Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Ecuador
Libertad
€5.53m
Deportivo
€7.15m
Preview
When Libertad hosts Deportivo Cuenca on July 5, 2025, at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, it’ll be a clash of two sides with contrasting ambitions. Our Libertad vs Deportivo Cuenca prediction leans toward a tense, low-scoring affair, backed by stats and AI insights. Libertad, sitting 9th with 24 points, faces an uphill task against 3rd-placed Cuenca (32 points), but the odds suggest this won’t be a walkover. Here’s why.
Libertad’s season has been a mixed bag—18 games, 24 points, and a squad valued at €5.53m. Deportivo Cuenca, meanwhile, boasts a €7.15m roster and a firm grip on a continental qualification spot. Yet, the betting odds reveal a surprisingly close contest:
These numbers hint that Cuenca’s higher standing doesn’t guarantee victory. Libertad’s home advantage and recent grit—like their 3:3 comeback against Barcelona SC—could level the playing field.
NerdyTips’ algorithm crunched the numbers and suggests two smart plays:
The predicted 1:1 final score (with a 0:1 halftime lead for Cuenca) aligns with their last head-to-head—a 0:0 stalemate in May 2024. Expect a cagey midfield battle.
Libertad is projected to dominate 56% possession, but Cuenca’s efficiency could neutralize that:
Cuenca’s compact defense (just 1 yellow card predicted) might frustrate Libertad’s buildup, while both teams’ equal shots on goal suggest a balanced threat.
Liga Pro’s broader trends support the AI’s betting tips for a low-scorer:
Cuenca’s recent 0:0 draw against Barcelona SC (at 8.0 odds!) proves they can grind out results. Libertad, meanwhile, averages just over a goal per game at home. The head-to-head history—combined with these stats—paints a picture of patience over fireworks.
Our Libertad vs Deportivo Cuenca prediction boils down to this: a tactical stalemate. The 1X market (Libertad win or draw) at 1.4 odds offers solid value, while under 3.5 goals feels almost inevitable. Cuenca’s higher squad value and league position might not translate to dominance here—Libertad’s home grit and Cuenca’s travel fatigue could cancel each other out.
So, grab your betting slip, aim for the safer plays, and prepare for a match where every chance might count double. After all, in Liga Pro, surprises are never far away—just ask Barcelona SC.
Read More
Deportivo has an unusually high recent form
U3.5 -303
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -3031X -222
Libertad to win or drawUnder 3.5 -303
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -149
Both teams are expected to score1X&U4.5 -152
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1:1
|
|
2
-
2
-
1
|
|
 Deportivo |
08-Mar-25
0:1
| Libertad  |
| Deportivo |
23-Nov-24
1:1
| Libertad |
| Libertad |
28-May-24
0:0
| Deportivo |
| Deportivo |
12-Aug-23
2:1
| Libertad |
| Libertad |
04-Mar-23
3:1
| Deportivo |
Recent Matches of Libertad| 06 Dec |
Independi.
|
-
| Libertad.
| |
| 30 Nov | D |
Libertad.
|
1:1
| Barcelona SC.
|
Recent Matches of Deportivo
| 06 Dec | D | Dep. Cuenca. |
0:0 |
Delfin. |
| 30 Nov | L |  Aucas. |
2:1 |
Dep. Cuenca. |
Ecuador - Liga Pro| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Independiente | 30 | 55-23 | 64 |
| 2 |
Barcelona SC | 30 | 46-33 | 54 |
| 3 |
LDU de Quito | 30 | 48-31 | 51 |
| 4 |
Universidad Ca | 30 | 58-39 | 49 |
| 5 |
Orense SC | 30 | 34-32 | 47 |
| 6 |
Libertad | 30 | 42-36 | 46 |
| 7 |
Deportivo Cuen | 30 | 35-29 | 46 |
| 8 |
Emelec | 30 | 30-34 | 42 |
| 9 |
Aucas | 30 | 38-41 | 41 |
| 10 |
Macara | 30 | 32-30 | 38 |
| 11 |
El Nacional | 30 | 32-46 | 34 |
| 12 |
Delfin SC | 30 | 26-42 | 31 |
| 13 |
Tecnico Univer | 30 | 26-46 | 28 |
| 14 |
Cuniburo | 30 | 34-43 | 27 |
| 15 |
Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 38-50 | 27 |
| 16 |
Manta FC | 30 | 34-53 | 26 |
