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Match Prediction

New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami Prediction

Finished
USA flag USA
Major League Soccer

New Y

€34.40m

20 Jul00:30
1 : 5

Inter Miami

€66.18m

Preview

New Y vs Inter Miami Prediction Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami Prediction: Goals Expected as Messi Visits Harrison

Get ready for a night of fireworks at Sports Illustrated Stadium as we dive into our New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami prediction for July 20, 2025. With both teams eyeing the playoffs and Lionel Messi in electric form, this is one MLS match you won’t want to miss. Let’s break down the tactics, team news, and betting tips to help you make the smartest picks.

Tactics, Team News, and What to Expect on the Pitch

This isn’t just another game on the calendar—both New York and Miami are in the thick of the playoff chase, and every point matters. Here’s what’s cooking in each camp:

  • Inter Miami are riding a five-game winning streak, sitting 5th in the Eastern Conference and 7th overall. Their away record is impressive, and they’re fresh off a dominant 4-1 win over the Red Bulls just a couple of months ago. With Messi and Luis Suárez leading the line, Miami’s attack is as dangerous as ever.
  • New York Red Bulls have been a fortress at home, losing just once in Harrison all season. Their overall form has dipped, though, with a five-match winless run and a recent 2-0 defeat to Philadelphia. Still, with 7 home wins, they’re not a team to take lightly—especially with the home crowd behind them.

In terms of tactics, Inter Miami have found a groove under new head coach Javier Mascherano. He’s tightened things up at the back (well, sort of—they’ve still shipped 16 goals in their last six), but the plan is simple: get the ball to Messi and let him work his magic. Miami often lines up in a 4-4-2, with Messi and Suárez up top, and they’re not shy about dropping deep to spring a counter.

The Red Bulls, under Sandro Schwarz, have been a bit more experimental. Their 3-4-1-2 system can look great going forward but leaves them open to quick breaks—exactly what Miami loves. Injuries haven’t helped, with several key attackers sidelined, but new signings like Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting have added some spark.

And let’s not forget the Messi factor. The Argentine legend has scored twice in five straight league games, racking up 16 goals and 5 assists. The Red Bulls’ defense will have their hands full, especially with a few regulars missing.

Head to Head, Venue Vibes, and Player News

The head to head history between these two sides is spicy. In their last five meetings, New York has the edge with three wins to Miami’s two. But Miami took the last one in style, thumping the Red Bulls 4-1 at home. The Red Bulls, though, famously blanked Miami 4-0 back in March 2024.

  • Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium (formerly Red Bull Arena) is a tight, 25,000-seater that gets loud—especially with Messi in town and ticket prices starting at $185. Home advantage is real here.
  • Injuries: Miami are missing some defensive pieces (Jordi Alba, Drake Callender, and more), while the Red Bulls are short-handed up front (Harper, Mitchell, Morgan all doubts).
  • Key Players: Messi and Suárez for Miami, Emil Forsberg and Choupo-Moting for New York. Goalkeeper Carlos Coronel has a solid record against Miami, but he’ll need to be at his best.

AI Betting Tips and Our New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami Prediction

Let’s get nerdy with the numbers. Our AI has crunched the stats, the odds, and the recent form to give you the best betting tips for this match. Here’s what stands out:

  1. Over 2.5 goals is the top pick, with a trust score of 6.7/10 and odds of 1.54. Both teams average plenty of shots (11 each expected), and with Messi in red-hot form and both defenses looking leaky, goals are on the menu.
  2. Full-time result: The AI slightly favors an away win (Inter Miami) at odds of 2.4, but with a low trust score of 1.5/10. In other words, Miami is the favorite, but don’t bet the house on it—Red Bulls are tough at home.
  3. Predicted score: 2-1 to Inter Miami. The first half is expected to end 1-0 to Miami, with Messi likely on the scoresheet. Possession should be close (53% Miami, 47% Red Bulls), and both teams are forecasted to rack up corners and shots.

Looking for more angles? The AI expects 2 yellow cards per team and a total of 7 corners. Squad values also tell a story: Miami’s squad is worth nearly double that of New York (€66.18m vs €34.40m), showing just how much star power they’ve assembled.

In summary, our New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami prediction is clear: expect goals, expect drama, and expect Messi to make his mark in Harrison. The safest betting tip is over 2.5 goals, but if you’re feeling bold, a Miami win is a tempting shout.

Final Thoughts and Betting Tips

With both teams pushing for the playoffs, Messi in unstoppable form, and both defenses prone to lapses, this is a recipe for an entertaining night. Whether you’re a stats nerd, a casual fan, or just in it for the betting tips, this New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami prediction has you covered. Enjoy the game—and may your bets be as sharp as Messi’s left foot!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for New Y vs Inter Miami

O2.5 -185

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -185
6/10

1x2 Tip

2 140

Inter Miami is expected to win with odds of 140
1/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -185

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -227

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -169

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:2

Stats Predictions

47%
Ball Possession
53%
11
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots Off Goal
3
4
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

0.55
Expected Goals
0.13
3.5
Total Goals
3.7
2
Goals Scored
2.1
1.5
Goals Against
1.6
52%
Possession
52%
12
Total Shots
10.6
4.2
Shots on Goal
4.5
4.3
Shots off Goal
3.6
12
Fouls
10.8
4.3
Corners
2.5
2
Offsides
1.8
2.33
Yellow Cards
2.11
0.11
Red Cards
0
477
Total Passes
504

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
6
10
Over 1.5 Goals
9
5
Over 2.5 Goals
9
4
Over 3.5 Goals
5
7
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls
6 - 0 - 5
Inter Miami
Inter Miami Inter Miami 04-May-25
4:1
New Y New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami Inter Miami 05-May-24
6:2
New Y New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls New Y 23-Mar-24
4:0
Inter Miami Inter Miami
New York Red Bulls New Y 27-Aug-23
0:2
Inter Miami Inter Miami
Inter Miami Inter Miami 01-Jun-23
0:1
New Y New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls New Y 28-Aug-22
3:1
Inter Miami Inter Miami
Inter Miami Inter Miami 22-May-22
2:0
New Y New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls New Y 09-Oct-21
1:0
Inter Miami Inter Miami
Inter Miami Inter Miami 18-Sep-21
0:4
New Y New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls New Y 08-Oct-20
1:2
Inter Miami Inter Miami

Profile time Recent Matches of New Y

Profile time Recent Matches of Inter Miami

06 DecWInter Miami Inter Miami.
3:1
Vancouver.Vancouver

USA - Major League Soccer USA - Major League Soccer

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia U34
57-35
66
2 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati34
52-40
65
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami34
81-55
65
4 Charlotte Charlotte34
55-46
59
5 New York City FC New York City 34
50-44
56
6 Nashville SC Nashville SC34
58-45
54
7 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew34
55-51
54
8 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire34
68-60
53
9 Orlando City SC Orlando City S34
63-51
53
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red B34
48-47
43
11 New England Revolution New England Re34
44-51
36
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC34
37-44
32
13 CF Montreal CF Montreal34
34-60
28
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United34
38-63
28
15 DC United DC United34
30-66
26
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