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Match Prediction

Leganes vs Almeria Prediction

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Spain flag Spain
Segunda División

Leganes

€25.40m

22 Nov17:30
0 : 3

Almeria

€47.65m

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Leganes vs Almeria Prediction Segunda División

Leganes vs Almeria Prediction: Stats, Odds, and AI Insights for Segunda División

The Leganes vs Almeria prediction is on everyone’s mind as these two sides prepare to meet at Estadio Municipal de Butarque on November 22, 2025. With both teams coming off surprising draws against top-flight opposition, fans and punters alike are eager to see if Leganes can hold off a high-flying Almeria, or if the visitors will keep their strong run going. Let’s break down the numbers, the form, and what our AI thinks about this intriguing Segunda División fixture.

Team Form, Tactics, and Head-to-Head History

Leganes, sitting 15th in the table, have had a mixed bag of results this season. They’ve managed to score in just 62% of their matches, averaging 1.20 goals per game. At home, they tend to keep things tight, with over 1.5 total goals in two-thirds of their games, but only a third going over 2.67 goals. Their recent form? Two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five. Not exactly the stuff of legend, but they did surprise everyone with a 2-2 draw away at Sevilla earlier this year.

Almeria, on the other hand, are flying high in 5th place. They’ve scored in every single match this season, averaging a healthy 1.88 goals per game. On the road, they’re not shy either, with 75% of their away games seeing over 1.5 total goals. Their last five matches? Four wins and a draw. That’s the kind of form that makes their fans dream of promotion.

Looking at the head-to-head stats, Leganes have the historical edge: 6 wins to Almeria’s 2, with 3 draws in 11 meetings. The average goals per game in these matches is a lively 3.2.85, but recent trends suggest things might be a bit tighter this time.

Injuries, Suspensions, and Squad News

  • Leganes: Rubén Pulido is out long-term with a cruciate ligament tear. Amadou Diawara and Duk are both walking a suspension tightrope with four yellow cards each. There are also doubts over Enric Franquesa, Diego Garcia, and Yvan Neyou.
  • Almeria: André Horta is back in training, but Léo Baptistão, Álex Muñoz, and Chumi are still on the mend. Several players are away on international duty, and Ibrahima Koné is out with an ankle injury.

Both squads are dealing with their fair share of absences, which could impact the flow and tactics of the game. Leganes will likely try to keep things compact, while Almeria’s depth might be tested.

Betting Odds, Stats, and What to Expect

  • Home win: 2.85
  • Draw: 3.3
  • Away win: 2.67

Almeria are slight favorites, but the betting odds suggest this is anyone’s game. The home side is expected to control the ball just a bit more (52% possession), but Almeria’s attack could see them take more shots (13 to Leganes’ 11). Expect a tactical battle, with both teams probing for weaknesses but not taking too many risks.

  • Total corners: 7 (4 Leganes, 3 Almeria)
  • Yellow cards: 3 Leganes, 2 Almeria

Don’t expect a card-fest, but there could be a few tactical fouls as both sides look to break up play.

Our AI Predictions and Best Betting Tips

Now, let’s get to the part everyone loves: the Leganes vs Almeria prediction from our AI. The numbers point to a tight, low-scoring affair. Here’s what our data says:

  1. Best tip: Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.3, trust rating 5.8/10). Both teams are solid at the back and rarely go wild in attack, so don’t expect a goal fest.
  2. 1x2 prediction: X2 (draw or Almeria win) with a confidence of 2.0 and odds of 1.53. Almeria’s form and squad value (€47.65m vs Leganes’ €25.40m) give them the edge, but Leganes are tough to beat at home.
  3. Final score prediction: 1-1. Our AI expects a cagey first half (0-0 at the break) before both teams find the net in the second period.

If you’re a fan of stats, here’s a quick summary:

  • Leganes: 11 shots, 3 on target
  • Almeria: 13 shots, 4 on target
  • Possession: Leganes 52%, Almeria 48%

With both teams coming off impressive draws against La Liga opposition, confidence will be high. But with key injuries and suspensions looming, neither side will want to take too many risks. If you’re betting, under 3.5 goals looks like the safest play, and a draw or Almeria double chance offers value.

