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Match Prediction

Metz vs Dunkerque Prediction

Finished
France flag France
Ligue 2

Metz

€29.40m

17 May11:00
1 : 0

Dunkerque

€22.05m

Preview

Metz vs Dunkerque Prediction Ligue 2

Metz vs Dunkerque Prediction: Can Metz Make Home Advantage Count?

If you’re searching for a detailed Metz vs Dunkerque prediction ahead of the 2025-05-17 Ligue 2 match at Stade Saint-Symphorien, you’re in the right place. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just dipping your toes into football predictions, this story-driven preview breaks down the numbers, the odds, and the subtle cues that could make all the difference for your next bet.

Setting the Stage: Metz’s Fortress vs Dunkerque’s Grit

With the season winding down, every point counts, and both Metz and Dunkerque have something to prove. Metz, playing in front of their home fans, come into this one with a clear edge—not just in squad value (€29.40m vs. Dunkerque’s €22.05m), but also in recent head to head history. In their last meeting (2024.092-09), Metz secured a solid 2:0 win, and the betting odds then (1.75 for Metz, 4.33 for Dunkerque) mirrored the current sentiment.

Key Stats and Trends

  • Metz home win odds: 1.91 (confidence rating: 5.1/10)
  • Draw odds: 3.5
  • Dunkerque away win odds: 4.09
  • Over 1.5 goals odds: 1.28 (trust level: 7.5/10)
  • Ligue 2 home win rate: 35.3%
  • Both teams scored in: 39.5% of Ligue 2 matches
  • Over 1.5 goals in: 56.8% of Ligue 2 matches

Looking at the projected match stats, Metz is expected to dominate possession (59% vs 41%), fire 12 shots (5 on target), and win more corners (5 to Dunkerque’s 3). The AI prediction? A lively 3:2 victory for Metz, with the home side leading 1:0 at halftime—suggesting a game that could open up after the break.

Expert Analysis: Where the Value Lies

Let’s break down why our Metz vs Dunkerque prediction leans strongly towards a home win and over 1.5 total goals:

  1. Home Strength & Squad Value: Metz’s higher squad value and home advantage are hard to ignore. They’ve shown resilience, including a gritty 1:1 away draw with Marseille earlier in the year (with massive odds of 9.5), underlining their ability to perform under pressure.
  2. Recent Upsets: Dunkerque’s 3:2 triumph at Stade Brestois 29 (odds: 5.7) proves they can surprise on their day. But away from home, against a more valuable squad, the task looks steeper.
  3. Goal Trends: Ligue 2’s tendency for over 1.5 goals (56.8% of matches) fits perfectly with both teams’ recent scoring patterns and the AI’s 3:2 scoreline forecast. The over 1.5 goals market at 1.28 odds, with a 7.5/10 trust rating, is NerdyTips’ top recommendation for a reason.
  4. Discipline and Corners: Expect Metz to keep things tidy (projected 1 yellow card), while Dunkerque’s likely to pick up two. Corners also favor the home side, another tick in the Metz column.

Betting Tips: Metz vs Dunkerque Prediction

  • Over 1.5 goals (odds 1.28): This is our top pick, with both teams showing they can find the net and Ligue 2’s goal averages backing it up.
  • Metz to win (odds 1.91): With recent head to head dominance, home advantage, and superior squad value, Metz is the smart choice in the 1x2 market.

While Dunkerque’s fighting spirit can’t be underestimated, Metz’s combination of possession, home support, and recent form make them the favorites. If you’re feeling adventurous, the AI-predicted 3:2 scoreline hints at value in the both teams to score and over 2.5 goals markets, but the safest route remains over 1.5 total goals.

Final Verdict: Metz to Edge a High-Scoring Encounter

To sum up this Metz vs Dunkerque prediction: all signs point to a home win in an entertaining match with at least two goals. The stats, recent head to head, and betting odds all support Metz, but Dunkerque’s knack for an upset means the over 1.5 goals market is the standout safe bet. Whichever way you play it, expect a lively afternoon at Stade Saint-Symphorien—and maybe a few nervous moments along the way!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Metz didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Metz vs Dunkerque

O1.5 -357

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -357
7/10

1x2 Tip

1 -110

Metz is expected to win with odds of -110
5/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -357

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -133

Both teams are expected to score
6/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -182

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
5/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

3:2

Stats Predictions

59%
Ball Possession
41%
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
2
3
Shots Off Goal
4
5
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

4.4
Total Goals
2.4
2.7
Goals Scored
1.1
1.7
Goals Against
1.3
64%
Possession
53%
11.4
Total Shots
11.5
4.9
Shots on Goal
3.9
3.6
Shots off Goal
4.3
9.9
Fouls
10.8
5
Corners
4.5
1.8
Offsides
1.9
1.89
Yellow Cards
1.25
0
Red Cards
0.13
549
Total Passes
438

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
3
10
Over 1.5 Goals
6
10
Over 2.5 Goals
3
7
Over 3.5 Goals
3
10
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Metz
4 - 0 - 0
Dunkerque
Metz Metz 17-May-25
1:0
Dunkerque Dunkerque
Dunkerque Dunkerque 15-Mar-25
2:3
Metz Metz
Metz Metz 09-Dec-24
2:0
Dunkerque Dunkerque

Profile time Recent Matches of Metz

07 Dec Auxerre Auxerre.
-
Metz. Metz

Profile time Recent Matches of Dunkerque

06 DecWDunkerque Dunkerque.
1:0
St Etienne.St Etienne

France - Ligue 2 France - Ligue 2

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Lorient Lorient34
68-31
71
2 Paris FC Paris FC34
55-33
69
3 Metz Metz34
64-34
65
4 Dunkerque Dunkerque34
47-40
56
5 Guingamp Guingamp34
57-45
55
6 Annecy Annecy34
42-43
51
7 Laval Laval34
44-38
50
8 Bastia Bastia34
43-37
48
9 Grenoble Grenoble34
43-44
46
10 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes34
36-34
44
11 Amiens Amiens34
38-50
43
12 Ajaccio Ajaccio34
30-42
42
13 PAU PAU34
39-53
42
14 Rodez Rodez34
56-54
39
15 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 9334
37-51
38
16 Clermont Foot Clermont Foot34
30-46
33
17 Martigues Martigues34
29-56
32
18 Caen Caen34
31-58
22
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