Motherwell
€14.40m
Kilmarnock
€12.20m
Preview
When Motherwell vs Kilmarnock prediction pops up on the fixture list, it’s rarely a dull affair. This time, with just four points separating the sides—Motherwell in 8th (39 points) and Kilmarnock in 9th (35 points)—the stakes feel even higher. The bookmakers agree, pricing this as a near coin-flip: Motherwell slight favorites at 2.64, Kilmarnock close behind at 2.7, and the draw at 3.2. Fir Park will host this Premiership duel on May 14th, and if history is any guide, goals and drama won’t be in short supply.
NerdyTips’ AI crunched the numbers, and the standout bet here is over 1.5 goals at 1.33 odds (5.1/10 confidence). It’s a smart pick when you consider:
Add the broader league context—home teams win 39.6% of games (away sides just 27.1%)—and the sports betting angle becomes clearer. Motherwell’s slight edge in squad value (€14.4m vs. €12.2m) and projected 55% possession might tip the scales, but Kilmarnock’s sharper finishing could level the playing field.
This isn’t just about betting odds; it’s about how these teams match up. Motherwell tends to control the ball, but Kilmarnock’s efficiency in front of goal (see those on-target stats) makes them dangerous on the break. The head-to-head history adds flavor: both pulled off shock wins over Rangers this season (Motherwell at 15.0 odds, Kilmarnock at 5.75), proving they thrive as underdogs.
Then there’s the 'derby spice': expect yellows. Motherwell averages 2 expected cards per game, Kilmarnock just 1. Whether the referee keeps control—or needs a backup whistle—could shape the game’s tempo.
While the 1X2 market leans toward Motherwell (1.4 confidence), the real sports betting value might lie elsewhere. Here’s why:
For those eyeing the Motherwell vs Kilmarnock prediction, the goals market offers a cushion. But as any fan knows, these mid-table battles often defy logic—just ask Rangers.
Expect a lively, scrappy contest at Fir Park. The betting odds suggest a tight game, and the stats back it up. Whether you’re backing goals, cards, or a late winner, this Premiership clash promises enough drama to keep punters—and fans—on the edge of their seats.
When Motherwell vs Kilmarnock prediction pops up on the fixture list, it’s rarely a dull affair. This time, with just four points separating the sides—Motherwell in 8th (39 points) and Kilmarnock in 9th (35 points)—the stakes feel even higher. The bookmakers agree, pricing this as a near coin-flip: Motherwell slight favorites at 2.64, Kilmarnock close behind at 2.7, and the draw at 3.2. Fir Park will host this Premiership duel on May 14th, and if history is any guide, goals and drama won’t be in short supply.
NerdyTips’ AI crunched the numbers, and the standout bet here is over 1.5 goals at 1.33 odds (5.1/10 confidence). It’s a smart pick when you consider:
Add the broader league context—home teams win 39.6% of games (away sides just 27.1%)—and the sports betting angle becomes clearer. Motherwell’s slight edge in squad value (€14.4m vs. €12.2m) and projected 55% possession might tip the scales, but Kilmarnock’s sharper finishing could level the playing field.
This isn’t just about betting odds; it’s about how these teams match up. Motherwell tends to control the ball, but Kilmarnock’s efficiency in front of goal (see those on-target stats) makes them dangerous on the break. The head-to-head history adds flavor: both pulled off shock wins over Rangers this season (Motherwell at 15.0 odds, Kilmarnock at 5.75), proving they thrive as underdogs.
Then there’s the 'derby spice': expect yellows. Motherwell averages 2 expected cards per game, Kilmarnock just 1. Whether the referee keeps control—or needs a backup whistle—could shape the game’s tempo.
While the 1X2 market leans toward Motherwell (1.4 confidence), the real sports betting value might lie elsewhere. Here’s why:
For those eyeing the Motherwell vs Kilmarnock prediction, the goals market offers a cushion. But as any fan knows, these mid-table battles often defy logic—just ask Rangers.
Expect a lively, scrappy contest at Fir Park. The betting odds suggest a tight game, and the stats back it up. Whether you’re backing goals, cards, or a late winner, this Premiership clash promises enough drama to keep punters—and fans—on the edge of their seats.
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O1.5 -303
At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -3031 164
Motherwell is expected to win with odds of 164Over 1.5 -303
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchYes -133
Both teams are expected to score1X&O1.5 -115
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
2:1
|
20
-
11
-
16
|
|
Motherwell |
14-May-25
3:0
| Kilmarnock ![]() |
Kilmarnock |
05-Apr-25
2:0
| Motherwell ![]() |
Kilmarnock |
08-Jan-25
0:0
| Motherwell ![]() |
Motherwell |
20-Dec-24
1:1
| Kilmarnock ![]() |
Motherwell |
18-Aug-24
1:0
| Kilmarnock ![]() |
Motherwell |
03-Feb-24
1:1
| Kilmarnock ![]() |
Kilmarnock |
04-Nov-23
1:0
| Motherwell ![]() |
Motherwell |
26-Aug-23
2:1
| Kilmarnock ![]() |
| 06 Dec |
Motherwell.
|
-
| Livingston.
| |
| 03 Dec | D |
Falkirk.
|
0:0
| Motherwell.
|
| 06 Dec | Kilmarnock. |
- |
Rangers.![]() | |
| 03 Dec | D | Hearts. |
1:1 |
Kilmarnock.![]() |
Scotland - Premiership| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Celtic | 33 | 97-22 | 81 |
| 2 |
Rangers | 33 | 68-35 | 66 |
| 3 |
Hibernian | 33 | 54-41 | 53 |
| 4 |
Dundee Utd | 33 | 41-40 | 50 |
| 5 |
Aberdeen | 33 | 45-49 | 50 |
| 6 |
ST Mirren | 33 | 45-54 | 41 |
| 7 |
Heart Of Midlo | 33 | 43-44 | 40 |
| 8 |
Motherwell | 33 | 37-56 | 39 |
| 9 |
Kilmarnock | 33 | 38-58 | 35 |
| 10 |
Ross County | 33 | 33-56 | 35 |
| 11 |
Dundee | 33 | 50-71 | 34 |
| 12 |
ST Johnstone | 33 | 33-58 | 29 |