Match Prediction
Match Prediction
China
Qingdao R
€1.88m
Chongqing
€4.53m
Preview
The Qingdao Red Lions vs Chongqing Tongliang Long prediction for July 12, 2025, promises a fascinating mid-table battle at Qingdao Tiantai Stadium. While the hosts, Qingdao, enter as underdogs with a squad value of just €1.88m, the visitors from Chongqing arrive with the weight of expectation—and a €4.53m squad—firmly on their shoulders. Bookmakers have made their stance clear: Chongqing are heavy favorites, with away win odds at 1.44, while a Qingdao victory sits at a distant 6.5. But as any seasoned fan knows, football is rarely as simple as the odds suggest.
The odds analysis paints a stark picture. With a draw priced at 4.0, Qingdao are expected to spend much of the afternoon on the defensive. NerdyTips’ AI model is in full agreement, giving a 2.6 confidence rating for a Chongqing win (1x2 market: ‘2’). On paper, Chongqing’s pricey squad should, in theory, slice through Qingdao like a hot knife through butter—but football loves a plot twist, and Qingdao have a habit of making life difficult for their more illustrious visitors.
If you’re hoping for a goal fest, you might want to temper those expectations. The AI’s top betting tip for this League One fixture is under 3.5 goals (1.28 odds, 7.5/10 confidence). This isn’t just a hunch; only 27.2% of League One matches see more than 3.5 goals. The expected scoreline? A cagey 0:1 to Chongqing, with a goalless first half. In other words, Qingdao’s defense might be tighter than a budget airline’s legroom—especially when the stakes are high.
A quick look at the head to head record reveals that Qingdao are capable of surprises. Their 1-0 win over Chongqing earlier this year is a reminder that underdogs can bite. However, since then, the odds have swung sharply in Chongqing’s favor, reflecting their improved form and squad depth.
So, what’s the best approach for punters? While the Qingdao Red Lions vs Chongqing Tongliang Long prediction leans heavily towards an away win, value hunters might be tempted by Qingdao’s knack for springing a surprise—or, for those seeking a safer bet, the under 3.5 goals market looks like a smart play. After all, in League One, even the most lopsided odds can unravel when the underdogs dig in.
To wrap up, this League One encounter is set up as a classic test of resolve for Qingdao and a chance for Chongqing to justify their favorites tag. The smart money is on a low-scoring affair, with Chongqing edging it by the slimmest of margins. But as always, keep an eye on those head to head quirks—because in football, the script is never set in stone.
For more betting tips, odds analysis, and League One predictions, stay tuned—because every match has a story, and every underdog dreams of rewriting it.
Read More
U3.5 -357
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -3572 -227
Chongqing is expected to win with odds of -227Under 3.5 -357
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -161
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U3.5 -192
Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
0:1
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2
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3
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0
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 Chongqing |
15-Mar-25
1:1
| Qingdao R  |
| Chongqing |
21-Jul-24
1:1
| Qingdao R |
| Qingdao R |
23-Mar-24
1:0
| Chongqing |
| Chongqing |
15-Oct-23
0:0
| Qingdao R |
| Qingdao R |
03-Sep-23
1:0
| Chongqing |
China - League One| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Shenyang Urban | 29 | 59-27 | 65 |
| 2 |
Guangzhou E-Po | 29 | 52-34 | 57 |
| 3 |
Chongqing Tong | 29 | 50-32 | 57 |
| 4 |
Yanbian Longdi | 29 | 37-24 | 52 |
| 5 |
Hebei Kungfu | 29 | 37-29 | 46 |
| 6 |
Heilongjiang L | 29 | 40-34 | 44 |
| 7 |
Nantong Zhiyun | 29 | 43-28 | 43 |
| 8 |
Dalian Huayi | 29 | 40-36 | 41 |
| 9 |
Shaanxi Union | 29 | 43-46 | 36 |
| 10 |
Nanjing City | 29 | 39-42 | 36 |
| 11 |
Suzhou Dongwu | 29 | 24-28 | 35 |
| 12 |
Shanghai Jiadi | 29 | 26-42 | 30 |
| 13 |
Dongguan Unite | 29 | 27-44 | 29 |
| 14 |
Guangxi Baoyun | 29 | 23-42 | 25 |
| 15 |
Shenzhen Junio | 29 | 36-59 | 25 |
| 16 |
Qingdao Red Li | 29 | 19-48 | 13 |
