Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Japan
Sanfrecce
€20.10m
Nagoya Grampus
€14.02m
Preview
Welcome, football fans and fellow punters! If you’re searching for the most insightful Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus prediction ahead of their 2025-06-28 meeting at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, you’ve landed in the right spot. Let’s break down the stats, betting odds, and AI insights to help you make the smartest moves—served with a side of banter and a dash of football wisdom.
After 20 matches in the J1 League, the gap between these two sides is as wide as a striker’s grin after a last-minute winner. Sanfrecce Hiroshima sits comfortably in 3rd place with 36 points, while Nagoya Grampus finds themselves in 14th on 24 points. That’s a 12-point gulf that tells its own story about consistency and ambition.
But before you rush to back the home side, remember this: in their last head to head on 2024-09-08, Nagoya Grampus pulled off a 2-1 upset despite being heavy underdogs (Hiroshima’s odds were 1.68, Nagoya’s a tempting 4.5). And who could forget Nagoya’s wild 3:3 away draw with Vissel Kobe last summer, defying 5.0 odds? If unpredictability was a trophy, Nagoya would have a cabinet full.
Let’s talk numbers, because in sports betting, numbers rarely lie. Sanfrecce Hiroshima boasts a squad value of €20.10m, a clear step above Nagoya’s €14.02m. That extra quality has shown up in their league position and should count for something, especially at home.
Looking at J1 League trends:
With home wins slightly edging out draws and away wins, and a modest rate of high-scoring games, this fixture feels like a classic case for a tight home result.
Here’s what the data says for this match:
Expect a fairly balanced battle in midfield, but the home side’s slightly sharper edge in attack and discipline could make the difference. With both teams averaging just a handful of shots on target, goals might be at a premium.
Let’s get to the heart of the Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus prediction—the betting odds and AI-powered picks:
NerdyTips’ AI recommends the 1X (home win or draw) bet with odds of 1.25 and a confidence rating of 5.4/10. That’s a solid, safety-first pick, especially given Hiroshima’s home form and league position. For the bolder punters, the AI’s 1x2 prediction is a home win at 2.03 (confidence 4.2/10), while the under 2.5 goals market stands out at 1.55 (confidence 4.0/10). The predicted final score? A workmanlike 2:0 for Hiroshima, with a 1:0 lead at half-time.
With Hiroshima’s higher squad value, home advantage, and stronger league position, the numbers and AI both point towards the 1X bet as the sensible play. But Nagoya’s recent surprises—like their dramatic draw at Vissel Kobe and that head to head upset last autumn—mean you can never write them off completely.
Given the league’s moderate scoring trends and both teams’ shot stats, the under 2.5 goals market looks like a shrewd shout for your bet slip. So, if you’re after a safe bet, back Hiroshima to avoid defeat. If you fancy a bit of drama, keep an eye on those odds for a Nagoya surprise. Either way, this is one match where the stats, stories, and sports betting angles all line up for an entertaining ride.
Read More
1X -400
Sanfrecce to win or draw with odds of -4001 103
Sanfrecce is expected to win with odds of 103Under 2.5 -182
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -149
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -161
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
2:0
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15
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7
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12
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 Nagoya G |
20-Apr-25
2:1
| Sanfrecce  |
| Sanfrecce |
08-Sep-24
1:2
| Nagoya G |
| Nagoya G |
04-Sep-24
0:1
| Sanfrecce |
| Nagoya G |
17-Aug-24
1:2
| Sanfrecce |
| Sanfrecce |
06-May-24
2:3
| Nagoya G |
| Sanfrecce |
30-Sep-23
3:1
| Nagoya G |
| Nagoya G |
18-Jun-23
2:1
| Sanfrecce |
| Nagoya G |
20-May-23
2:1
| Sanfrecce |
| Sanfrecce |
26-Mar-23
1:2
| Nagoya G |
| Nagoya G |
17-Sep-22
0:0
| Sanfrecce |
Recent Matches of Sanfrecce| 06 Dec | W |
Sanfrecce.
|
2:1
| Shonan B.
|
| 30 Nov | W |
Kawasaki .
|
1:2
| Sanfrecce.
|
Recent Matches of Nagoya G
| 06 Dec | W | Nagoya G. |
1:0 |
Avispa F. |
| 30 Nov | L |  Machida (Jpn. |
3:1 |
Nagoya G. |
Japan - J1 League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kashima | 37 | 56-30 | 73 |
| 2 |
Kashiwa Reysol | 37 | 59-34 | 72 |
| 3 |
Kyoto Sanga | 37 | 60-40 | 65 |
| 4 |
Sanfrecce Hiro | 37 | 44-27 | 65 |
| 5 |
Vissel Kobe | 37 | 46-31 | 64 |
| 6 |
Machida Zelvia | 37 | 52-37 | 60 |
| 7 |
Kawasaki Front | 37 | 67-53 | 57 |
| 8 |
Urawa | 37 | 41-39 | 56 |
| 9 |
Gamba Osaka | 37 | 49-54 | 54 |
| 10 |
Cerezo Osaka | 37 | 59-54 | 52 |
| 11 |
FC Tokyo | 37 | 40-47 | 49 |
| 12 |
Avispa Fukuoka | 37 | 34-37 | 48 |
| 13 |
Shimizu S-puls | 37 | 40-49 | 44 |
| 14 |
Yokohama F. Ma | 37 | 45-45 | 43 |
| 15 |
Tokyo Verdy | 37 | 22-37 | 43 |
| 16 |
Fagiano Okayam | 37 | 32-42 | 42 |
| 17 |
Nagoya Grampus | 37 | 43-56 | 40 |
| 18 |
Yokohama FC | 37 | 24-44 | 32 |
| 19 |
Shonan Bellmar | 37 | 35-61 | 32 |
| 20 |
Albirex Niigat | 37 | 35-66 | 23 |
