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Match Prediction

Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal Prediction

Finished
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Major League Soccer

Philadelp

€36.80m

16 Jul19:30
2 : 1

CF Montreal

€23.95m

Preview

Philadelp vs CF Montreal Prediction Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal Prediction: Expert Betting Preview & Tips

Welcome to your ultimate Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal prediction for the upcoming MLS fixture at Subaru Park on July 17, 2025, at 00:30 GMT. As the Union look to cement their spot at the top of the table and Montreal fight to climb out of the basement, there’s plenty at stake—and even more for bettors to consider. Let’s break down the stats, betting odds, and expert tips to help you make the smartest picks for this match.

Current Form and Standings: A Tale of Two Seasons

It’s hard to ignore the gulf between these two sides in the MLS standings. Philadelphia Union are riding high in 1st place with 43 points from 22 matches, showing the kind of consistency that dreams (and bets) are made of. Meanwhile, CF Montreal sit 15th with just 15 points—a whopping 14 places behind their hosts. The market values tell a similar story: Union’s €36.50m squad dwarfs Montreal’s €23.95m, and that quality gap has shown on the pitch all season.

Key Match Stats and Expected Game Flow

  • Possession: Union are forecasted to dominate with 61%, leaving Montreal chasing shadows at 39%.
  • Shots: Expect Philly to pepper the goal with 19 attempts (5 on target), while Montreal are predicted to muster 8 shots (4 on target).
  • Corners: The home team should rack up 8 corners to Montreal’s 3, indicating sustained attacking pressure.
  • Discipline: Both sides are expected to see 2 yellow cards each—so things could get feisty.

Historically, home teams in MLS win 49% of matches, and with Union’s fortress-like form, the numbers are firmly in their favor. The last time these teams met (August 2024), Union ran out 2-0 winners—another tick in the home win column.

Betting Odds and Expert Predictions

Let’s talk numbers. The bookmakers have Union as clear favorites at 1.44 for a home win, with a draw at 4.6 and a Montreal upset at 6.5. NerdyTips’ AI-powered prediction gives a home win (1) with a trust level of 5.1/10—solid, if not bulletproof. The 1x2 market agrees: Union to win, same confidence, same odds.

  • Best Bet: Home win (1) at odds of 1.44
  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 total goals at odds of 1.6 (trust level 3.8/10)
  • Expected Score: 2-1 to Philadelphia Union, with a 1-0 lead at half-time

Given that over 2.5 goals have landed in 58.1% of MLS games this season, and both teams have scored in nearly 60% of matches, the over looks tempting. But with Union’s defensive strength at home, a 2-1 or even 2-0 result feels about right.

Head to Head: Recent Results and Surprises

Philadelphia Union’s last head to head win over Montreal (2-0 in August 2024) came with similar odds, and they’ve shown they can deliver when expected. That said, both teams have pulled off surprises—Union’s 4-2 away win at Orlando (odds 5.2) and Montreal’s gritty 1-1 draw at the same venue (odds 6.5) prove that upsets aren’t impossible. Still, the stats—and the story—point to a home win here.

Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal Prediction: Final Tips

  1. Back the Home Win: All signs point to Philadelphia Union taking three points. The odds aren’t huge, but they reflect the gulf in class and form.
  2. Consider Over 2.5 Goals: Both teams have a habit of finding the net, and the stats back up a lively affair.
  3. Correct Score Punt: 2-1 to Union fits the data and recent head to head trends.

In summary, this Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal prediction leans heavily towards a home victory, with plenty of action expected in front of goal. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just here for the ride, Subaru Park should serve up a match worth watching—and maybe even worth a flutter.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Philadelphia Union didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Philadelp vs CF Montreal

1 -227

Philadelp is expected to win with odds of -227
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 -227

Philadelp is expected to win with odds of -227
5/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -189

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -149

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -385

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

61%
Ball Possession
39%
19
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
2
8
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

3.2
Total Goals
3.4
2.4
Goals Scored
1.3
0.8
Goals Against
2.1
47%
Possession
43%
12
Total Shots
9.6
3.6
Shots on Goal
4.3
5.8
Shots off Goal
3.6
15.2
Fouls
13.8
5
Corners
3.9
4
Yellow Cards
1.75
0
Red Cards
0.13
368
Total Passes
380

Overview Last 10 Matches

7
Wins
2
6
Over 1.5 Goals
8
5
Over 2.5 Goals
7
4
Over 3.5 Goals
6
3
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union
12 - 10 - 11
CF Montreal
CF Montreal CF Montreal 04-May-25
1:2
Philadelp Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal CF Montreal 14-Feb-25
0:1
Philadelp Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union Philadelp 10-Aug-24
2:0
CF Montreal CF Montreal
CF Montreal CF Montreal 30-Jun-24
4:2
Philadelp Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union Philadelp 02-Jun-24
2:2
CF Montreal CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union Philadelp 04-Jun-23
3:0
CF Montreal CF Montreal
CF Montreal CF Montreal 18-Mar-23
3:2
Philadelp Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union Philadelp 23-Apr-22
1:1
CF Montreal CF Montreal
CF Montreal CF Montreal 05-Mar-22
1:2
Philadelp Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal CF Montreal 16-Oct-21
2:2
Philadelp Philadelphia Union

USA - Major League Soccer USA - Major League Soccer

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia U34
57-35
66
2 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati34
52-40
65
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami34
81-55
65
4 Charlotte Charlotte34
55-46
59
5 New York City FC New York City 34
50-44
56
6 Nashville SC Nashville SC34
58-45
54
7 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew34
55-51
54
8 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire34
68-60
53
9 Orlando City SC Orlando City S34
63-51
53
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red B34
48-47
43
11 New England Revolution New England Re34
44-51
36
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC34
37-44
32
13 CF Montreal CF Montreal34
34-60
28
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United34
38-63
28
15 DC United DC United34
30-66
26
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