Final Thoughts

The Leganes vs Almeria prediction is all about fine margins. Almeria have the form, but Leganes have the home crowd and a knack for grinding out results. Expect a tactical battle, a few nervy moments, and not too many goals. If you’re looking for fireworks, you might want to check the local fiesta instead!

For more tips, stats, and the latest betting odds, keep an eye on NerdyTips. Enjoy the game, and may your bets be as sharp as Almeria’s attack!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Leganes vs Almeria

U3.5 -333

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -333
5/10

1x2 Tip

X2 -213

Almeria to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -333

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -128

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -147

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

1:1

Stats Predictions

1.06
xG
1.07
52%
Ball Possession
48%
11
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots Off Goal
5
4
Corners
3
3
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.04
Expected Goals
1.43
2.6
Total Goals
2.8
1.5
Goals Scored
1.9
1.1
Goals Against
0.9
52%
Possession
53%
11.5
Total Shots
15.2
4.3
Shots on Goal
5.9
5
Shots off Goal
5.9
13.1
Fouls
13.8
5.4
Corners
4.8
0.9
Offsides
1.4
2.89
Yellow Cards
2.8
396
Total Passes
434

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
7
7
Over 1.5 Goals
8
6
Over 2.5 Goals
5
2
Over 3.5 Goals
3
6
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Leganes
2 - 2 - 1
Almeria
Almeria Almeria 15-Jan-25
2:3
Leganes Leganes
Leganes Leganes 29-May-22
2:2
Almeria Almeria
Almeria Almeria 29-Oct-21
1:0
Leganes Leganes
Almeria Almeria 27-Mar-21
1:1
Leganes Leganes
Leganes Leganes 17-Feb-21
2:1
Almeria Almeria

Profile time Recent Matches of Leganes

07 Dec Leganes Leganes.
-
Cordoba. Cordoba
04 DecL Leganes Leganes.
1:2
Albacete. Albacete
30 NovL Zaragoza Zaragoza.
3:2
Leganes. Leganes
22 NovL Leganes Leganes.
0:3
Almeria. Almeria
16 NovW Ceuta Ceuta.
1:2
Leganes. Leganes
08 NovL Real II Real II.
2:1
Leganes. Leganes
01 NovL Leganes Leganes.
1:2
Burgos CF. Burgos CF
29 OctW Azuaga Azuaga.
1:4
Leganes. Leganes
25 OctD Eibar Eibar.
0:0
Leganes. Leganes
19 OctW Leganes Leganes.
2:0
Malaga. Malaga

Profile time Recent Matches of Almeria

06 DecWAndorra Andorra.
1:2
Almeria.Almeria
03 DecLEldense Eldense.
2:1
Almeria.Almeria
29 NovDAlmeria Almeria.
0:0
Huesca.Huesca
22 NovWLeganes Leganes.
0:3
Almeria.Almeria
16 NovWAlmeria Almeria.
3:0
Cadiz CF.Cadiz CF
09 NovDCeuta Ceuta.
1:1
Almeria.Almeria
01 NovWAlmeria Almeria.
3:1
Eibar.Eibar
29 OctWLorca D Lorca D.
0:2
Almeria.Almeria
26 OctWAlmeria Almeria.
1:0
Castellon.Castellon
19 OctDCordoba Cordoba.
1:1
Almeria.Almeria

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La C16
31-14
32
2 Racing Santander Racing Santand16
37-23
32
3 Almeria Almeria16
31-21
29
4 Las Palmas Las Palmas16
18-10
29
5 Burgos Burgos16
21-15
25
6 Castellón Castellón16
24-20
25
7 Cadiz Cadiz16
14-15
24
8 AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC16
17-20
24
9 Valladolid Valladolid16
16-14
21
10 Cordoba Cordoba16
21-22
21
11 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon16
20-23
21
12 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leone16
18-21
20
13 Malaga Malaga16
20-21
19
14 Granada CF Granada CF16
19-21
19
15 Albacete Albacete16
22-27
19
16 Huesca Huesca16
14-19
19
17 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad 16
23-25
18
18 Leganes Leganes16
16-18
18
19 FC Andorra FC Andorra16
18-24
18
20 Eibar Eibar16
17-22
17
21 Mirandes Mirandes16
17-26
15
22 Zaragoza Zaragoza16
13-26
15
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