Persebaya
€4.55m
Bali United
€4.26m
Preview
Welcome to NerdyTips’ deep dive into the Persebaya Surabaya vs Bali United prediction for May 23, 2025, at Stadion Gelora Bung Tomo. If you’re searching for smart betting tips, historical context, and a sprinkle of tactical insight, you’re in the right place. This Liga 1 encounter promises more than just points—it’s a test of home fortitude against recent head to head momentum.
Picture this: the sun blazing over Surabaya, stands packed with green-clad fans, and the air thick with expectation. Persebaya, with a market value of €4.55 million, will look to harness their home advantage—a factor that’s been golden in Liga 1, where home teams win 40.3% of matches. Bali United, valued at €4.156 million, arrive with confidence from their last head to head in April 2024, when they stunned Persebaya 2-0 away. But football, as we know, rarely reads from the same script twice.
Bookmakers are clearly leaning towards a home win, but not without a hint of caution. The odds reflect Persebaya’s strong home record, but also respect Bali United’s ability to spring a surprise—just as they did in their last meeting.
Let’s break down the numbers that shape our Persebaya Surabaya vs Bali United prediction:
What jumps out? Liga 1 is not a league for goal feasts—only about a quarter of games see four or more goals. The BTTS rate is below 50%, hinting at plenty of tight, tactical battles. This fits the AI’s conservative prediction: under 3.5 goals (1.57 odds, confidence 4.15/10) and a likely 2-0 final score for Persebaya, with a goalless first half.
The last time these sides met, Bali United defied the odds (2.75 to Persebaya’s 2.23) and won 2-0 away. That result will sting for the hosts, who now have a perfect chance for payback in front of their own fans. But history also warns us: Bali United know how to frustrate Persebaya, especially with their disciplined, counter-attacking style.
Persebaya’s approach at home is often measured—solid at the back, patient in possession, and rarely reckless. Bali United, meanwhile, thrive on quick transitions but may struggle to break down Surabaya’s organized defense. This mirrors the league’s low rate of high-scoring games (just 26.7% over 3.5 goals) and supports the AI’s under 3.5 goals tip.
So, what’s the smart play for bettors? Here’s how the numbers, tactics, and recent head to head history stack up:
In summary, our Persebaya Surabaya vs Bali United prediction leans towards a home win in a match unlikely to explode with goals. The stats, head to head history, and tactical realities all point to a tight contest—perfect for those who appreciate the chess match as much as the scoreboard. As always, bet responsibly and enjoy the beautiful game, NerdyTips style!
Welcome to NerdyTips’ deep dive into the Persebaya Surabaya vs Bali United prediction for May 23, 2025, at Stadion Gelora Bung Tomo. If you’re searching for smart betting tips, historical context, and a sprinkle of tactical insight, you’re in the right place. This Liga 1 encounter promises more than just points—it’s a test of home fortitude against recent head to head momentum.
Picture this: the sun blazing over Surabaya, stands packed with green-clad fans, and the air thick with expectation. Persebaya, with a market value of €4.55 million, will look to harness their home advantage—a factor that’s been golden in Liga 1, where home teams win 40.3% of matches. Bali United, valued at €4.156 million, arrive with confidence from their last head to head in April 2024, when they stunned Persebaya 2-0 away. But football, as we know, rarely reads from the same script twice.
Bookmakers are clearly leaning towards a home win, but not without a hint of caution. The odds reflect Persebaya’s strong home record, but also respect Bali United’s ability to spring a surprise—just as they did in their last meeting.
Let’s break down the numbers that shape our Persebaya Surabaya vs Bali United prediction:
What jumps out? Liga 1 is not a league for goal feasts—only about a quarter of games see four or more goals. The BTTS rate is below 50%, hinting at plenty of tight, tactical battles. This fits the AI’s conservative prediction: under 3.5 goals (1.57 odds, confidence 4.15/10) and a likely 2-0 final score for Persebaya, with a goalless first half.
The last time these sides met, Bali United defied the odds (2.75 to Persebaya’s 2.23) and won 2-0 away. That result will sting for the hosts, who now have a perfect chance for payback in front of their own fans. But history also warns us: Bali United know how to frustrate Persebaya, especially with their disciplined, counter-attacking style.
Persebaya’s approach at home is often measured—solid at the back, patient in possession, and rarely reckless. Bali United, meanwhile, thrive on quick transitions but may struggle to break down Surabaya’s organized defense. This mirrors the league’s low rate of high-scoring games (just 26.7% over 3.5 goals) and supports the AI’s under 3.5 goals tip.
So, what’s the smart play for bettors? Here’s how the numbers, tactics, and recent head to head history stack up:
In summary, our Persebaya Surabaya vs Bali United prediction leans towards a home win in a match unlikely to explode with goals. The stats, head to head history, and tactical realities all point to a tight contest—perfect for those who appreciate the chess match as much as the scoreboard. As always, bet responsibly and enjoy the beautiful game, NerdyTips style!
Read More
Read Less
The odd of the best tip is increasing. The initial odd was: 1.41
U3.5 -175
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1751 -189
Persebaya is expected to win with odds of -189Under 3.5 -175
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo 125
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -238
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2:0
|
4
-
1
-
8
|
|
Persebaya |
23-May-25
1:3
| Bali United ![]() |
Bali United |
28-Dec-24
2:0
| Persebaya ![]() |
Persebaya |
24-Apr-24
0:2
| Bali United ![]() |
Bali United |
20-Oct-23
3:1
| Persebaya ![]() |
Bali United |
18-Feb-23
4:0
| Persebaya ![]() |
Persebaya |
02-Sep-22
0:1
| Bali United ![]() |
Bali United |
20-Jun-22
1:0
| Persebaya ![]() |
Bali United |
25-Mar-22
0:3
| Persebaya ![]() |
Persebaya |
05-Jan-22
3:1
| Bali United ![]() |
| 06 Dec | D |
PSM Makassar.
|
1:1
| Persebaya.
|
Indonesia - Liga 1| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Persib Bandung | 34 | 60-33 | 69 |
| 2 |
Dewa United | 34 | 65-33 | 61 |
| 3 |
Malut United | 34 | 48-33 | 57 |
| 4 |
Pusamania Born | 34 | 50-38 | 56 |
| 5 |
Persebaya Sura | 34 | 41-38 | 56 |
| 6 |
PSM Makassar | 34 | 47-34 | 53 |
| 7 |
Persija | 34 | 47-38 | 51 |
| 8 |
Bali United | 34 | 50-41 | 50 |
| 9 |
PSBS Biak Numf | 34 | 44-47 | 48 |
| 10 |
Arema FC | 34 | 53-51 | 47 |
| 11 |
Persita | 34 | 32-43 | 43 |
| 12 |
Persik Kediri | 34 | 40-42 | 41 |
| 13 |
Semen Padang | 34 | 38-60 | 36 |
| 14 |
Persis Solo | 34 | 34-46 | 36 |
| 15 |
Persepam Madur | 34 | 36-58 | 36 |
| 16 |
PSS Sleman | 34 | 43-50 | 34 |
| 17 |
Barito Putera | 34 | 42-57 | 34 |
| 18 |
PSIS Semarang | 34 | 29-57 | 25 |