icon back

Match Prediction

Minnesota United vs Los Angeles Prediction

Finished
USA flag USA
Major League Soccer

Minnesota

€44.25m

16 Jul20:30
0 : 1

Los Angeles

€42.67m

Preview

Minnesota vs Los Angeles Prediction Major League Soccer

Minnesota United vs Los Angeles Prediction: Allianz Ambush?

Alright folks, let's dive into a midweek MLS treat over at Allianz Field. Our Minnesota United vs Los Angeles prediction centres on a fascinating setup: the home side, Minnesota United, are sitting pretty in 6th place with 40 points, while the visitors, Los Angeles FC, are languishing down in 12th with just 32. That 8-point gap looks significant on paper, but the bookies are telling a different story, and that’s where things get interesting.

The Tactical Tug-of-War

Get ready for a classic clash of styles. Our tactical forecast suggests LAFC will come to town expecting to dominate the football, with a predicted 58% possession. They’ll likely be neat and tidy, passing the ball around, trying to probe for openings. But don't let that fool you into thinking the Loons will just be spectators in their own home. Despite seeing less of the ball (42%), our model predicts they’ll be just as threatening. The numbers point to an almost identical attacking output: 11 shots for LAFC and 10 for Minnesota, with both teams expected to land 4 shots on target. This paints a picture of an efficient, counter-punching Minnesota against a possession-heavy LAFC. The real edge for the hosts could come from set-pieces, with a predicted 5-2 corner count in their favour. Expect a relatively clean game, with the currently unlisted referee only needing to flash 2 yellows for Minnesota and just 1 for the visitors.

Head-to-Head and the Betting Odds Puzzle

Here’s the head-scratcher. Despite the league table, the betting odds are incredibly tight. LAFC are the marginal favourites at 2.50, with Minnesota at 2.64 and the Draw at 3.50. Why? It’s hard to say. The squad values are nearly identical (€44.25m for the Loons vs. €42.67m for LAFC), so there’s no huge disparity there. Looking at the recent head to head, Minnesota comfortably beat LAFC 2-0 back in March 2024, cashing in for bettors at underdog odds of 2.85. The Loons have a history of defying expectations; just think back to their gritty 1-0 away win against the New York Red Bulls in 2022, where they overcame massive odds of 5.10. They know how to grind out a result.

NerdyTips AI Verdict: Our Minnesota United vs Los Angeles Prediction

After crunching all the numbers, our AI has a clear view of how this one plays out. While the match result odds are tight, the data points towards goals.

  • Top Bet: Over 2.5 total goals at odds of 1.75. This isn't a wild punt; it's rooted in a strong league-wide trend. A massive 58.1% of all MLS games this season have featured three or more goals. Our AI gives this a confidence score of 4.8/10, with the pure statistical model slightly higher at 4.9/10.
  • Value Bet: Minnesota to win or draw (1X) at odds of 1.50. The AI’s confidence here is lower (2.0/10), but the logic is sound. Home advantage in the MLS is a beast, with home teams winning 49.0% of the time, compared to just 25.6% for away sides.
  • Bold Score Prediction: The AI is calling a 3-0 victory for Minnesota United, with a 1-0 lead at halftime. This reflects the potential for the Loons to be ruthlessly efficient, turning their fewer chances into goals and making LAFC pay for all their fruitless possession.

So, while the bookies are leaning ever so slightly towards the visitors, our data suggests the value lies with the home side and, more confidently, with the goals market. The stage is set for Minnesota to make a statement.

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Minnesota vs Los Angeles

O2.5 -133

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -133
4/10

1x2 Tip

1X -200

Minnesota to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -133

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No 120

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -128

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

3:0

Stats Predictions

42%
Ball Possession
58%
10
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
4
3
Shots Off Goal
4
5
Corners
2
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

3.3
Total Goals
2.6
2
Goals Scored
1.5
1.3
Goals Against
1.1
40%
Possession
55%
10.6
Total Shots
13.4
4.5
Shots on Goal
5.1
4
Shots off Goal
5
14.1
Fouls
11.1
4
Corners
3.4
1.7
Offsides
2.3
2
Yellow Cards
1.5
0
Red Cards
0
340
Total Passes
534

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
4
8
Over 1.5 Goals
8
7
Over 2.5 Goals
5
6
Over 3.5 Goals
3
8
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Minnesota United
3 - 5 - 5
Los Angeles
Los Angeles Los A 22-Feb-25
1:0
Minnesota Minnesota United
Los Angeles Los A 30-May-24
2:0
Minnesota Minnesota United
Minnesota United Minnesota 17-Mar-24
2:0
Los A Los Angeles
Los Angeles Los A 05-Oct-23
5:1
Minnesota Minnesota United
Minnesota United Minnesota 16-Jul-23
1:1
Los A Los Angeles
Minnesota United Minnesota 14-Sep-22
1:1
Los A Los Angeles
Los Angeles Los A 02-May-22
2:0
Minnesota Minnesota United
Minnesota United Minnesota 24-Oct-21
1:1
Los A Los Angeles
Los Angeles Los A 29-Jul-21
2:2
Minnesota Minnesota United
Minnesota United Minnesota 30-Sep-19
1:1
Los A Los Angeles

USA - Major League Soccer USA - Major League Soccer

Team Matches Goals Points
1 San Diego San Diego34
64-41
63
2 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whit34
66-38
63
3 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC34
65-40
60
4 Minnesota United FC Minnesota Unit34
56-39
58
5 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounde34
58-48
55
6 Austin Austin34
37-45
47
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas34
52-55
44
8 Portland Timbers Portland Timbe34
41-48
44
9 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake34
38-49
41
10 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earth34
60-63
41
11 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapid34
44-56
41
12 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo34
43-56
37
13 St. Louis City St. Louis City34
44-58
32
14 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Ga34
46-66
30
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansa34
46-70
28
Video preview
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches