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Match Prediction

Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion Prediction

Finished
Paraguay flag Paraguay
Division Profesional

Olimpia

€26.23m

6 Jul15:00
1 : 1

Nacional

€7.47m

Preview

Olimpia vs Nacional  Prediction Division Profesional - Clausura

Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion Prediction: Betting Tips, Odds & Storylines

The Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion prediction is already stirring debate among football fans and punters alike. On July 6, 2025, at 20:00 GMT, Estadio UENO Osvaldo Domínguez Dibb will host a fixture that promises more than just three points—there’s pride, history, and a fair bit of statistical intrigue on the line. With Olimpia’s squad valued at a hefty €26.23m compared to Nacional Asuncion’s €7.47m, you’d expect a one-sided affair. But as recent head to head results remind us, football rarely reads from the script.

Recent Head to Head: Underdogs Have Their Day

Let’s rewind to March 22, 2025. Olimpia, favorites at 1.85 odds, were stunned by Nacional Asuncion, who snatched a 1-0 win despite being priced at 4.2. That wasn’t just a fluke—Nacional Asuncion’s 3-0 away demolition of Atletico Nacional in February 2024 (at a whopping 6.25 odds) is proof they relish the underdog tag. These results inject a healthy dose of caution into any Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion prediction.

Division Profesional - Clausura: What the Numbers Say

The league’s stats paint a picture of unpredictability. Here’s what the numbers tell us:

  • Home teams win 41.3% of matches—advantage Olimpia, but not overwhelmingly so.
  • Away wins occur 31.1% of the time, while draws come in at 27.7%.
  • Both teams score in 48.4% of games, suggesting defensive discipline is common.
  • Over 1.5 goals lands in 71.0% of matches, but over 2.5 goals drops to 46.3%, and over 3.5 to just 25.6%.

These trends set the stage for a tight, low-scoring affair—something our AI seems to agree with.

Betting Tips & Odds: Where’s the Smart Money?

The 1x2 market slightly favors Olimpia at 2.11 odds, with a draw at 3.1 and Nacional Asuncion at 3.44. However, the AI’s confidence in a home win is just 1.4/10, suggesting punters should tread carefully. The real story, though, is in the goals market.

  • Top tip: Under 2.5 goals at 1.53 odds, with a 4.5/10 confidence rating.
  • AI predicts a 1:0 win for Olimpia, with a goalless first half.
  • Under/over market trust level is a robust 4.6/10 for under 2.5 goals.

Given the recent head to head and league averages, a low-scoring grind seems likely. Olimpia’s superior resources might tilt the balance, but Nacional Asuncion’s knack for upsets means the margin could be razor-thin.

Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion Prediction: Final Verdict

So, what’s the best Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion prediction for punters? Here’s how the story stacks up:

  1. Under 2.5 goals is the standout betting tip, backed by both recent results and league trends. At 1.53 odds, it’s not the juiciest, but it’s the most logical.
  2. A narrow home win is the likeliest outcome, with the AI settling on 1:0 for Olimpia. The halftime 0:0 prediction hints at a cagey opening.
  3. Don’t dismiss the draw or even a Nacional Asuncion upset—history shows they thrive when underestimated.

In summary, expect a match where patience is rewarded, defenses hold sway, and the scoreboard operator might get a quiet night. For those seeking value, under 2.5 goals is the safest play, while a small flutter on Nacional Asuncion could appeal to the adventurous. Either way, this fixture is a reminder that in football, numbers tell a story—but the ending is always up for grabs.

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AI Predictions
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Derby match

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Olimpia vs Nacional

U2.5 -189

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -189
4/10

1x2 Tip

1 111

Olimpia is expected to win with odds of 111
1/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -189

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No -147

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U3.5 -152

Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Average / Match

2.3
Total Goals
2.8
1.2
Goals Scored
1.4
1.1
Goals Against
1.4

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
3
8
Over 1.5 Goals
8
4
Over 2.5 Goals
5
2
Over 3.5 Goals
3
6
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Olimpia
14 - 13 - 11
Nacional Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion Nacional 25-May-25
1:1
Olimpia Olimpia
Olimpia Olimpia 22-Mar-25
0:1
Nacional Nacional Asuncion
Olimpia Olimpia 24-Nov-24
1:1
Nacional Nacional Asuncion
Olimpia Olimpia 30-Oct-24
0:2
Nacional Nacional Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion Nacional 13-Sep-24
2:0
Olimpia Olimpia
Nacional Asuncion Nacional 22-Apr-24
0:1
Olimpia Olimpia
Olimpia Olimpia 27-Jan-24
2:2
Nacional Nacional Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion Nacional 08-Oct-23
1:0
Olimpia Olimpia
Olimpia Olimpia 23-Jul-23
1:2
Nacional Nacional Asuncion
Olimpia Olimpia 16-Apr-23
0:1
Nacional Nacional Asuncion

Paraguay - Division Profesional - Clausura Paraguay - Division Profesional - Clausura

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno21
31-18
43
2 Club Guarani Club Guarani21
42-19
42
3 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asunc21
26-17
34
4 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trini21
25-21
32
5 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo21
25-24
32
6 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Reco21
35-30
31
7 Olimpia Olimpia21
30-35
25
8 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luque21
26-34
25
9 General Caballero General Caball21
22-31
24
10 Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asunc21
24-24
23
11 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameli21
22-40
18
12 Atlético Tembetary Atlético Temb21
20-35
15
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