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Match Prediction

Mornar vs Bokelj Prediction

Finished
Montenegro flag Montenegro
First League

Mornar

€2.77m

18 May11:30
4 : 1

Bokelj

€1.77m

Preview

Mornar vs Bokelj Prediction First League

Mornar vs Bokelj Prediction: A Tight Affair in the Montenegrin First League

When it comes to the Montenegrin First League, predictability is often in short supply—but that’s what makes the Mornar vs Bokelj prediction so intriguing. This weekend’s clash at Stadion SRC Topolica promises tension, tactical battles, and perhaps a sprinkle of surprise. Let’s dive into the numbers, recent form, and why the stats suggest a low-scoring grind could be on the cards.

The Big Picture: Montenegrin First League Trends

Before zooming in on this fixture, it’s worth noting how the league typically behaves. Home teams win 38.3% of matches, away sides take all three points 29.9% of the time, and draws occur in 31.8% of games. Goals aren’t exactly flowing either: while 67.3% of matches see over 1.5 goals, only 41.6% surpass 2.5, and a mere 23.2% crack the 3.5 threshold. Both teams score in just 47% of games, hinting at defenses often coming out on top.

Meet the Contenders: Mornar and Bokelj

Mornar, with a squad valued at €2.77m, have shown flashes of brilliance this season—most notably their 0:1 away win over Buducnost Podgorica at staggering odds of 6.25. Bokelj, priced at €1.627m, pulled off a similar shock by beating the same opponent 2:1 at 5.0 odds. These results underline both teams’ ability to punch above their weight.

Their last head-to-head meeting on November 27, 2024, saw Mornar dominate 3:0, with pre-match odds reflecting a tight contest (Mornar 2.63, Bokelj 2.56). Fast forward to now, and the bookmakers favor Mornar again at 1.62, with a draw at 3.5 and Bokelj at 4.9. But do the numbers tell the full story?

Betting Tips: Where’s the Value?

Our AI crunched the data, and here’s the verdict:

  • Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.62, trust score 5.7/10): The league’s low-scoring nature and Bokelj’s resilience make this a smart pick.
  • Predicted score: 0:1 to Bokelj, with a goalless first half. Their recent away form suggests they could sneak a win.
  • X2 double chance (odds 1.8, trust 2.0): At nearly even money, backing Bokelj or the draw offers solid value.

The Referee Factor: A Lighthearted Unknown

Even the officials seem uncertain—no referee has been assigned yet, as if to say, “Good luck predicting this one!” It’s a fitting quirk for a match where margins could be razor-thin.

Final Thoughts: Trust the Trends

While Mornar are favorites, the head-to-head history and league trends suggest caution. With under 2.5 goals and the X2 double chance offering tempting odds, this might be a game for patient punters. Whether you’re backing Bokelj’s underdog spirit or banking on a cagey affair, the stats point to a battle where one moment could decide it all.

Remember: in the Montenegrin First League, surprises are part of the charm. Place your bets wisely, and enjoy the drama unfold.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Bokelj no motivation!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Mornar vs Bokelj

U2.5 -161

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -161
5/10

1x2 Tip

X2 107

Bokelj to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -161

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

No -152

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U3.5 173

Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Average / Match

3
Total Goals
1.7
0.9
Goals Scored
0.6
2.1
Goals Against
1.1

Overview Last 10 Matches

1
Wins
3
9
Over 1.5 Goals
5
5
Over 2.5 Goals
1
2
Over 3.5 Goals
1
4
Both Teams Scored
2
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Mornar
7 - 3 - 3
Bokelj
Bokelj Bokelj 13-Sep-25
1:2
Mornar Mornar
Mornar Mornar 18-May-25
4:1
Bokelj Bokelj
Bokelj Bokelj 29-Mar-25
0:2
Mornar Mornar
Mornar Mornar 27-Nov-24
3:0
Bokelj Bokelj
Mornar Mornar 23-Nov-24
1:1
Bokelj Bokelj
Bokelj Bokelj 22-Sep-24
2:0
Mornar Mornar
Bokelj Bokelj 22-May-21
2:1
Mornar Mornar
Mornar Mornar 10-Apr-21
2:1
Bokelj Bokelj
Bokelj Bokelj 22-Nov-20
0:0
Mornar Mornar

Profile time Recent Matches of Mornar

30 NovW Mornar Bar Mornar Bar.
3:1
Petrovac. Petrovac

Profile time Recent Matches of Bokelj

29 NovWBuducnost Buducnost.
0:1
Bokelj.Bokelj

Montenegro - First League Montenegro - First League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Buducnost Podgorica Buducnost Podg35
90-29
84
2 Petrovac Petrovac36
50-37
60
3 Sutjeska Sutjeska36
40-38
51
4 Dečić Dečić35
34-31
47
5 Mornar Mornar36
40-53
44
6 Bokelj Bokelj36
31-50
44
7 Jedinstvo Jedinstvo36
45-58
43
8 Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat36
32-47
42
9 Jezero Jezero36
35-44
39
10 Otrant-Olympic Otrant-Olympic36
43-53
35
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