Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Scotland
Morton
€3.08m
Dunfermline
€4.20m
Preview
Welcome to our in-depth Morton vs Dunfermline prediction, where we break down the numbers, trends, and betting odds for this Scottish Championship fixture at Cappielow Park, kicking off at 19:45 GMT on 2 May 2025. Whether you’re a casual fan or a seasoned sports betting enthusiast, our analysis combines head to head history, recent form, and value bets to help you make smart decisions—no crystal ball required, just stats, wit, and a dash of good sense.
Let’s start with the betting odds for this encounter:
Dunfermline get the slight edge from the bookmakers, but the numbers suggest this isn’t a foregone conclusion. In recent Scottish Championship seasons, home teams have won 39.1% of the time, with away victories at just 31.0%. For those eyeing the draw, it’s a tempting 30.0%. The odds reflect a tight contest, but Dunfermline’s away win price (2.55) is shorter than Morton’s home win (2.737), despite the league’s historical tilt toward home sides.
Looking at the recent head to head between these teams, Morton took the spoils in their last meeting on 21 December 2024 with a solid 2-0 win (Morton were 2.75 underdogs, Dunfermline 2.555). That result might tempt some to back the home side again, but context matters.
Dunfermline’s deeper pockets could translate to more quality on the pitch, which aligns with their current favorite status. And let’s not forget recent form: Morton’s last home game ended 0-0 at Ayr United (Morton were big outsiders at 5.25), showing defensive solidity but a lack of firepower. Meanwhile, Dunfermline cruised to a stunning 1-4 away win at Partick (at juicy 5.0 odds), proving they can deliver on the road—something bettors should note, even if away wins are less common in this league.
For many punters, the real value is found in the goals markets. AI analysis has flagged under 2.55 goals as the top value bet for this match, with a trust score of 8.0/10 and odds of 1.51. There’s plenty of data to support this Morton vs Dunfermline prediction:
Morton’s recent matches have been tight—most notably that 0-0 at Ayr—and Dunfermline, while capable of big scores (see: 1-4 at Partick), have also been involved in lower-scoring contests. The predicted final score here is 0:1 to Dunfermline, with a 0:0 halftime. That fits the under 2.55 trend and suggests a cautious first half before the away side’s extra quality (and squad value) tips the balance.
Here’s how our Morton vs Dunfermline prediction stacks up, tying together all the stats, odds, and historical trends:
With referee A. Grieve in charge—known for keeping games under control—expect a game where discipline and organization outweigh chaos. For sports betting fans, this fixture is a classic case of weighing historical data against current form and betting odds. Morton are no pushovers at home, but Dunfermline’s edge in squad value and recent away heroics tip the scale.
To sum up, our Morton vs Dunfermline prediction leans toward a narrow Dunfermline victory, but the real value lies in the goals market, with under 2.55 goals looking like the smartest play. The odds are tight, the head to head history is intriguing, and both teams have shown they can surprise. Whether you’re betting for fun or profit, remember that in Scottish Championship football, the only thing certain is uncertainty. Good luck, and may your bets be as well-researched as your banter!
Read More
Meaningless match!
U2.5 -196
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1962 155
Dunfermline is expected to win with odds of 155Under 2.5 -196
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -137
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U3.5 -125
Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
0:1
|
|
15
-
11
-
12
|
|
 Morton |
02-May-25
2:0
| Dunfermline  |
| Dunfermline |
01-Mar-25
2:1
| Morton |
| Morton |
21-Dec-24
2:0
| Dunfermline |
| Dunfermline |
19-Oct-24
0:0
| Morton |
| Morton |
23-Mar-24
0:1
| Dunfermline |
| Dunfermline |
03-Feb-24
0:5
| Morton |
| Morton |
03-Nov-23
1:2
| Dunfermline |
Recent Matches of Morton| 05 Dec | W |
Morton.
|
2:1
| Queen's Park.
|
Recent Matches of Dunfermline
| 06 Dec | L | Dunfermline. |
1:2 |
Arbroath. |
Scotland - Championship| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Falkirk | 36 | 72-33 | 73 |
| 2 |
Livingston | 36 | 55-27 | 70 |
| 3 |
Ayr Utd | 36 | 57-39 | 63 |
| 4 |
Partick | 36 | 43-38 | 55 |
| 5 |
Raith Rovers | 36 | 47-43 | 53 |
| 6 |
Morton | 36 | 42-48 | 48 |
| 7 |
Dunfermline | 36 | 28-43 | 35 |
| 8 |
Queen's Park | 36 | 36-55 | 35 |
| 9 |
Airdrie United | 36 | 34-62 | 29 |
| 10 |
Hamilton Acade | 36 | 38-64 | 21 |
