Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin Prediction

Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin Prediction: Can the Home Side Dominate?

When Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin kicks off on May 14, 2025, the stakes will be clear—one team is pushing for European qualification, while the other is comfortably mid-table. With Pogon sitting 4th (53 points) and Motor Lublin 9th (43 points), this isn’t just a battle of positions but a clash of ambitions. The betting odds tell their own story: a home win is priced at 1.37, a draw at 4.98, and an away win at a lofty 7.3. Clearly, the bookmakers see Pogon as heavy favorites, and given their squad value (€15.35m vs Lublin’s €10.52m), it’s easy to understand why.

What the Numbers Say

The stats paint a one-sided picture. Pogon is expected to dominate with 70% possession, while Motor Lublin will likely spend most of the match chasing shadows. Here’s what the data suggests:

• Shots: 18 for Pogon, just 8 for Lublin


• Shots on target: 7 vs 1—a brutal difference


• Corners: 7 for the hosts, 3 for the visitors

These numbers scream control. Pogon’s patient, possession-heavy style should suffocate Lublin, who’ll rely on quick counters. But here’s a quirky detail: the AI predicts zero yellow cards for both teams. Either this will be a gentlemanly affair, or the ref has a strict 'no fouls' policy.

Betting Tips and League Trends

Ekstraklasa trends add more fuel to the Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin prediction fire:

• Home teams win 44.3% of matches, away sides just 29.2%


• Both teams score in 51.8% of games


• Over 1.5 goals lands in 74% of matches, over 2.5 in 48%

Given these patterns, here’s where the smart money might go:

1. Over 2.5 goals (Trust score: 7.3/10, odds: 1.5) – Pogon’s attack vs Lublin’s shaky defense makes this appealing.


2. 1X2 – Home win (Trust level: 5.8, odds: 1.37) – The safer, if less thrilling, bet.


3. Correct score: 3-0 (First half: 1-0) – If Pogon clicks, this could be a long night for Lublin.

The Wild Card: Can Motor Lublin Shock Again?

Before Lublin fans despair, remember their 2-2 draw against Rakow Czestochowa last December—a game where the betting odds gave them a mere 7.38 chance. Upsets happen. But replicating that against a stronger Pogon side? Unlikely. Still, football loves a underdog story.

Final Thoughts

This head-to-head leans heavily toward Pogon Szczecin. Their superior squad, home advantage, and attacking stats make them the clear pick. For Motor Lublin, keeping the total goals low might be the only victory. Whether you’re betting or just watching, expect Pogon to control the game—but don’t rule out a moment of madness from the underdogs.

So, will this match follow the script? Our Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin prediction says yes—but as any football fan knows, the beautiful game loves a plot twist.