Portland
€48.35m
Real Salt Lake
€35.30m
Preview
This midweek fixture at the iconic Providence Park presents a fascinating Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake prediction, where league position tells only part of the story. On July 17th, under the lights, we'll see if the favored Portland Timbers can leverage their home advantage against a Real Salt Lake side desperate to climb from the lower rungs of the table. After 20 matches, the standings paint a clear picture: the Timbers are sitting mid-table in 11th with a respectable 33 points, while RSL finds itself in a more precarious 21st position with just 25 points. This eight-point gap sets the stage for a contest where one team is looking to solidify its standing and the other is fighting for every scrap.
The bookmakers have cast their vote, positioning the Portland Timbers as the clear favorites with odds of 2.35 for a home victory. A draw is priced at 3.60, while an upset win for Real Salt Lake comes in at a tempting 2.8. Here at NerdyTips, our AI has crunched the numbers, and the insights point towards a calculated approach.
Interestingly, the AI also projects a 1:0 half-time lead for Portland, suggesting they will look to start fast and control the game from the outset. This aligns with the broader MLS trend where home teams win nearly half the time (49.0%).
On the pitch, we expect to see a distinct tactical dynamic. The Portland Timbers are projected to dominate the ball with 56% possession, using the fervent home crowd to dictate the tempo. Real Salt Lake, with an expected 44% of the ball, will likely adopt a more reactive, counter-attacking strategy. What's truly compelling is the shot data. Despite the disparity in possession, the teams are predicted to be almost evenly matched in offensive output.
This suggests that while Portland may control the flow, RSL could be just as dangerous, if not more so, on a per-possession basis. The game is also expected to be tightly contested in other areas, with an estimated 9 total corners (5 for Portland, 4 for RSL) and an even split of 2 yellow cards apiece, indicating a disciplined but competitive match.
To get a full picture for our Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake prediction, we must look beyond the immediate stats. The financial muscle of the clubs offers a clue, with the Timbers' roster valued at a hefty €48.35m, significantly outpacing RSL's €35.30m. This often translates to greater depth and quality on the bench. Recent history also smiles on the home side. In their last head to head encounter on July 14th, 2024, Portland secured a convincing 3-0 victory. It's worth noting the odds for that match were 2.2 for a Timbers win, showing how their favoritism has only slightly increased.
However, both teams have a history of defying expectations. We saw Portland snatch a surprising 2:2 draw away at Columbus Crew when the odds were a staggering 5.55. Similarly, Real Salt Lake proved their mettle by securing a 1:1 result at the formidable Los Angeles FC against odds of 5.8. These results are a stark reminder that in MLS, heart and strategy can often trump statistics. While our AI model points to a 2.35 home win, RSL has the tools to make this a far closer contest than the league table suggests.
This midweek fixture at the iconic Providence Park presents a fascinating Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake prediction, where league position tells only part of the story. On July 17th, under the lights, we'll see if the favored Portland Timbers can leverage their home advantage against a Real Salt Lake side desperate to climb from the lower rungs of the table. After 20 matches, the standings paint a clear picture: the Timbers are sitting mid-table in 11th with a respectable 33 points, while RSL finds itself in a more precarious 21st position with just 25 points. This eight-point gap sets the stage for a contest where one team is looking to solidify its standing and the other is fighting for every scrap.
The bookmakers have cast their vote, positioning the Portland Timbers as the clear favorites with odds of 2.35 for a home victory. A draw is priced at 3.60, while an upset win for Real Salt Lake comes in at a tempting 2.8. Here at NerdyTips, our AI has crunched the numbers, and the insights point towards a calculated approach.
Interestingly, the AI also projects a 1:0 half-time lead for Portland, suggesting they will look to start fast and control the game from the outset. This aligns with the broader MLS trend where home teams win nearly half the time (49.0%).
On the pitch, we expect to see a distinct tactical dynamic. The Portland Timbers are projected to dominate the ball with 56% possession, using the fervent home crowd to dictate the tempo. Real Salt Lake, with an expected 44% of the ball, will likely adopt a more reactive, counter-attacking strategy. What's truly compelling is the shot data. Despite the disparity in possession, the teams are predicted to be almost evenly matched in offensive output.
This suggests that while Portland may control the flow, RSL could be just as dangerous, if not more so, on a per-possession basis. The game is also expected to be tightly contested in other areas, with an estimated 9 total corners (5 for Portland, 4 for RSL) and an even split of 2 yellow cards apiece, indicating a disciplined but competitive match.
To get a full picture for our Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake prediction, we must look beyond the immediate stats. The financial muscle of the clubs offers a clue, with the Timbers' roster valued at a hefty €48.35m, significantly outpacing RSL's €35.30m. This often translates to greater depth and quality on the bench. Recent history also smiles on the home side. In their last head to head encounter on July 14th, 2024, Portland secured a convincing 3-0 victory. It's worth noting the odds for that match were 2.2 for a Timbers win, showing how their favoritism has only slightly increased.
However, both teams have a history of defying expectations. We saw Portland snatch a surprising 2:2 draw away at Columbus Crew when the odds were a staggering 5.55. Similarly, Real Salt Lake proved their mettle by securing a 1:1 result at the formidable Los Angeles FC against odds of 5.8. These results are a stark reminder that in MLS, heart and strategy can often trump statistics. While our AI model points to a 2.35 home win, RSL has the tools to make this a far closer contest than the league table suggests.
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The odd of the best tip is increasing. The initial odd was: 1.31
1X -233
Portland to win or draw with odds of -2331 135
Portland is expected to win with odds of 135Under 3.5 -175
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -213
Both teams are expected to score1X&U5.5 -172
Home win/draw and under 5.5 goals
2:1
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14
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11
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16
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Portland |
17-Jul-25
0:1
| Real S ![]() |
Real S |
15-May-25
0:0
| Portland ![]() |
Real S |
22-Sep-24
3:3
| Portland ![]() |
Portland |
14-Jul-24
3:0
| Real S ![]() |
Portland |
31-Aug-23
2:1
| Real S ![]() |
Real S |
18-May-23
0:0
| Portland ![]() |
Portland |
11-May-23
3:4
| Real S ![]() |
Real S |
09-Oct-22
3:1
| Portland ![]() |
Portland |
24-Apr-22
0:0
| Real S ![]() |
Portland |
04-Dec-21
2:0
| Real S ![]() |
USA - Major League Soccer| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
San Diego | 34 | 64-41 | 63 |
| 2 |
Vancouver Whit | 34 | 66-38 | 63 |
| 3 |
Los Angeles FC | 34 | 65-40 | 60 |
| 4 |
Minnesota Unit | 34 | 56-39 | 58 |
| 5 |
Seattle Sounde | 34 | 58-48 | 55 |
| 6 |
Austin | 34 | 37-45 | 47 |
| 7 |
FC Dallas | 34 | 52-55 | 44 |
| 8 |
Portland Timbe | 34 | 41-48 | 44 |
| 9 |
Real Salt Lake | 34 | 38-49 | 41 |
| 10 |
San Jose Earth | 34 | 60-63 | 41 |
| 11 |
Colorado Rapid | 34 | 44-56 | 41 |
| 12 |
Houston Dynamo | 34 | 43-56 | 37 |
| 13 |
St. Louis City | 34 | 44-58 | 32 |
| 14 |
Los Angeles Ga | 34 | 46-66 | 30 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansa | 34 | 46-70 | 28 |