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Match Prediction

OH Leuven vs Genk Prediction

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Jupiler Pro League

OH Leuven

€30.30m

15 Aug14:45
1 : 2

Genk

€153.85m

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OH Leuven vs Genk Prediction Jupiler Pro League

OH Leuven vs Genk Prediction: Odds, Stats & Smart Bets for August 2025

If you’re searching for an OH Leuven vs Genk prediction for the Jupiler Pro League match on August 15, 2025, you’re in the right place. With both teams eager to kickstart their season, this encounter at The King Power at Den Dreef Stadium promises drama, tactical intrigue, and plenty of betting angles worth considering. Let’s break down the teams, tactics, and betting tips to help you make informed decisions.

Team Form and Tactical Insights

OH Leuven, often simply called Leuven, have been a team on the rise in Belgian football, but their early 2025-26 campaign has been anything but smooth. While their last six games show a respectable 3 wins and 2 draws, their recent outings have exposed some worrying cracks at the back. Conceding 10 goals in just three matches—including a bruising 5-0 defeat to Union SG and a 3-1 loss to Antwerp—has left new coach David Hubert searching for defensive solutions. Currently, Leuven sit 16th in the Pro League, and their confidence will depend on how quickly they can plug those leaks.

Genk, on the other hand, are a familiar force near the top of the Belgian league, thanks to their strong youth academy and attacking philosophy. However, their own start to the season has been shaky: no wins, two losses, and a solitary draw from their first three fixtures. Coach Thorsten Fink’s preference for quick transitions and set-piece prowess is well known, but Genk’s inability to turn dominance into points has left them 14th in the table. Recent results—a 1-1 draw with Antwerp and a 2-1 loss to Standard Liège—show a team still searching for its rhythm.

Key Players and Injury News

  • OH Leuven: Lucas Rangel (midfield creativity), Jonas Omlin (goalkeeper, shot-stopper), and a handful of injury doubts including B. Kayo, M. Osifo, and C. Ikwuemesi. Mathieu Maertens is a doubt with a hamstring issue, while Siebe Schrijvers is suspended.
  • Genk: Paul Onuachu (target man), Oh Hyeon-gyu (early season form: 1 goal, 1 assist), and Tolu Arokodare (proven scorer). Zakaria El Ouahdi (right-back, recently on the scoresheet) is another to watch. Genk’s injury list includes Daan Heymans (out), Yira Sor (doubtful), and Ibrahima Sory Bangoura (recovering).

Tactical Approaches

  • Leuven: Typically set up in a 5.0-1.17, aiming for defensive solidity and counter-attacks. However, their recent defensive record (10 goals conceded in 3 games) suggests urgent tweaks are needed.
  • Genk: Expect a 5.0-3-1 formation with an emphasis on quick transitions, set-pieces, and width. Fink’s side will look to dominate possession (forecast at 58%) and create more chances (estimated 14 shots, 4 on target).

Head to Head, History, and Interesting Stats

Looking at the OH Leuven vs Genk head to head record, Genk have the upper hand: 8 wins out of the last 12 meetings, with Leuven taking 3 and just 1 draw. The most recent league meeting (January 2025) ended 2-0 in Genk’s favor. However, Leuven did spring a surprise in their last home game against Genk, scoring three times in a 3-1 win (August 2024). Despite Genk’s historical dominance, Leuven are unbeaten in their last 10 home league matches—a stat that adds an extra layer of intrigue to this OH Leuven vs Genk prediction.

Betting Odds, AI Predictions & Value Picks

  • Home Win: 5.0
  • Draw: 5.0
  • Away Win: 1.62

Our AI at NerdyTips leans towards Genk, suggesting the X2 market (Genk win or draw) as the most promising bet, with a trust score of 6.8/10 and odds of 1.17. The 1.17 prediction is a Genk win (2) with a confidence of 5.0 and odds of 1.62—reflecting both Genk’s superior squad value (€155.05m vs Leuven’s €30.3m) and their stronger attacking numbers.

