Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Poland
Motor Lublin
€10.52m
Zaglebie Lubin
€13.48m
Preview
Welcome to your expert Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin prediction for the upcoming Ekstraklasa fixture on May 18, 2025, at 11:15 GMT. With just two games left in the season, Motor Lublin sit 10th with 43 points, while Zaglebie Lubin are fighting for survival in 15th on 36 points. Separated by seven points and five places, both teams have plenty to play for at the Motor Lublin Arena—and the betting odds suggest this could be a tightly contested affair.
With Motor Lublin comfortably mid-table and Zaglebie Lubin hovering just above the drop zone, the stakes couldn’t be clearer. The bookmakers have priced the home win at 2.4, the draw at 3.36, and the away win at 2.82. These odds tell a story: Motor Lublin are slight favorites, but there’s enough respect for Zaglebie Lubin’s fighting spirit to keep things interesting.
Given the narrow gap in betting odds, this Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin prediction is anything but straightforward. The market expects a competitive match, with both sides capable of taking all three points.
NerdyTips’ best recommendation for this fixture is over 2.5 goals (at least three total goals in the match), offered at odds of 1.73 and a trust level of 4.9/10. Why? Because the Ekstraklasa has been a fertile ground for goals this season:
With both teams averaging 13 shots per game (Motor Lublin 3 on target, Zaglebie Lubin 4), the ingredients are there for an open contest. The AI’s predicted final score of 1:2 and a half-time score of 1:1 further support the over 2.5 goals tip. Expect a lively first half, with the match opening up as desperation and ambition kick in after the break.
Motor Lublin are expected to control possession (59% to Zaglebie Lubin’s 41%), but Zaglebie’s direct style could make them dangerous on the counter. The projected 11 corners (6 for Motor, 5 for Zaglebie) and two yellow cards per team suggest a match with plenty of action and a few nervy moments—especially with Zaglebie Lubin fighting for their Ekstraklasa lives.
The AI’s recommended 1x2 bet is X2 (Zaglebie Lubin or Draw), with a trust score of 2.0 and odds of 1.57. Here’s why this bet might offer value:
Given Zaglebie Lubin’s need for points and their ability to grind out results on the road, backing them to avoid defeat makes statistical sense. The predicted 1:2 final score and the fact that both teams have a history of defying the odds only strengthen the case for X2.
On paper, Zaglebie Lubin’s squad is worth €13.368m, compared to Motor Lublin’s €10.52m. While money doesn’t guarantee results, it often translates to greater depth and experience—factors that can make a difference in high-pressure fixtures like this one.
Let’s not forget Motor Lublin’s dramatic 2:2 away draw with Rakow Czestochowa in December 2024, achieved as heavy underdogs (odds 7.08). Zaglebie Lubin pulled off a similar feat with a 1:1 draw at Rakow in May 2023 (odds 6.25). Both sides have shown they can punch above their weight, making this Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin prediction even more intriguing.
In summary, this Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin prediction points to a tense, entertaining affair with goals on the menu and value in backing the visitors to avoid defeat. Whether you’re chasing over 2.5 total goals or playing it safe with X2, the data and recent history both suggest this is one Ekstraklasa fixture you won’t want to miss. And remember, in football—and betting—expect the unexpected!
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Meaningless match!
O2.5 -137
At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -137X2 -182
Zaglebie Lubin to win or drawOver 2.5 -137
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -175
Both teams are expected to scoreX2&O1.5 -130
Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1:2
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3
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0
-
0
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|
 Motor Lublin |
18-May-25
1:0
| Zaglebie  |
| Zaglebie |
22-Nov-24
1:2
| Motor Lublin |
Recent Matches of Motor Lublin| 06 Dec |
Arka Gdynia.
|
-
| Motor Lublin.
| |
| 01 Dec | D |
Motor Lublin.
|
1:1
| Legia.
|
Recent Matches of Zaglebie
| 06 Dec | Zaglebie. |
- |
Widzew Lodz. | |
| 30 Nov | D | Zaglebie. |
0:0 |
Jagiellonia. |
Poland - Ekstraklasa| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan | 34 | 68-31 | 70 |
| 2 |
Raków Często | 34 | 51-23 | 69 |
| 3 |
Jagiellonia | 34 | 56-42 | 61 |
| 4 |
Pogon Szczecin | 34 | 59-40 | 58 |
| 5 |
Legia Warszawa | 34 | 60-45 | 54 |
| 6 |
Cracovia Krako | 34 | 58-53 | 51 |
| 7 |
Motor Lublin | 34 | 48-59 | 49 |
| 8 |
GKS Katowice | 34 | 49-47 | 49 |
| 9 |
Gornik Zabrze | 34 | 43-39 | 47 |
| 10 |
Piast Gliwice | 34 | 37-36 | 45 |
| 11 |
Korona Kielce | 34 | 37-45 | 45 |
| 12 |
Radomiak Radom | 34 | 48-52 | 41 |
| 13 |
Widzew Łódź | 34 | 38-49 | 40 |
| 14 |
Lechia Gdansk | 34 | 44-59 | 37 |
| 15 |
Zaglebie Lubin | 34 | 33-51 | 36 |
| 16 |
Stal Mielec | 34 | 39-56 | 31 |
| 17 |
Slask Wroclaw | 34 | 38-53 | 30 |
| 18 |
Puszcza Niepo | 34 | 37-63 | 28 |
