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Match Prediction

Orense vs El Nacional Prediction

Finished
Ecuador flag Ecuador
Liga Pro

Orense

€9.52m

19 Jul17:30
1 : 1

El Nacional

€5.25m

Preview

Orense vs El Nacional Prediction Liga Pro

Orense vs El Nacional Prediction: Stats, Odds, and Tactical Insights

Welcome to our detailed Orense vs El Nacional prediction for the Liga Pro fixture at Estadio 9 de Mayo on July 19, 2025. As football fans gear up for this much-anticipated encounter, we break down the tactics, recent form, head to head history, and betting odds to give you a clear, friendly, and insightful preview—perfect for both seasoned punters and those new to sports betting.

Team Tactics, Recent Form, and Head to Head Record

Orense SC, often called “The Banana Growers,” have been enjoying a strong campaign, sitting 5th in the table with 33 points after 20 rounds. Their home record is impressive, thanks to a well-drilled defense and quick transitions. Under their current setup, expect a disciplined 4-3-3 formation, with experienced heads like Sixto Mina and Gabriel Achilier marshalling the backline. In midfield, Erick Pluas and Sergio Vasquez provide the energy and tactical discipline that have become Orense’s trademark.

El Nacional, or “The Military Team,” have a proud tradition of fielding only Ecuadorian players. Managed by Omar Andrés Asad, they’re currently 10th with 24 points. Their 4-2-3-1 system focuses on defensive solidity and rapid counterattacks. Players like Jonathan Borja and Charles Vélez will be key in launching attacks, while Anthony Bedoya and José Flor shore up the defense.

Looking at the head to head record, it’s been a tight rivalry. Since 2019, Orense have won three times, El Nacional twice, with four draws. Both teams have scored eight goals each in those nine meetings. The last time they met, El Nacional edged a 1-0 win, but Orense’s home advantage this time could tip the balance.

Squad Value and Key Players

  • Orense SC squad value: €9.52m
  • El Nacional squad value: €5.25m
  • Orense’s key men: Rolando Silva (goalkeeper), Gabriel Achilier (defender), Erick Pluas (midfield)
  • El Nacional’s standouts: David Cabezas (goalkeeper), Jonathan Borja (midfield), Charles Vélez (midfield)

Injuries and suspensions are not a major concern for either side as of early July, but final lineups will depend on player fitness closer to kickoff.

AI Predictions, Betting Odds, and Best Bets

Now, let’s talk numbers—because that’s what makes sports betting fun and (hopefully) profitable! Our Orense vs El Nacional prediction is based on a blend of stats, recent form, and advanced analysis.

  • Home win odds: 2.2
  • Draw odds: 3.2
  • Away win odds: 3.15
  • Best bet: 1X (Orense win or draw) at odds of 1.33, with a confidence rating of 8.5/10
  • 1x2 prediction: Home win, trust level 7.8/10, odds 2.2
  • Under/over market: Under 2.5 goals is favored, trust 6.4/10, odds 1.6

Our AI expects a cagey affair, with Orense controlling 55% of the ball and El Nacional at 45%. The predicted shot count is 10 for Orense and 13 for El Nacional, but both sides are expected to be wasteful, with only 3 and 4 shots on target, respectively. Corners are forecast at 4 for Orense and 3 for El Nacional. Even the yellow cards are likely to be balanced—two apiece, so don’t expect any wild tackles to steal the show.

For those who like a precise score prediction, our model suggests a narrow 1-0 win for Orense, with a goalless first half. That’s right—don’t expect fireworks early, but maybe keep your popcorn ready for a late twist!

Final Thoughts and Betting Tips

  • Orense’s home strength and higher squad value make them slight favorites.
  • El Nacional’s disciplined style could frustrate, but goals should be scarce.
  • Best value bet: 1X (home win or draw) at 1.33 odds.
  • Most likely outcome: Orense to win 1-0.

Whether you’re a football fan, a stats lover, or just looking for the best betting odds, our Orense vs El Nacional prediction offers a clear roadmap for this Liga Pro fixture. Good luck, and may your bets be as solid as Orense’s defense!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Orense vs El Nacional

1X -303

Orense to win or draw with odds of -303
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 120

Orense is expected to win with odds of 120
7/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -167

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No -133

At least one team is not expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U3.5 -133

Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

55%
Ball Possession
45%
10
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots Off Goal
5
4
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

2
Total Goals
2.5
1.3
Goals Scored
1.3
0.7
Goals Against
1.2
55%
Possession
49%
9.9
Total Shots
14.1
3.7
Shots on Goal
4
3.8
Shots off Goal
6.7
12.8
Fouls
10.9
4.4
Corners
3.8
2.1
Offsides
2
1.7
Yellow Cards
2.44
0
Red Cards
0.33
373
Total Passes
306

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
5
4
Over 1.5 Goals
7
4
Over 2.5 Goals
5
1
Over 3.5 Goals
2
4
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Orense
3 - 2 - 2
El Nacional
El Nacional El Nacional 31-Mar-25
0:1
Orense SC Orense
El Nacional El Nacional 27-Oct-24
0:1
Orense SC Orense
Orense Orense SC 04-May-24
0:1
El Nacional El Nacional
Orense Orense SC 21-Oct-23
1:1
El Nacional El Nacional
El Nacional El Nacional 13-May-23
3:1
Orense SC Orense
Orense Orense SC 20-Dec-20
1:0
El Nacional El Nacional
El Nacional El Nacional 25-Sep-20
2:2
Orense SC Orense

Profile time Recent Matches of Orense SC

06 Dec Orense Orense.
-
LDU Quito. LDU Quito
29 NovD U. Catolica U. Catolica.
0:0
Orense. Orense

Profile time Recent Matches of El Nacional

07 DecEL Nacional EL Nacional.
-
Aucas.Aucas
30 NovLMacara Macara.
2:0
EL Nacional.EL Nacional

Ecuador - Liga Pro Ecuador - Liga Pro

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Independiente del Valle Independiente 30
55-23
64
2 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC30
46-33
54
3 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito30
48-31
51
4 Universidad Catolica Universidad Ca30
58-39
49
5 Orense SC Orense SC30
34-32
47
6 Libertad Libertad30
42-36
46
7 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuen30
35-29
46
8 Emelec Emelec30
30-34
42
9 Aucas Aucas30
38-41
41
10 Macara Macara30
32-30
38
11 El Nacional El Nacional30
32-46
34
12 Delfin SC Delfin SC30
26-42
31
13 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Univer30
26-46
28
14 Cuniburo Cuniburo30
34-43
27
15 Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC30
38-50
27
16 Manta FC Manta FC30
34-53
26
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