For total goals, the over 2.5 market stands out, with a confidence rating of 4.6 and odds of 1.62. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games lately, and with Leuven’s defensive frailties and Genk’s attacking talent, goals are likely. Our expected final score is 1.17 in favor of Genk, with a 0:1 advantage at halftime. The AI forecasts 9 shots (1 on target) for Leuven and 14 shots (4 on target) for Genk, further supporting a bet on over 2.5 goals.

Other Noteworthy Stats for Bettors

  • Total corners: 8 (4 each)
  • Yellow cards: Leuven 2, Genk 1
  • Possession: Leuven 42%, Genk 58%

OH Leuven vs Genk Prediction & Final Thoughts

  1. Genk’s stronger squad, attacking firepower, and historical advantage make them favorites—backing Genk to win at 1.62 offers solid value.
  2. The X2 (Genk win or draw) market is a safer bet at 1.17, especially given Leuven’s home resilience.
  3. Over 2.5 total goals is a smart play at 1.62, given both teams’ recent defensive issues and attacking intent.

In summary, our OH Leuven vs Genk prediction leans toward a 2-1 win for Genk, but expect an open, entertaining match with chances at both ends. Whether you’re chasing value or playing it safe, these betting tips should help you make the most of your wagers on August 15. Good luck!

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AI Predictions
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Avoid first matches from a league!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for OH Leuven vs Genk

X2 -588

Genk to win or draw with odds of -588
6/10

1x2 Tip

2 -161

Genk is expected to win with odds of -161
3/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -159

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -154

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -323

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:2

Stats Predictions

42%
Ball Possession
58%
9
Total Shots
14
1
Shots on Goal
4
3
Shots Off Goal
6
4
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

0.2
Expected Goals
0.3
3.2
Total Goals
2.4
0.9
Goals Scored
1.1
2.3
Goals Against
1.3
52%
Possession
57%
9.1
Total Shots
13.1
2.1
Shots on Goal
4.4
3.6
Shots off Goal
6
13.3
Fouls
10
5.1
Corners
4.2
1.5
Offsides
1.1
2.63
Yellow Cards
1.11
0.13
Red Cards
0.22
407
Total Passes
508

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
2
9
Over 1.5 Goals
8
7
Over 2.5 Goals
4
4
Over 3.5 Goals
1
6
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

OH Leuven
3 - 4 - 13
Genk
Genk Genk 11-Jan-25
2:0
OH Leuven OH Leuven
OH Leuven OH Leuven 03-Aug-24
3:1
Genk Genk
OH Leuven OH Leuven 31-Jan-24
2:1
Genk Genk
Genk Genk 12-Nov-23
3:1
OH Leuven OH Leuven
Genk Genk 08-Jul-23
4:0
OH Leuven OH Leuven
Genk Genk 02-Apr-23
2:1
OH Leuven OH Leuven
OH Leuven OH Leuven 15-Oct-22
0:1
Genk Genk
OH Leuven OH Leuven 09-Feb-22
2:1
Genk Genk
OH Leuven OH Leuven 11-Nov-21
0:2
Genk Genk

Profile time Recent Matches of OH Leuven

12 Dec St. Liege St. Liege.
-
Leuven. Leuven
07 DecD Leuven Leuven.
1:1
Waregem. Waregem
03 DecL Leuven Leuven.
1:2
Club B. Club B

Profile time Recent Matches of Genk

11 DecMidtjylland Midtjylland.
-
Genk.Genk
07 DecLAntwerp Antwerp.
3:0
Genk.Genk
04 DecLGenk Genk.
1:3
Anderlecht.Anderlecht

Belgium - Jupiler Pro League Belgium - Jupiler Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gill17
32-10
37
2 St. Truiden St. Truiden17
26-20
33
3 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV17
24-17
32
4 Anderlecht Anderlecht17
23-17
31
5 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen17
21-18
27
6 Standard Liege Standard Liege17
16-20
24
7 Gent Gent17
25-25
23
8 Genk Genk17
21-23
23
9 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem17
23-23
22
10 Antwerp Antwerp17
18-18
20
11 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo17
25-26
20
12 Charleroi Charleroi17
18-22
19
13 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvi17
12-17
18
14 OH Leuven OH Leuven17
18-27
16
15 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge17
20-26
13
16 Dender Dender17
14-27
12
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