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Match Prediction

Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction

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Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake

€35.30m

26 Jul21:30
2 : 1

San J

€34.33m

Preview

Real Salt Lake vs San J Prediction Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction: Stats, Tips & Betting Odds

Looking for the best Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction ahead of their July 27, 2025, meeting at America First Field? You’re in the right place. At NerdyTips, we break down the latest stats, team news, and betting odds to give you a clear, human take on what to expect—no jargon, just smart analysis. Whether you’re a casual fan or a seasoned sports betting enthusiast, this preview will help you make sense of the numbers and enjoy the match even more.

Team Form, Tactics, and Head to Head Insights

As the 25th round of the MLS season rolls in, both Real Salt Lake and San Jose Earthquakes find themselves locked in a tight Western Conference race. Real Salt Lake (often just “Salt Lake” or “RSL”) sits 10th with 28 points, while San Jose is just one spot ahead on 29. It’s almost as if they’re playing a game of musical chairs—except with playoff spots on the line.

  • Recent Form: RSL have picked up three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, showing some home resilience but struggling to convert chances (17 shots, no goals in their last home game against FC Cincinnati). At home, though, they’ve won three straight in MLS play.
  • San Jose’s Struggles: The Earthquakes are in a funk, winless in six across all competitions (three draws, three defeats). They’ve been leaking goals and haven’t found the net as often as their fans would like, conceding twice as many as they score on average in recent weeks.
  • Head to Head: The all-time record is tight: San Jose leads with 17 wins to RSL’s 15, and 15 draws. The last meeting saw San Jose run riot with a 4-0 win in February, but the history in Utah is surprisingly balanced—San Jose has won three of the last five at RSL’s home.

Both sides have been dealing with injury headaches. RSL will be without Mathew Bell, Javian Brown, Zac MacMath, and Tyler Wolff, while San Jose is missing Dejuan Jones, Benjamin Kikanovic, Noel Buck, Daniel Munie, and possibly Vitor Costa. The big story is Cristian Arango, who switched from Salt Lake to San Jose and remains a major attacking threat for the visitors.

  • Key Players to Watch:
    • Diego Luna (RSL): One of the league’s brightest young stars and a fantasy favorite.
    • Cristian Arango (San Jose): Now facing his old club, he’s seventh all-time in MLS for goals per 90 minutes.
    • Cristian Espinoza (San Jose): The creative spark in midfield.

Tactically, RSL’s coach has leaned into a more attacking style at home, hoping to turn possession into goals. San Jose, under Bruce Arena, has shifted to a 3-5-2, blending possession-based build-up with direct play. They’re among the league’s best in attack but have a leaky defense—third-most goals conceded and the highest expected goals against (xGA) in MLS. Expect goals, but also expect chaos at the back.

Sports Betting Odds, AI Predictions, and Best Tips

Let’s talk sports betting and what the numbers say. The bookmakers have set the odds at 1.95 for a home win, 4.0 for a draw, and 3.38 for an away win. The Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction from our AI model leans toward a home victory, with a predicted final score of 2:1 and a calculated trust of 1.4. That’s not the highest confidence, but it matches the slight edge the bookies give RSL.

  • Over 2.5 Goals: Our AI’s top tip is for over 2.5 goals (odds 1.4, trust rating 3.3/10). Both teams have attacking talent, and San Jose’s defensive frailty makes this a strong pick for the under/over bet.
  • Match Stats Forecast:
    • Possession: RSL 53%, San Jose 47%
    • Shots: RSL 17, San Jose 14
    • On Target: 5 each
    • Corners: 5 each
    • Yellow Cards: 2 (RSL), 3 (San Jose)
  • Value Watch: Squad values are nearly identical—€35.30m for RSL and €34.33m for San Jose—so don’t expect one side to outclass the other on paper.

If you like to bet on trends, note that San Jose’s matches have seen at least five bookings in eight of their last nine, and RSL has scored first in five of their last six. But RSL also has the second-fewest goals in the conference, so don’t expect a goal fest from just one side.

Final Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction and Betting Advice

With both teams nearly level on points and recent meetings swinging both ways, this feels like a classic MLS toss-up. Still, RSL’s home form and San Jose’s defensive issues tip the scales slightly toward the hosts. Our Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction: a 2-1 home win, with over 2.5 goals as the best betting tip. Keep an eye on Arango facing his old club—he could be the wild card.

  1. Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.4, trust rating 3.3/10)
  2. 1x2 Prediction: Home win (odds 1.95, trust 1.4/10)

Whether you’re tuning in for the Pioneer Day Weekend celebration or just looking to make your next sports betting move, this is one MLS match you won’t want to miss. And remember, the best predictions are the ones you enjoy watching play out!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Real Salt Lake vs San J

O2.5 -250

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -250
3/10

1x2 Tip

1 -105

Real Salt Lake is expected to win with odds of -105
1/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -250

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -256

Both teams are expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -238

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

53%
Ball Possession
47%
17
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Goal
5
6
Shots Off Goal
5
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

0.19
Expected Goals
0.3
2.2
Total Goals
3.4
1.1
Goals Scored
1.6
1.1
Goals Against
1.8
51%
Possession
54%
15.2
Total Shots
14.7
5
Shots on Goal
5.4
5.6
Shots off Goal
6.1
12.6
Fouls
11.6
5
Corners
5.9
1.9
Offsides
1.9
2.3
Yellow Cards
3.11
0
Red Cards
0.22
449
Total Passes
434

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
2
6
Over 1.5 Goals
9
2
Over 2.5 Goals
6
2
Over 3.5 Goals
5
4
Both Teams Scored
9
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Real Salt Lake
11 - 7 - 15
San Jose Earthquakes
Real Salt Lake Real S 27-Jul-25
2:1
San J San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes San J 23-Feb-25
4:0
Real S Real Salt Lake
San Jose Earthquakes San J 06-Oct-24
0:1
Real S Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake Real S 25-Aug-24
0:2
San J San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes San J 17-Sep-23
2:1
Real S Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake Real S 23-Apr-23
3:1
San J San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes San J 31-Jul-22
2:2
Real S Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake Real S 19-Jun-22
2:0
San J San Jose Earthquakes
Real Salt Lake Real S 30-Oct-21
3:4
San J San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes San J 16-Sep-21
3:4
Real S Real Salt Lake

USA - Major League Soccer USA - Major League Soccer

Team Matches Goals Points
1 San Diego San Diego34
64-41
63
2 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whit34
66-38
63
3 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC34
65-40
60
4 Minnesota United FC Minnesota Unit34
56-39
58
5 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounde34
58-48
55
6 Austin Austin34
37-45
47
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas34
52-55
44
8 Portland Timbers Portland Timbe34
41-48
44
9 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake34
38-49
41
10 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earth34
60-63
41
11 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapid34
44-56
41
12 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo34
43-56
37
13 St. Louis City St. Louis City34
44-58
32
14 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Ga34
46-66
30
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansa34
46-70
28
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