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Match Prediction

Orlando City SC vs New York City FC Prediction

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Major League Soccer

Orlando C

€41.12m

16 Jul20:15
1 : 2

New Y

€40.58m

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Orlando C vs New Y Prediction Major League Soccer

Orlando City SC vs New York City FC Prediction: Stats, Stories & Surprises Await

If you’re hunting for the best Orlando City SC vs New York City FC prediction, you’re in the right place. Two Eastern Conference neighbors—Orlando City SC in 6th with 35 points from 22 games, and New York City FC just behind in 7th with 31—are set to meet at Inter&Co Stadium on July 17, 2025, at 00:30 GMT. With only a four-point gap and both teams eyeing playoff security, this matchup promises more drama than a Florida summer thunderstorm.

Odds, Edges, and Why Bookies Favor Orlando

Let’s break down the numbers before we get swept up in the action. Bookmakers have Orlando as favorites at 1.635 for a home win, while a draw sits at 3.86, and an away win for NYCFC is priced at 4.5. That’s a polite way of saying, “Sure, Orlando’s got the edge at home, but MLS loves a plot twist.”

  • Orlando’s home advantage is real—home teams win 49% of MLS games.
  • Draws and away wins aren’t rare: 25.4% and 25.6% respectively.
  • Both squads are nearly equal in market value: Orlando at €41.12m, NYCFC at €40.58m. Talk about a financial dead heat!

Goals Galore? The AI’s Take and League Trends

Our AI’s top betting tip for this Orlando City SC vs New York City FC prediction is over 2.5 goals (odds 1.63, confidence 3.3/10). Why? Because MLS is a league where defense sometimes takes a back seat to entertainment:

  • 58.1% of MLS games see over 2.5 goals.
  • 79.4% clear the 1.5-goal mark—so expect at least a couple of net-shakers.
  • Both teams score in 59.1% of matches, so don’t blink during this one.

The AI’s predicted score is 2:1 to Orlando (half-time 1:0), with the 1x2 pick leaning toward a home win (trust 1.4, odds 1.635). If you’re looking for betting tips, this is a solid place to start.

By the Numbers: What to Expect on the Pitch

Digging into the projected match stats, Orlando is expected to take the initiative:

  1. Possession: Orlando 57%, NYCFC 43%—so expect the hosts to boss the ball.
  2. Shots: Orlando 16, NYCFC 11—more chances for the purple side.
  3. On-target efforts: Orlando 5, NYCFC 3—goalkeepers, get ready.
  4. Corners: 5 for Orlando, 3 for NYCFC—set-piece fans, take note.
  5. Discipline: Both teams forecasted for 2 yellow cards each—a competitive, but not reckless, affair.

Head to Head: History Hints at Another Tight Contest

Looking at recent head to head meetings, these two know how to keep things close. Their last encounter, a 1-1 draw on July 21, 2024 (Orlando odds 2.27, NYCFC 2.95), was as tight as it gets. Both teams have shown they can surprise:

  • Orlando’s 3-0 away win over New York Red Bulls (odds 5.0) turned heads.
  • NYCFC’s 2-2 draw at Inter Miami (odds 5.4) proved they can punch above their weight.

With such a slim margin in the table and nearly identical squad values, it’s no wonder this fixture is so hard to call. The numbers say Orlando, but MLS history says: expect the unexpected.

Final Thoughts and Friendly Advice

So, for your Orlando City SC vs New York City FC prediction, the stats suggest a lively, close contest—Orlando with a slight edge, but NYCFC always ready to spoil the party. Over 2.5 goals looks tempting, and a 2:1 home win is the AI’s best guess. But remember, in MLS, the only certainty is uncertainty. Grab your snacks, place your bets wisely, and enjoy the ride—because when these two meet, the numbers always tell a story worth watching!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Orlando C vs New Y

O2.5 -159

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -159
3/10

1x2 Tip

1 -139

Orlando C is expected to win with odds of -139
1/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -159

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -167

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -256

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

57%
Ball Possession
43%
16
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
3
6
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

3.4
Total Goals
2.5
1.8
Goals Scored
1.4
1.6
Goals Against
1.1
50%
Possession
57%
14.8
Total Shots
12.9
5.4
Shots on Goal
4.1
5.9
Shots off Goal
5
10.8
Fouls
10.4
4.7
Corners
5.2
2
Offsides
1.1
2.22
Yellow Cards
2.11
0.11
Red Cards
0
459
Total Passes
512

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
4
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
7
Over 2.5 Goals
5
5
Over 3.5 Goals
4
7
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Orlando City SC
7 - 10 - 10
New York City FC
New York City FC New Y 09-Mar-25
2:1
Orlando C Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC Orlando C 21-Jul-24
1:1
New Y New York City FC
New York City FC New Y 29-Jun-24
4:2
Orlando C Orlando City SC
New York City FC New Y 21-Sep-23
2:0
Orlando C Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC Orlando C 18-May-23
1:1
New Y New York City FC
New York City FC New Y 02-Oct-22
2:1
Orlando C Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC Orlando C 29-Aug-22
2:1
New Y New York City FC
New York City FC New Y 25-Jul-21
5:0
Orlando C Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC Orlando C 09-May-21
1:1
New Y New York City FC

USA - Major League Soccer USA - Major League Soccer

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia U34
57-35
66
2 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati34
52-40
65
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami34
81-55
65
4 Charlotte Charlotte34
55-46
59
5 New York City FC New York City 34
50-44
56
6 Nashville SC Nashville SC34
58-45
54
7 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew34
55-51
54
8 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire34
68-60
53
9 Orlando City SC Orlando City S34
63-51
53
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red B34
48-47
43
11 New England Revolution New England Re34
44-51
36
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC34
37-44
32
13 CF Montreal CF Montreal34
34-60
28
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United34
38-63
28
15 DC United DC United34
30-66
26
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