Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Poland
Pogon Szczecin
€15.35m
Rakow C
€31.08m
Preview
When Pogon Szczecin hosts Rakow Czestochowa at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera on April 19, 2025, the Ekstraklasa will witness a fascinating battle between ambition and table-topping authority. On paper, Rakow’s 12-point lead over Pogon suggests dominance, but the betting odds whisper a different tale—a near-deadlock, with Rakow barely favored at 2.47 and Pogon close behind at 2.880. This isn’t just a game; it’s a puzzle where stats, form, and hidden dynamics collide.
Rakow sits comfortably at the summit with 59 points, while Pogon lingers in fourth with 47. Yet, the market refuses to anoint the leaders as clear favorites. The reason? Context. Pogon’s home turf has been a fortress this season, and Rakow, despite their lofty position, have shown occasional vulnerability on the road. Their last meeting ended 1-1, a reminder that Pogon can punch above their weight. Add Rakow’s midweek European exploits—like their gritty 1-1 draw against Sporting CP as underdogs—and fatigue could be a silent factor.
The algorithm leans heavily toward goals, pricing ‘Over 1.5’ at a tantalizing 1.33 odds. It’s not just a hunch; 73.8% of Ekstraklasa matches clear this bar, and both teams score in 51.6% of games. Pogon’s expected 54% possession and Rakow’s clinical counterattacks should create chances, even if shots on target are projected to be level at four apiece. Rakow’s €31.08m squad—more than double Pogon’s €15.35m—hints at superior finishing, which might tip a tight game.
Expect a cagey start. The AI forecasts a 0-1 halftime lead for Rakow, mirroring their habit of grinding out advantages. But Pogon’s second-half surges—fueled by home support—could make things interesting. A 1-2 final scoreline feels plausible, with Rakow’s league-leading resilience edging it. The ‘X2’ (double chance) market at 1.45 odds reflects this, offering a safety net for Rakow’s backers. Pogon’s defensive leaks (they’ve conceded in 60% of home games) might prove decisive against a side that capitalizes on half-chances.
Nine expected corners (5-4 to Pogon) and just two yellow cards suggest a game that’s competitive but not chaotic. The referee—listed as ‘None’ in the preview, perhaps humorously implying the officials might be invisible—will hopefully keep things flowing. Rakow’s discipline (they average fewer fouls than Pogon) could be key in a match where set-pieces might break the deadlock.
For Ekstraklasa betting tips, this is a game where the numbers tell a story. Rakow’s table position and deeper squad justify their slight favoritism, but Pogon’s home grit ensures nothing’s guaranteed. The ‘Over 1.5 Goals’ tip at 1.33 is the banker, while a sprinkle on Rakow’s double chance (1.45) hedges against a potential upset. In a league where surprises lurk, this Pogon Szczecin vs Rakow Czestochowa prediction leans on logic—but keeps one eye on the magic of the unexpected.
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Pogon Szczecin didn't play better in the last H2H match!
O1.5 -303
At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -303X2-250
Rakow C to win or drawOver 1.5 -303
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchYes -125
Both teams are expected to scoreX2&O1.5 -130
Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1:2
|
|
2
-
3
-
8
|
|
 Pogon |
19-Apr-25
1:0
| Rakow C  |
| Rakow C |
20-Oct-24
1:0
| Pogon |
| Rakow C |
11-May-24
2:1
| Pogon |
| Pogon |
12-Nov-23
1:1
| Rakow C |
| Pogon |
05-Mar-23
0:2
| Rakow C |
| Pogon |
09-Nov-22
0:1
| Rakow C |
| Rakow C |
31-Aug-22
1:0
| Pogon |
| Pogon |
20-Apr-22
1:2
| Rakow C |
| Rakow C |
07-Nov-21
0:0
| Pogon |
Recent Matches of Pogon| 09 Nov |
Pogon.
|
-
| Jagiellonia.
| |
| 03 Nov | L |
Wisla Plock.
|
2:0
| Pogon.
|
Recent Matches Of Rakow C| 09 Nov |  Korona Kielc. |
- |
Rakow. | |
| 06 Nov | D |  Sparta Pragu. |
0:0 |
Rakow. |
| 02 Nov | W |  Jagiellonia. |
1:2 |
Rakow. |
Poland - Ekstraklasa| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 Lech Poznan |
34 | 68-31 | 70 |
| 2 |
 Raków Często |
34 | 51-23 | 69 |
| 3 |
Jagiellonia |
34 | 56-42 | 61 |
| 4 |
Pogon Szczecin |
34 | 59-40 | 58 |
| 5 |
 Legia Warszawa |
34 | 60-45 | 54 |
| 6 |
 Cracovia Krako |
34 | 58-53 | 51 |
| 7 |
 Motor Lublin |
34 | 48-59 | 49 |
| 8 |
 GKS Katowice |
34 | 49-47 | 49 |
| 9 |
 Gornik Zabrze |
34 | 43-39 | 47 |
| 10 |
 Piast Gliwice |
34 | 37-36 | 45 |
| 11 |
 Korona Kielce |
34 | 37-45 | 45 |
| 12 |
 Radomiak Radom |
34 | 48-52 | 41 |
| 13 |
 Widzew Łódź |
34 | 38-49 | 40 |
| 14 |
 Lechia Gdansk |
34 | 44-59 | 37 |
| 15 |
 Zaglebie Lubin |
34 | 33-51 | 36 |
| 16 |
 Stal Mielec |
34 | 39-56 | 31 |
| 17 |
 Slask Wroclaw |
34 | 38-53 | 30 |
| 18 |
 Puszcza Niepo |
34 | 37-63 | 28 |
