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Match Prediction

Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake Prediction

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Major League Soccer

Portland

€48.35m

17 Jul03:30
0 : 1

Real Salt Lake

€35.30m

Preview

Portland  vs Real Salt Lake Prediction Major League Soccer

Timbers vs Real Salt Lake: A Tactical Prediction

This midweek fixture at the iconic Providence Park presents a fascinating Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake prediction, where league position tells only part of the story. On July 17th, under the lights, we'll see if the favored Portland Timbers can leverage their home advantage against a Real Salt Lake side desperate to climb from the lower rungs of the table. After 20 matches, the standings paint a clear picture: the Timbers are sitting mid-table in 11th with a respectable 33 points, while RSL finds itself in a more precarious 21st position with just 25 points. This eight-point gap sets the stage for a contest where one team is looking to solidify its standing and the other is fighting for every scrap.

Decoding the Odds and Betting Tips

The bookmakers have cast their vote, positioning the Portland Timbers as the clear favorites with odds of 2.35 for a home victory. A draw is priced at 3.60, while an upset win for Real Salt Lake comes in at a tempting 2.8. Here at NerdyTips, our AI has crunched the numbers, and the insights point towards a calculated approach.

  • Safest Bet: The AI's most profitable recommendation is a 1X (home win or draw). With odds of 1.43 and a trust rating of 4.6/10, it’s a solid foundation for any bet slip, acknowledging Portland's strength at home while providing a safety net.
  • Value Bet: For those seeking higher returns, the straight home win (1) at 2.35 carries a trust level of 3.6/10. This reflects the statistical likelihood but also accounts for the inherent unpredictability of MLS.
  • Goals Market: The AI leans towards a more conservative affair, suggesting Under 3.6 goals with a trust rating of 3.4 and odds of 1.434. This aligns with a predicted final score of 2.35 in favor of the Timbers.

Interestingly, the AI also projects a 1:0 half-time lead for Portland, suggesting they will look to start fast and control the game from the outset. This aligns with the broader MLS trend where home teams win nearly half the time (49.0%).

The Tactical Chessboard: Possession vs. Precision

On the pitch, we expect to see a distinct tactical dynamic. The Portland Timbers are projected to dominate the ball with 56% possession, using the fervent home crowd to dictate the tempo. Real Salt Lake, with an expected 44% of the ball, will likely adopt a more reactive, counter-attacking strategy. What's truly compelling is the shot data. Despite the disparity in possession, the teams are predicted to be almost evenly matched in offensive output.

  1. Portland Timbers: Expected to take 13 total shots, with 4 hitting the target.
  2. Real Salt Lake: Forecasted to manage 14 total shots, also with 4 on target.

This suggests that while Portland may control the flow, RSL could be just as dangerous, if not more so, on a per-possession basis. The game is also expected to be tightly contested in other areas, with an estimated 9 total corners (5 for Portland, 4 for RSL) and an even split of 2 yellow cards apiece, indicating a disciplined but competitive match.

Beyond the Form Guide: Head to Head, Money, and Mind Games

To get a full picture for our Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake prediction, we must look beyond the immediate stats. The financial muscle of the clubs offers a clue, with the Timbers' roster valued at a hefty €48.35m, significantly outpacing RSL's €35.30m. This often translates to greater depth and quality on the bench. Recent history also smiles on the home side. In their last head to head encounter on July 14th, 2024, Portland secured a convincing 3-0 victory. It's worth noting the odds for that match were 2.2 for a Timbers win, showing how their favoritism has only slightly increased.

However, both teams have a history of defying expectations. We saw Portland snatch a surprising 2:2 draw away at Columbus Crew when the odds were a staggering 5.55. Similarly, Real Salt Lake proved their mettle by securing a 1:1 result at the formidable Los Angeles FC against odds of 5.8. These results are a stark reminder that in MLS, heart and strategy can often trump statistics. While our AI model points to a 2.35 home win, RSL has the tools to make this a far closer contest than the league table suggests.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

The odd of the best tip is increasing. The initial odd was: 1.31

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Portland vs Real Salt Lake

1X -233

Portland to win or draw with odds of -233
4/10

1x2 Tip

1 135

Portland is expected to win with odds of 135
3/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -175

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -213

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U5.5 -172

Home win/draw and under 5.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

56%
Ball Possession
44%
13
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots Off Goal
5
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

2.1
Total Goals
2.2
0.9
Goals Scored
1.1
1.2
Goals Against
1.1
55%
Possession
50%
11.3
Total Shots
14
3.9
Shots on Goal
4.4
4.1
Shots off Goal
5.2
10.4
Fouls
13.3
4.2
Corners
5.3
1.3
Offsides
1.7
2.13
Yellow Cards
2.7
0
Red Cards
0.1
501
Total Passes
435

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
3
7
Over 1.5 Goals
7
5
Over 2.5 Goals
2
0
Over 3.5 Goals
2
6
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Portland Timbers
14 - 11 - 16
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers Portland 17-Jul-25
0:1
Real S Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake Real S 15-May-25
0:0
Portland Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake Real S 22-Sep-24
3:3
Portland Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers Portland 14-Jul-24
3:0
Real S Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers Portland 31-Aug-23
2:1
Real S Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake Real S 18-May-23
0:0
Portland Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers Portland 11-May-23
3:4
Real S Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake Real S 09-Oct-22
3:1
Portland Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers Portland 24-Apr-22
0:0
Real S Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers Portland 04-Dec-21
2:0
Real S Real Salt Lake

USA - Major League Soccer USA - Major League Soccer

Team Matches Goals Points
1 San Diego San Diego34
64-41
63
2 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whit34
66-38
63
3 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC34
65-40
60
4 Minnesota United FC Minnesota Unit34
56-39
58
5 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounde34
58-48
55
6 Austin Austin34
37-45
47
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas34
52-55
44
8 Portland Timbers Portland Timbe34
41-48
44
9 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake34
38-49
41
10 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earth34
60-63
41
11 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapid34
44-56
41
12 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo34
43-56
37
13 St. Louis City St. Louis City34
44-58
32
14 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Ga34
46-66
30
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansa34
46-70
28
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