Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Sweden
Mjallby AIF
€12.00m
Hammarby FF
€29.30m
Preview
The coastal breeze of Strandvallen will set the stage for an intriguing Allsvenskan battle as Mjallby AIF hosts Hammarby FF on April 18, 2025. With odds suggesting a tight contest (Home: 2.655, Draw: 3.3, Away: 2.6553), this matchup promises tactical nuance rather than a goal-fest. Let’s unravel why the numbers—and the narrative—point toward a cagey affair.
Mjallby’s €12m squad may lack the financial firepower of Hammarby’s €29.3m roster, but their recent form proves money isn’t everything. Remember their 3-0 demolition of Hammarby in May 2024? Or last summer’s 2-1 stunner against Malmö at 5.15 odds? This is a team that thrives as underdogs. Yet, Hammarby’s superior possession (52% vs. Mjallby’s 48%) and slightly sharper shooting (5 on-target attempts per game vs. 4) suggest they’ll control tempo—even if finishing remains a question.
The AI leans toward Hammarby avoiding defeat (Double Chance X2 at 1.5 odds) and under 3.5 goals (1.29 odds), and here’s why: Allsvenskan’s league-wide trends show only 24.6% of matches exceed 3.5 goals, while 68.1% barely clear the 1.5 mark. Add Strandvallen’s compact dimensions—a stage where Mjallby’s disciplined shape (averaging just 2 yellow cards per game) frustrates opponents—and you’ve got a recipe for tension.
Hammarby’s set-piece vulnerability (10 total corners expected) could be Mjallby’s golden ticket, but the visitors’ marginally better shot accuracy hints they’ll find a way to scrape something. A 1-1 draw, mirroring our predicted scoreline, feels poetic: Hammarby’s possession meets Mjallby’s resilience, with both teams canceling each other out after a goalless first half.
Mjallby’s 15 total shots per game might seem promising, but converting just 4 on target reveals inefficiency. Hammarby’s 14 attempts with 5 on frame aren’t much better, but that extra precision—plus their historical edge in squad value—tips the scales slightly. Factor in Allsvenskan’s 31.5% draw rate this season, and the Double Chance bet becomes a safety net with teeth.
For bettors eyeing value: The under 3.5 goals market at 1.29 odds is practically whispering, given 46.3% of league games surpass 2.5. And if you’re feeling adventurous, a correct score punt on 1-1 (often hovering around 6.0 odds elsewhere) aligns neatly with both teams’ tendencies.
So, as the clock ticks toward kickoff, expect Strandvallen to host a chess match—not a carnival. Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF prediction models favor pragmatism over flair, and so should your bets.
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Avoid first matches from a league!
U3.5 -345
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -345X2 -217
Hammarby FF to win or drawUnder 3.5 -345
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -133
Both teams are expected to scoreX2&U4.5 -141
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1:1
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6
-
2
-
6
|
|
 Hammarby FF |
22-May-25
1:2
| Mjallby AIF  |
| Mjallby AIF |
18-Apr-25
3:1
| Hammarby FF |
| Hammarby FF |
28-Jul-24
3:0
| Mjallby AIF |
| Mjallby AIF |
15-May-24
3:0
| Hammarby FF |
| Hammarby FF |
04-Mar-24
1:1
| Mjallby AIF |
| Mjallby AIF |
27-Aug-23
0:3
| Hammarby FF |
| Hammarby FF |
09-May-23
0:0
| Mjallby AIF |
| Mjallby AIF |
18-Mar-23
1:0
| Hammarby FF |
| Mjallby AIF |
16-Oct-22
0:3
| Hammarby FF |
| Hammarby FF |
15-Apr-22
2:0
| Mjallby AIF |
Sweden - Allsvenskan| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Mjallby AIF | 30 | 57-18 | 75 |
| 2 |
Hammarby FF | 30 | 60-29 | 62 |
| 3 |
Gais | 30 | 45-30 | 52 |
| 4 |
IFK Goteborg | 30 | 41-33 | 51 |
| 5 |
Djurgardens IF | 30 | 52-32 | 49 |
| 6 |
Malmo FF | 30 | 46-33 | 49 |
| 7 |
AIK Stockholm | 30 | 40-33 | 48 |
| 8 |
IF Elfsborg | 30 | 45-51 | 40 |
| 9 |
Sirius | 30 | 53-51 | 39 |
| 10 |
BK Hacken | 30 | 42-50 | 35 |
| 11 |
Halmstad | 30 | 24-50 | 35 |
| 12 |
IF Brommapojka | 30 | 40-47 | 31 |
| 13 |
Degerfors IF | 30 | 33-52 | 30 |
| 14 |
IFK Norrkoping | 30 | 40-57 | 29 |
| 15 |
Osters IF | 30 | 29-48 | 26 |
| 16 |
IFK Varnamo | 30 | 36-69 | 16 |
