San Telmo vs Nueva Chicago Prediction

San Telmo vs Nueva Chicago Prediction: Tight Battle Expected at Estadio Baletto

When San Telmo vs Nueva Chicago meet on June 15, 2025, at Estadio Dr. Osvaldo Francisco Baletto, expect a gritty, low-scoring affair typical of Argentina’s Primera Nacional. Our San Telmo vs Nueva Chicago prediction leans toward a narrow home victory, but the real value lies in the total goals market—specifically, backing under 2.5 goals. Let’s break down why the stats and recent form point to a cagey contest.

Betting Odds and Market Insights

The bookmakers have installed San Telmo as slight favorites, with betting odds of 2.14 for a home win. A draw sits at 3.0, while Nueva Chicago’s away victory is priced at 3.48. These numbers reflect a match where margins will be razor-thin—fitting for two sides known for defensive discipline. Here’s what stands out:

• Home advantage matters: Primera Nacional home teams win 41.7% of matches, compared to just 22.4% for away sides.


• Low-scoring trend: Only 30.7% of league games see over 2.5 goals, and our AI projects a 1-0 final score (half-time 0-0).


• Recent head-to-head: San Telmo’s 1-0 win in February 2024 suggests familiarity breeds tight contests.

Why Under 2.5 Goals is the Smart Play

NerdyTips’ AI rates under 2.5 goals as the top pick (confidence 6.4/10, odds 1.45), and the stats back it up emphatically:

1. Both teams scored in just 38.9% of Primera Nacional matches this season.


2. San Telmo’s last two games featured exactly two goals combined (1-1 draw vs. Gimnasia Jujuy, 1-0 win in the head-to-head).


3. Nueva Chicago’s recent 1-1 away draw at Gimnasia further hints at a lack of attacking fireworks.

With neither squad boasting explosive firepower—San Telmo’s squad is valued at €2.09m, Nueva Chicago’s at €2.88m—this game screams tactical caution. The betting odds for under 2.5 goals at 1.45 offer solid value for a likely outcome.

1X2 Prediction: Home Win, But With Caution

Our AI gives a home win a 4.5/10 confidence rating (odds 2.14). While San Telmo isn’t a lock, the edge comes from:

• Historical context: Home teams win nearly twice as often as away sides in this league.


• Recent form: San Telmo’s unbeaten run (win and a draw) contrasts with Nueva Chicago’s struggles on the road.


• Squad depth: Though Nueva Chicago’s roster is pricier, San Telmo’s cohesion at Estadio Baletto could tip the scales.

That said, a 1-0 scoreline feels likelier than a rout. If you’re risk-averse, pairing San Telmo to win with under 2.5 goals at 3.10 (combined) is a shrewd move.

Final Thoughts and Best Bets

This San Telmo vs Nueva Chicago prediction hinges on patience. Expect a slow burn, with a potential breakthrough coming late. Key takeaways:

• Top tip: Under 2.5 goals (1.45 odds). The data and AI alignment make this the safest play.


• Value pick: San Telmo to win 1-0 (around 5.50 odds if available). Their pragmatic style suits tight victories.


• Wildcard: No goalscorer (if odds exceed 2.00). A 0-0 or own-goal decider wouldn’t shock.

In a league where defenses dominate, San Telmo vs Nueva Chicago should follow the script. Keep your bets lean, your expectations lower, and trust the numbers.