals market bet, over 2.5 goals is an option, but proceed with caution.

With Larisa looking to cement their dominance at home, expect a professional performance and a comfortable win. As for Makedonikos Neapolis, they’ll need a miracle—or at least a very generous referee—to pull off another upset.