Modena vs Cesena Prediction

Modena vs Cesena Prediction: Serie B Betting Preview, Odds & Football Tips

Welcome to your ultimate Modena vs Cesena prediction for the Serie B late-season encounter set for May 13, 2025, at the iconic Stadio Alberto Braglia. With just a handful of games left, the stakes couldn’t be higher: Modena, sitting 11th with 45 points from 37 matches, host eighth-placed Cesena, who are only five points ahead on 50. That’s a gap that’s slim enough to keep both sets of fans nervously checking the live table—and perhaps their blood pressure, too!

Setting the Scene: Table Position, Odds & What They Mean

Let’s talk betting odds and what the bookies are whispering about this one:

• Modena win: 2.85


• Draw: 2.88


• Cesena win: 2.7

The odds say it all—Cesena are slight favorites, but not by much, reflecting the modest gap in table position. The draw is priced just a hair under a Modena win, which tells you that even the bookmakers can’t quite put their finger on this one. Serie B, after all, is a league where predictability goes to die.

AI Model & Best Bets: Over 1.5 Goals and the Case for Cesena

NerdyTips’ AI model has crunched the numbers, and here’s what it spits out:

• Best Bet: Over 1.5 goals (odds 1.4, confidence 5.2.850)


• 1x2 Prediction: Cesena win (2) with a trust level of 2.7 and odds of 2.7


• Predicted Score: 1:2 to Cesena (first half: 0:1 Cesena)

So, if you’re after straightforward football tips, the AI leans toward Cesena and a game with at least two goals. Not exactly a wild punt, but in this league, sometimes boring is brave.

Expected Match Stats: Who’s Likely to Boss the Game?

Here’s what the stat forecast looks like for this Modena vs Cesena prediction:

• Possession: Modena 48%, Cesena 52%


• Shots: Modena 9, Cesena 10


• Shots on Target: Both teams 2


• Corners: Modena 2, Cesena 5 (total 7)


• Yellow Cards: Modena 1, Cesena 2

Expect Cesena to edge the ball and rack up more corners, but both sides seem equally shy in front of goal—just two shots on target apiece. If you’re expecting a shooting gallery, maybe save that ticket for another night!

Referee Watch: A. Arena’s Influence

With A. Arena in charge, you might want to keep an eye on the cards. The projected yellows (1 for Modena, 2 for Cesena) suggest a firm but fair approach—so don’t expect a card-fest, but a couple of heated moments are always on the menu in Serie B.

Squad Value & Depth: Who’s Got the Bench Power?

Team value can hint at squad depth and the quality of those impact subs:

• Modena: €21.70m


• Cesena: €24.25m

Cesena have a slight edge here, which could matter when legs get heavy in the final stretch. Don’t be surprised if a fresh face off the bench tips the balance late on.

Serie B Trends: Goals, Surprises, and Home Comforts

Let’s zoom out for a second. Across Serie B this season:

• Home teams have won 41.1% of games


• Away teams 26.7%


• Draws 32.2%


• Both teams scored in 52.6% of matches

Goals? Oh, there have been goals:

• Over 1.5 goals: 71.4%


• Over 2.5 goals: 43.7%


• Over 3.5 goals: 22.9%

If you’re after total goals, the numbers scream “over 1.5”—but don’t get too greedy, as only around 44% clear the 2.5 mark.

Form & Head to Head: Recent Results and Betting Angles

Here’s how both teams have fared in their last 10:

• Modena: 4 wins, 1.4 goals scored/1.2 conceded per game, 5 over 2.5 goals, 50.6% possession, 10.3 shots


• Cesena: 3 wins, 1.2 goals scored/1.1 conceded per game, 3 over 2.5 goals, 50% possession, 10 shots

Their most recent head to head (April 21, 2025) ended 0-0, which probably left the neutrals reaching for the remote. That day, Modena were slight favorites (odds 2.3) but couldn’t break through, while Cesena sat back and smiled—sometimes a point is a prize.

But don’t sleep on these teams’ ability to surprise. Modena stunned Napoli with a goalless draw at whopping 14.25 odds, while Cesena pulled off a 2-1 win at Verona (odds 5.5). If you’re chasing value, these sides have form for upsets.

Final Word: Modena vs Cesena Prediction & Betting Tips

So, how to play this? The Modena vs Cesena prediction tips Cesena to edge it, with AI and odds both nudging in their favor. Over 1.5 goals looks a safe shout, with league trends and both teams’ styles pointing to at least a couple hitting the net. But remember—it’s Serie B, where logic often takes a back seat to late drama and the unexpected.

So, weigh up the recent form, the modest table gap, and those tempting betting odds. If you’re after football tips, Cesena and over 1.5 goals are the smart picks, but don’t be afraid to trust your gut. Bet smart, enjoy the game, and remember: in Serie B, the only sure thing is the unexpected!