Pharco and National Bank of Egypt face off in the Premier League on March 12 at Haras El Hodoud Stadium, and if the stats are anything to go by, we could be in for a low-scoring affair. With the away side slightly favored at 2.1 odds, the hosts will need to dig deep to pull off another surprise like their 1-1 draw against Al Ahly back in January.

Looking at the numbers, under 2.5 goals is the smartest bet here, with our AI assigning it a trust level of 5.0/10 and odds of 1.43. Why? Because both teams tend to play tight, low-scoring matches. In fact, only 37.4% of Premier League games in Egypt see more than 2.5 goals, and with a predicted final score of 0-1, this one seems destined to follow suit.

National Bank of Egypt holds a slight possession advantage at 55%, and they’re expected to take 12 shots, compared to Pharco’s 8. However, with only a handful of on-target efforts predicted—just 2 for Pharco and 3 for National Bank of Egypt—goals could be hard to come by. The corner count also leans in the visitors’ favor (6 to 2), but that doesn’t necessarily translate to goals.

Historically, Egyptian league matches have been evenly contested, with home teams winning 33.3% of the time, away teams claiming 28.5%, and draws occurring in 38.2% of fixtures. Given these trends, the 2.8 odds on a draw might be worth a look for those who prefer a riskier punt.

Pharco did manage a 2-1 victory the last time these teams met on March 1, but the odds suggest a different story this time around. The AI’s 1x2 market prediction leans towards an away win (2) at 2.15 odds, but with only 2.0 confidence, it’s not the strongest call.

Bottom line? Under 2.5 goals is the best bet, and if you’re feeling adventurous, a 0-1 correct score prediction could bring solid value. Expect a cagey battle with few fireworks—but hey, that’s where the smart money is!