Parma vs Bologna Prediction

Parma vs Bologna Prediction: Stats, Tactics, and AI Insights

The Serie A calendar serves up an Emilia-Romagna derby on Sunday, November 2, 2025, as Parma hosts Bologna at the Ennio Tardini. This Parma vs Bologna prediction takes a close look at team tactics, recent form, and the numbers behind the betting tips, aiming to provide football fans with a clear, confident preview of what to expect when these two sides meet for Matchday 10.

Team News, Tactics, and Recent Form

As the season edges towards its first third, Bologna and Parma find themselves in contrasting positions. Bologna, under the guidance of Vincenzo Italiano, have been the early surprise package, sitting 5th in Serie A with 14 points from 8 matches. Their disciplined 4.1-2.99 setup, with a focus on high pressing and creative wing play, has yielded four wins and a pair of draws. Riccardo Orsolini remains their creative spark, while the likes of Bernardeschi and Odgaard offer both flair and finishing.

Parma, on the other hand, are still searching for rhythm. With just one win and four draws, Carlos Cuesta’s men find themselves in 15th place, having scored only 0.7 goals per match. Their 3-5-2 formation, designed for defensive solidity, has not yet translated into attacking output. Injuries have not helped: Mandela Keita, Matija Frigan, and Gaetano Pio Oristanio are all sidelined, while Emanuele Valeri remains a doubt. The recent debut of Benjamin Cremaschi offers a glimmer of hope for fresh energy in midfield.

Bologna’s squad depth is also being tested, notably with Emil Holm suspended and Ciro Immobile out injured. Still, their recent 2-0 win over Cagliari and a draw at Torino suggest a team capable of grinding out results, even when not at full strength. The return of Jens Odgaard to the matchday squad is a timely boost.

Head to Head and Derby Dynamics

The head to head record between these two is finely balanced. In 18 previous meetings, Bologna have edged it with five wins to Parma’s four, and nine matches have ended level. Notably, Parma claimed a 2-0 win in their last encounter at this very ground in February 2025—a result that will give the hosts a psychological lift. However, the visitors’ superior squad value (€272.80m to Parma’s €152.67m) and current league position make them clear favorites according to most betting tips.

This is no ordinary fixture. The Emilia-Romagna derby brings extra intensity and unpredictability, with local pride at stake. While Bologna’s tactical discipline and attacking options make them look the safer bet, Parma’s recent shock win away at Atalanta—where they triumphed 3-2 despite long odds—serves as a timely reminder that underdogs can bite.

Parma vs Bologna Prediction: AI Betting Tips and Statistical Analysis

Turning to the numbers, the Parma vs Bologna prediction from NerdyTips’ AI offers some intriguing insights. The away win is priced at 2.17, with our model assigning it a trust rating of 3.6 out of 10. While not overwhelming, this reflects Bologna’s clear statistical edge in possession (62% expected), shots (13 to Parma’s 8), and on-target efforts (4 to 2).

For those seeking value in the goals market, the betting tips highlight under 2.5 goals as the most profitable play. The odds stand at 1.55, with a trust rating of 6.0—our highest confidence for this fixture. Both teams have been defensively solid, conceding just 0.88 goals per match on average. However, Parma’s attacking struggles and Bologna’s pragmatic approach suggest a cagey affair, with few clear chances.

Our AI’s predicted scoreline is a narrow 1-0 win for Bologna, with a goalless first half. Expect a tactical battle, with Bologna’s pressing and ball retention eventually wearing down Parma’s resistance. The corner count (5 for Bologna, 2 for Parma) and expected yellow cards (2 for Bologna, 1 for Parma) further point towards a match where the visitors control proceedings but may need patience to break the deadlock.

Final Thoughts: Where the Value Lies

In summary, the Parma vs Bologna prediction leans towards a low-scoring encounter, with Bologna’s quality and form giving them the edge. Under 2.5 goals is the standout bet, supported by both recent stats and tactical trends. While Parma’s home advantage and derby spirit should not be underestimated, the numbers—and our AI—suggest that Bologna will leave the Ennio Tardini with all three points.

For punters and fans alike, this is a fixture where patience and discipline—on and off the pitch—will be rewarded. Whether you’re following the head to head history or trusting the latest betting tips, keep an eye on the under goals market and Bologna’s ability to grind out results. As always, enjoy the football and bet responsibly.