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Match Prediction

MTK Budapest vs Kecskemeti TE Prediction

Finished
Hungary flag Hungary
NB I

MTK Budapest

€8.98m

10 May11:45
2 : 1

Kecskemeti TE

€6.93m

Preview

MTK Budapest vs Kecskemeti TE Prediction NB I

MTK Budapest vs Kecskemeti TE Prediction: Can the Home Side Extend Their Dominance?

When MTK Budapest vs Kecskemeti TE takes center stage at Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion on May 10, 2025, the contrast between these two sides couldn’t be starker. MTK, sitting comfortably in 5th place with 43 points, host a Kecskemeti TE side languishing in 12th with just 24 points. The head-to-head record favors the hosts, who secured a convincing 3-1 victory in their last meeting back in October 2024. With bookmakers pricing an MTK win at 1.95 odds compared to Kecskemeti’s 3.5, the stage is set for a potentially one-sided affair—but football rarely follows the script blindly.

Why MTK Budapest Are the Clear Favorites

MTK’s superiority isn’t just reflected in the league table. Their squad’s market value (€8.98m) dwarfs Kecskemeti’s (€6.93m), highlighting the gulf in quality. Our AI model predicts a 2-0 victory for the hosts, with a 61% possession edge—a stat that aligns perfectly with their recent performances. Here’s why the numbers back MTK:

  • Recent form: MTK held giants Ferencvaros to a gritty 0-0 draw (defying 5.88 odds), proving they can frustrate even the league’s best.
  • Tactical edge: Expect 11 shots (3 on target) from MTK, compared to Kecskemeti’s 9 (2 on target), reinforcing their attacking threat.
  • Home advantage: While NB I home teams win just 38.9% of matches, MTK’s stronger squad and form suggest they’ll buck the trend.

Kecskemeti TE’s Uphill Battle

Kecskemeti’s struggles this season are no secret. With just 24 points, they’ve been plagued by inconsistency. Yet, their occasional resilience—like a 1-1 draw against Puskas Academy (at 5.9 odds)—means they can’t be entirely written off. Here’s what could work in their favor:

  • Low-block defensive approach: Averaging just 39% possession, they’re adept at stifling games—which could frustrate MTK’s buildup.
  • Set-piece threat: With corners likely split evenly (predicted 8 total), they might exploit dead-ball situations.
  • Underdog mentality: Their history of upset draws means complacency from MTK could be punished.

Tactical Nuances and Key Betting Tips

The MTK Budapest vs Kecskemeti TE prediction isn’t just about the outright winner—it’s about how the game unfolds. Our AI’s top tip? Under 3.5 goals at 1.38 odds (4.1/10 confidence). This aligns with league-wide trends, where only 26.4% of matches exceed 3.5 goals. Here’s why:

  1. MTK’s controlled possession (61% predicted) often leads to fewer end-to-end transitions.
  2. Kecskemeti’s defensive approach limits high-scoring games—only 3 of their last 10 matches saw over 3.5 goals.
  3. Referee leniency (0 expected yellow cards for both teams) might slow the tempo, reducing chaotic moments.

Final Verdict: A Controlled MTK Victory

While the head-to-head record and market values heavily favor MTK, Kecskemeti’s occasional stubbornness adds intrigue. Our betting tips lean toward a disciplined, low-scoring home win:

  • MTK to win 2-0 (HT: 1-0) – The most probable scoreline per AI analysis.
  • Under 3.5 goals – A near-statistical certainty given both teams’ tendencies.
  • Evenly matched corners – Despite MTK’s dominance, Kecskemeti’s defensive shape should keep this market balanced.

In a league where 35% of matches end in draws, MTK’s quality should shine through. Expect a methodical, possession-heavy performance from the hosts, with Kecskemeti struggling to land a meaningful blow. The MTK Budapest vs Kecskemeti TE prediction isn’t just about the result—it’s about trusting the data behind it.

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AI Predictions
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MTK Budapest no motivation!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for MTK Budapest vs Kecskemeti TE

U3.5 -263

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -263
4/10

1x2 Tip

1 -105

MTK Budapest is expected to win with odds of -105
3/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -263

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No 112

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -208

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:0

Stats Predictions

61%
Ball Possession
39%
11
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Goal
2
2
Shots Off Goal
3
4
Corners
4

Average / Match

3
Total Goals
3.1
1.5
Goals Scored
1.1
1.5
Goals Against
2
58%
Possession
47%
9.6
Total Shots
10.3
3.6
Shots on Goal
3.5
3
Shots off Goal
4.4
10.6
Fouls
11
3.8
Corners
3.9
2
Yellow Cards
2.38
0
Red Cards
0.13
491
Total Passes
370

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
0
9
Over 1.5 Goals
8
6
Over 2.5 Goals
7
3
Over 3.5 Goals
6
8
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

MTK Budapest
8 - 4 - 2
Kecskemeti TE
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 10-May-25
2:1
Kecskemeti Kecskemeti TE
Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti 15-Feb-25
5:0
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 05-Oct-24
3:1
Kecskemeti Kecskemeti TE
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 30-Mar-24
2:2
Kecskemeti Kecskemeti TE
Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti 02-Dec-23
1:2
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 19-Aug-23
1:0
Kecskemeti Kecskemeti TE
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 02-May-15
0:0
Kecskemeti Kecskemeti TE
Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti 18-Oct-14
0:1
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest
Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti 19-Apr-14
3:0
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 03-Dec-13
1:0
Kecskemeti Kecskemeti TE

Profile time Recent Matches of MTK Budapest

06 DecL Paks Paks.
3:1
MTK Budapest. MTK Budapest

Profile time Recent Matches of Kecskemeti

Hungary - NB I Hungary - NB I

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi T33
64-31
69
2 Puskas Academy Puskas Academy33
58-38
66
3 Paks Paks33
65-47
57
4 Gyori ETO FC Gyori ETO FC33
49-37
53
5 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest33
53-47
46
6 Diosgyori VTK Diosgyori VTK33
43-51
44
7 Ujpest Ujpest33
38-44
41
8 Nyiregyhaza Nyiregyhaza33
31-52
36
9 Debreceni VSC Debreceni VSC33
52-59
34
10 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi 33
35-42
34
11 Fehérvár FC Fehérvár FC33
34-52
31
12 Kecskeméti TE Kecskeméti TE33
31-53
25
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