Partick vs Livingston Prediction

Partick vs Livingston Prediction: Stats, Odds & Betting Insights for Wyre Stadium at Firhill

Welcome to your go-to guide for the highly anticipated Premiership encounter: Partick vs Livingston prediction for 19:45 GMT on 2025-05-13 at Wyre Stadium at Firhill. Whether you’re a seasoned punter or just dipping your toes into football betting, this preview breaks down the stats, odds, and expert insights you need to make informed bets—without the jargon overload. Let’s unravel the story behind the numbers and see where the value lies.

Setting the Stage: Context & Team Comparison

As the Scottish Premiership campaign nears its finale, both Partick and Livingston find themselves at a pivotal juncture. The stakes are high—every point counts, and both sides are eager to finish strong. The market values tell us this is a close-quarters contest: Partick’s squad is valued at €3.78m, just a hair behind Livingston’s €3.53m. It’s a testament to how evenly matched these teams are on paper, and why this fixture is attracting plenty of betting attention.

• Partick Market Value: €3.78m


• Livingston Market Value: €3.53m

History adds another layer of intrigue. Their last head to head, on 2025-02-28, ended in a 1-1 stalemate—a result that mirrored the tight odds then (3.35 for Partick, 2.129 for Livingston). The stage is set for another closely fought battle, but what do the stats and betting odds tell us about this upcoming encounter?

Betting Odds & What They Mean

Let’s break down the latest 1x2 betting odds for this fixture:

• Home Win (Partick): 3.5


• Draw: 3.3


• Away Win (Livingston): 2.12

Livingston are the bookies’ favourites, but not by a landslide. The odds for a Partick win are tempting, especially for those who believe in home advantage—a factor that can’t be underestimated in Scottish football. Statistically, home teams win 39.5% of Premiership matches, while away sides take the points 27.1% of the time. Draws are not uncommon, occurring in 33.5% of games, so don’t rule out a share of the spoils.

Key Scottish Premiership Stats

• Home Win Rate: 39.5%


• Away Win Rate: 27.1%


• Draws: 33.5%


• Both Teams Score: 41.9%


• Over 1.5 Goals: 65.2%


• Over 2.5 Goals: 44.7%


• Over 3.5 Goals: 24.8%

These numbers paint a picture of a league where goals are never guaranteed, and where tight, tactical battles are the norm. For bettors, this is crucial information—especially when considering total goals markets.

NerdyTips AI: Best Bets & Predictions

Our in-house AI has crunched the numbers for this Partick vs Livingston prediction and come up with two key recommendations:

1. Under 3.5 Goals – The AI’s standout pick, with a confidence rating of 7.0/10 and odds of 1.28. In plain English: expect no more than three goals in the match. This aligns with league trends, where only 24.8% of games go over 3.5 goals. Both teams have shown a tendency to keep things tight, as their last 1-1 head to head suggests. For those who like a safe bet, under 3.5 goals is your friend.


2. Home Win (Partick) – A bolder call, with a trust level of 2.5 and juicy odds of 3.5. While Livingston are favourites, the AI sees value in backing the underdog, especially with the home win rate sitting at 39.5%. If you’re feeling adventurous, this could be worth a small stake.

For those who like to dig deeper, the AI’s projection for the final score is 1:0 to Partick, with a goalless first half. This scenario fits perfectly with the under 3.5 goals recommendation, and also hints at a cagey, tactical affair—perhaps not one for the highlight reels, but potentially profitable for punters.

How the Stats Back Up the Predictions

Let’s connect the dots:

• The last head to head ended 1-1, and both teams have similar market values—expect another close contest.


• Only 24.8% of Premiership matches see more than 3.5 goals—so under 3.5 is statistically solid.


• Both teams score in just 41.9% of league games, suggesting a low-scoring affair is likely.


• With the home win rate at 39.5%, Partick’s odds of 3.5 offer value for those who trust in home advantage.

And let’s not forget—there’s no referee controversy to worry about, as the match will be officiated by None. (We’re not sure if that means VAR is in charge, or if it’s a free-for-all, but either way, it’s one less variable to factor in!)

Final Word: Partick vs Livingston Prediction & Betting Tips

To sum up, here’s what we recommend for this Partick vs Livingston prediction:

• Best Bet: Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.28, confidence 7.0/10)


• Value Bet: Partick to win (odds 3.5, trust level 2.5/10)


• Expected Final Score: 1:0 to Partick (0:0 at half-time)

So, whether you’re playing it safe or swinging for the fences, the data points to a tight, low-scoring encounter—just the way Scottish football likes it. Good luck, and may your bets land as smoothly as a well-taken penalty!