Lommel United
-
RAAL L
€7.18m
When Lommel United hosts RAAL La Louviere at Soeverein Stadion on April 18, 2025, it will be a classic case of form versus the league table. With 27 points separating 11th-placed Lommel (29 pts) from third-placed RAAL (56 pts), the match presents an intriguing puzzle for fans and bettors alike.
On paper, this should be a straightforward contest. RAAL La Louviere have been among the Challenger Pro League's most consistent performers, while Lommel United have struggled for much of the season. But football is rarely that simple.
Lommel's shocking 1-0 away victory over RWDM on April 11 - achieved at 9.0 odds - has thrown an interesting wrinkle into the prediction landscape. This giant-killing performance proves they can rise to the occasion against superior opposition.
RAAL's position near the top of the table reflects their season-long consistency, but Lommel's recent upset suggests they might be finding form at just the right time. The question is whether this was a one-off inspired performance or the start of a genuine resurgence.
Looking deeper into the numbers reveals why RAAL remain strong favorites despite Lommel's recent heroics. The visitors' superior efficiency in front of goal has been a season-long strength, while Lommel have often struggled to turn possession into clear chances.
The possession stats tell an interesting story - RAAL average 53% possession compared to Lommel's 47%. But more revealing are the shooting numbers: RAAL average 15 shots per game with 5 on target, while Lommel manage just 7 shots with only 1 on target. This five-fold difference in on-target attempts explains much of the gap between these sides.
Set pieces could play a significant role, with RAAL averaging 4 corners per game to Lommel's 1. Discipline may also factor in - RAAL typically receive 2 yellow cards per match compared to Lommel's 1, suggesting they play a more aggressive style.
Our analysis gives RAAL La Louviere a 6.7/10 confidence rating for victory, reflected in their 1.44 away win odds. The most likely scoreline prediction is 0-2, with a strong probability (1.42 odds) of under 3.5 goals in the match.
The expected match progression sees RAAL leading 0-1 at halftime before securing the 0-2 final result. This aligns with Lommel's poor shot conversion rate and RAAL's superior efficiency in front of goal.
This Lommel United vs RAAL La Louviere prediction ultimately comes down to whether one believes in momentum or quality. While Lommel's recent upset proves they can compete with top sides, RAAL's season-long consistency and superior statistical profile make them the safer bet.
The 27-point gap in the table didn't appear by accident, and while football always allows for surprises, the numbers suggest RAAL should have enough to overcome a spirited Lommel challenge. Expect a controlled away performance with RAAL's superior chance creation proving the difference.
For those looking at the betting markets, the 0-2 correct score and under 3.5 goals both appear solid choices based on these teams' profiles. Just don't be entirely shocked if Lommel's newfound belief makes this closer than the table suggests.
Lommel U no motivation!
2 -227
RAAL L is expected to win with odds of -2272 -227
RAAL L is expected to win with odds of -227Under 3.5 -222
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -108
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U4.5 -256
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:1
0:2
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1
-
0
-
2
|
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18-Apr-25
1:2
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RAAL L ![]() |
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24-Nov-24
5:1
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Lommel U ![]() |
11 Apr | W |
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0:1
| Lommel U.
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11 Apr |
![]()
1 1.27
X 5.3
2 9
|
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05 Apr | W |
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2:0
| KRC Genk .
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05 Apr |
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1 1.93
X 3.7
2 3.4
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30 Mar | L |
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1:0
| Lommel U.
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30 Mar |
![]()
1 2
X 3.35
2 3.5
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15 Mar | L |
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0:1
| Patro E.
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15 Mar |
![]()
1 4.06
X 3.6
2 1.75
|
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08 Mar | W |
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0:1
| Lommel U.
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08 Mar |
![]()
1 1.53
X 4.4
2 5
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02 Mar | D |
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2:2
| Seraing U.
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02 Mar |
![]()
1 1.78
X 3.6
2 4.1
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22 Feb | L |
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1:2
| Waasland.
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22 Feb |
![]()
1 2.85
X 3.3
2 2.3
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15 Feb | L |
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5:0
| Lommel U.
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15 Feb |
![]()
1 2.7
X 3.35
2 2.36
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07 Feb | L |
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0:2
| Brugge II.
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07 Feb |
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1 2.3
X 3.45
2 2.75
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01 Feb | L |
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3:2
| Lommel U.
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01 Feb |
![]()
1 2.7
X 3.2
2 2.5
|
06 Apr | W | ![]() |
2:1
|
Francs B.![]() |
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06 Apr |
![]()
1 1.38
X 4.5
2 7
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29 Mar | W | ![]() |
0:1
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RAAL L.![]() |
|
29 Mar |
![]()
1 4.8
X 4.1
2 1.57
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14 Mar | W | ![]() |
2:1
|
Lierse K.![]() |
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14 Mar |
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1 1.45
X 4.3
2 6.1
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09 Mar | D | ![]() |
1:1
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RAAL L.![]() |
|
09 Mar |
![]()
1 3.35
X 3.6
2 1.95
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28 Feb | W | ![]() |
2:0
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AS Eupen.![]() |
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28 Feb |
![]()
1 1.65
X 3.6
2 4.75
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23 Feb | D | ![]() |
1:1
|
RAAL L.![]() |
|
23 Feb |
![]()
1 2.84
X 3.24
2 2.36
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15 Feb | W | ![]() |
4:1
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Seraing U.![]() |
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15 Feb |
![]()
1 1.36
X 4.75
2 7.1
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09 Feb | W | ![]() |
0:5
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RAAL L.![]() |
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09 Feb |
![]()
1 3.8
X 3.3
2 1.91
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02 Feb | D | ![]() |
0:0
|
Waregem.![]() |
|
02 Feb |
![]()
1 2.5
X 3.3
2 2.61
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26 Jan | L | ![]() |
2:1
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RAAL L.![]() |
|
26 Jan |
![]()
1 4.1
X 3.7
2 1.75
|
Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 |
![]() |
28 |
55-30 |
59 |
2 |
![]() |
28 |
50-24 |
59 |
3 |
![]() |
28 |
42-21 |
57 |
4 |
![]() |
28 |
41-27 |
51 |
5 |
![]() |
28 |
51-28 |
49 |
6 |
![]() |
28 |
46-35 |
47 |
7 |
![]() |
28 |
32-35 |
41 |
8 |
![]() |
28 |
40-35 |
40 |
9 |
![]() |
28 |
38-44 |
34 |
10 |
![]() |
28 |
38-47 |
30 |
11 |
![]() |
28 |
32-46 |
29 |
12 |
![]() |
28 |
29-50 |
28 |
13 |
![]() |
28 |
41-54 |
23 |
14 |
![]() |
28 |
28-55 |
19 |
15 |
![]() |
28 |
30-62 |
14 |
16 |
![]() |
0 |
0-0 |
-6 |