Manta vs Mushuc Runa SC Prediction

Manta vs Mushuc Runa SC Prediction: Liga Pro Betting Preview & Stats

If you’re searching for the most insightful Manta vs Mushuc Runa SC prediction ahead of their Liga Pro meeting on May 10, 2025, you’ve come to the right place. With both teams separated by five points and five places in the current standings, this encounter at Estadio Jocay promises to be a fascinating contest for sports betting fans and stat lovers alike.

Setting the Scene: League Positions and Recent Surprises

Manta currently finds themselves in 14th place, having collected 10 points from 11 matches—a position that leaves little room for comfort. Mushuc Runa SC, meanwhile, sits more comfortably in 9th, with 15 points to their name. The five-point gap between these sides at this stage of the season is significant, but recent results suggest both are capable of defying expectations.

• Manta’s 1:1 draw with LDU de Quito on April 26, achieved at long odds of 5.35, showed their ability to punch above their weight.


• Mushuc Runa SC stunned Cruzeiro away from home with a 1:2 win on April 10, a result that paid out at a whopping 7.8 and underlined their giant-killing potential.

Betting Odds and What the Bookmakers Expect

The betting odds for this match are as tight as they come: a home win for Manta is priced at 2.58, a draw at 3.18, and an away win for Mushuc Runa SC at 2.7. These figures suggest the bookmakers expect a fiercely competitive encounter, with neither team a clear favorite. For sports betting enthusiasts, this is the kind of fixture where value can be found with the right prediction.

• Home win: 2.58


• Draw: 3.18


• Away win: 2.7

Expert Tips and Predicted Scorelines

NerdyTips’ best recommendation for this match is over 1.5 goals (at least two goals in the game), rated 6.7/10 with odds of 1.29. The AI prediction backs this up with a confidence of 6.8 and the same odds. The 1x2 prediction slightly favors an away win for Mushuc Runa SC, but with a modest trust level of 3.0. The expected scorelines—2:3 at full-time and 1:1 at half-time—suggest a match with plenty of attacking intent and potential for drama.

• Over 1.5 goals: Odds 1.29, confidence 6.7/10


• Predicted full-time score: 2:3


• Predicted half-time score: 1:1

Key Match Stats and Tactical Insights

Digging into the expected match stats, Manta is projected to control 57% possession and take 9 shots (2 on target), while Mushuc Runa SC, despite only 43% possession, are forecast to be more dangerous with 17 shots (6 on target). This suggests a classic scenario: Manta may see more of the ball, but Mushuc Runa SC could be more incisive on the break—especially given their recent giant-killing exploits.

• Manta: 57% possession, 9 shots (2 on target), 4 corners, 3 yellow cards


• Mushuc Runa SC: 43% possession, 17 shots (6 on target), 5 corners, 1 yellow card

Team valuations also hint at a potential edge for the visitors: Manta’s squad is valued at €5.78m, while Mushuc Runa SC’s is a more robust €8.27m. While money doesn’t always buy results, it can provide depth and quality—factors that may come into play as the match wears on.

Historical Liga Pro Trends: What Do the Numbers Say?

Looking at Liga Pro historical data, home teams win 39.5% of matches, while away sides take the points 23.3% of the time. Draws are not uncommon, occurring in 37.1% of games. Both teams score in 45.4% of fixtures, and over 1.5 goals land in 63.6%—a stat that aligns well with the main betting tip for this match. Over 2.5 goals is less frequent at 41.9%, and over 3.5 goals drops to 22.6%.

• Home win %: 39.5


• Away win %: 23.3


• Draw %: 37.1


• Both teams score: 45.4%


• Over 1.5 goals: 63.6%


• Over 2.5 goals: 41.9%


• Over 3.5 goals: 22.6%

Given these trends and the predicted scoreline, the Manta vs Mushuc Runa SC prediction of over 1.5 goals looks statistically sound. The head to head history between these sides has often produced unpredictable results, and with both teams capable of springing surprises, a close contest with goals at both ends seems likely.

Final Thoughts: Where’s the Value?

In summary, this Liga Pro fixture is shaping up to be a must-watch for sports betting fans. Manta’s expected possession advantage could be offset by Mushuc Runa SC’s greater attacking threat and recent record of upsetting the odds. With both teams showing a knack for the unexpected, and the stats pointing toward goals, the best value bet appears to be over 1.5 goals. However, don’t rule out a narrow away win—especially if Mushuc Runa SC can replicate their recent heroics.

For those seeking a well-rounded Manta vs Mushuc Runa SC prediction, expect a competitive, open match with at least two goals, and keep an eye on the away side’s ability to make the most of their chances. This is one Liga Pro head to head that could go down to the wire.