Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Paraguay
Rubio NU
€275.00Th.
Deportivo
€25.00Th.
Preview
Welcome to your essential Rubio NU vs Deportivo Santani prediction for the July 7, 2025, fixture at Estadio La Arboleda. This isn’t just another Monday night in Paraguay's Division Intermedia—it's a fascinating study in contrasts, where squad value, recent form, and the quirks of league statistics collide to create a betting puzzle. With bookmakers setting Rubio NU as 1.62 favorites, a draw at 3.36, and Santani out at a distant 5.7, the odds seem to tell a clear story. But in a division where draws (47.7%) lurk like a persistent drizzle and home wins (33.8%) are only slightly more common than a good referee, nothing is ever that simple.
Let’s not mince words: Rubio NU’s €275K squad value dwarfs Santani’s €25K—a staggering 11:1 ratio. In practical terms, Santani’s budget wouldn’t cover Rubio’s laundry bill, let alone their transfer ambitions. Financial muscle doesn’t always guarantee three points, but it often translates to better depth, tactical flexibility, and the sort of late-game composure that can turn a tight contest. This was on display in their last head to head, when Rubio NU eked out a 2-1 win away on May 4, 2024. That result wasn’t a fluke; it echoed the league’s home advantage bias and highlighted the gulf in resources.
The bookmakers’ odds—Rubio NU at 1.62, draw at 3.36, Santani at 5.7—suggest a home win is expected, but perhaps not as strongly as you’d think given the financial disparity. NerdyTips gives a 6.1/10 confidence rating for the home win at 1.62 odds. Is that high? Not quite a slam dunk, but in a league where draws haunt bettors like bad tattoos, it’s the smartest gamble on the board. The numbers say Rubio NU should win, but the Intermedia’s draw rate is the wild card.
If you’re hunting for value in the total goals market, the over 1.5 goals at 1.45 odds comes with a 52.5% league hit rate. NerdyTips projects a 2-1 final score (1-0 at halftime), which fits the script: Rubio NU’s superior squad should carve out chances, but Santani’s resilience means they’re rarely blown away. Still, only 33.9% of Intermedia matches clear 2.5 goals, and a mere 18.5% go over 3.5. Expect a competitive but not explosive contest, where Rubio’s extra quality nudges the total just over the line.
The last Rubio NU vs Deportivo Santani prediction saw the home side edge a 2-1 result—mirroring both the squad value gap and the league’s tendency for close, low-scoring games. With only a third of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, and draws a constant threat, bettors should tread carefully. Still, when you add up the squad value, home advantage, and recent H2H, Rubio NU’s 1.62 odds might actually be undervaluing their dominance.
For this Rubio NU vs Deportivo Santani prediction, the smart money is on the home win and over 1.5 goals—just don’t expect a goal fest. The league’s draw rate keeps things interesting, but Rubio’s superior resources and recent H2H edge tip the scales. As always in Paraguay’s Intermedia, expect the unexpected—but if you’re looking for value, trust the numbers, trust the trends, and keep an eye on that squad value gap. After all, in football as in life, sometimes money does talk.
Read More
Click here to take our 30-sec quiz
NerdyTips AI Compatibility
Discover if our AI can improve your betting strategy
How often do you bet?
What’s your usual number of matches per slip?
What kind of odds do you usually bet on?
Do you prefer betting on top leagues or any league?
Are correct score bets part of your strategy?
Your Score
Based on your betting patterns, NerdyTips is somewhat suitable for your strategy.
Create an Account1 -161
Rubio NU is expected to win with odds of -1611-161
Rubio NU is expected to win with odds of -161Over 1.5 -222
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchYes 132
Both teams are expected to score1X&O1.5 -179
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1:0
2:1
|
|
5
-
4
-
0
|
|
| Deportivo |
01-Apr-25
0:0
| Rubio NU |
| Deportivo |
10-Aug-24
0:1
| Rubio NU |
| Rubio NU |
04-May-24
2:1
| Deportivo |
| Deportivo |
09-Sep-23
0:1
| Rubio NU |
| Rubio NU |
03-Jun-23
2:2
| Deportivo |
| Rubio NU |
30-Sep-22
2:2
| Deportivo |
| Deportivo |
24-Jun-22
0:4
| Rubio NU |
| Deportivo |
04-Sep-21
1:1
| Rubio NU |
| Rubio NU |
31-May-21
1:0
| Deportivo |
Recent Matches of Rubio NU| 13 Jul | W |
Pastoreo.
|
1:4
| Rubio NU.
|
| 07 Jul | W |
Rubio NU.
|
1:0
| Deportivo.
|
| 29 Jun | W |
Rubio NU.
|
4:0
| Tacuary.
|
| 20 Jun | W |
Resistencia.
|
3:4
| Rubio NU.
|
| 15 Jun | W |
Rubio NU.
|
2:1
| Guairena FC.
|
| 07 Jun | D |
Sportivo C.
|
1:1
| Rubio NU.
|
| 02 Jun | W |
Rubio NU.
|
3:0
| Independi.
|
| 25 May | D |
SOL A.
|
0:0
| Rubio NU.
|
| 20 May | W |
Rubio NU.
|
1:0
| Fernando .
|
| 15 May | L |
Encarnacion.
|
1:0
| Rubio NU.
|
Recent Matches of Deportivo
| 18 Jul |  Guarani F. |
- |
Deportivo. | |
| 12 Jul | W | Deportivo. |
3:1 |
Club R. |
| 07 Jul | L | Rubio NU. |
1:0 |
Deportivo. |
| 27 Jun | L | Pastoreo. |
2:1 |
Deportivo. |
| 21 Jun | L | Deportivo. |
0:1 |
Club S. |
| 13 Jun | L | Deportivo. |
0:1 |
Tacuary. |
| 09 Jun | D | Resistencia. |
3:3 |
Deportivo. |
| 02 Jun | L | Deportivo. |
0:2 |
Guairena FC. |
| 25 May | L | Sportivo C. |
4:0 |
Deportivo. |
| 20 May | W | Deportivo. |
2:1 |
Independi. |
Paraguay - Division Intermedia| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
12 de Junio VH | 17 | 24-12 | 35 |
| 2 |
Rubio NU | 17 | 26-11 | 34 |
| 3 |
Deportivo Capi | 17 | 22-11 | 32 |
| 4 |
Tacuary | 17 | 18-19 | 28 |
| 5 |
Sportivo Carap | 17 | 21-14 | 26 |
| 6 |
Club Sp. San L | 17 | 18-15 | 25 |
| 7 |
Resistencia | 17 | 26-26 | 22 |
| 8 |
Club River Pla | 17 | 23-23 | 22 |
| 9 |
Pastoreo | 17 | 19-21 | 21 |
| 10 |
Independiente | 17 | 16-20 | 19 |
| 11 |
Guairena FC | 17 | 14-17 | 18 |
| 12 |
Encarnación | 17 | 15-21 | 18 |
| 13 |
SOL DE America | 17 | 10-18 | 18 |
| 14 |
Deportivo Sant | 17 | 15-22 | 16 |
| 15 |
Guaraní de Fr | 17 | 20-28 | 13 |
| 16 |
Fernando De La | 17 | 11-20 | 13 |
