icon back

Match Prediction

Sarpsborg 08 vs Haugesund Prediction

Finished
Norway flag Norway
Eliteserien

Sarpsborg 08

€21.98m

6 Jul08:30
3 : 1

Haugesund

€8.55m

Preview

Sarpsborg 08 vs Haugesund Prediction Eliteserien

Sarpsborg 08 vs Haugesund Prediction: Can the Underdogs Upset the Odds at Sarpsborg Stadion?

Welcome to your ultimate Sarpsborg 08 vs Haugesund prediction for the Eliteserien fixture set for July 6, 2025, at 13:30 GMT. With both teams coming off headline-grabbing results and the betting odds painting a stark picture, this match at Sarpsborg Stadion is shaping up to be a fascinating study in expectation versus possibility. Let’s break down the stats, trends, and storylines that will define this encounter—and see where the smart money lies.

League Standings: A Tale of Two Seasons

After 11 rounds, the Eliteserien table tells a story of two very different campaigns:

  • Sarpsborg 08 sits comfortably in 7th place with 17 points, looking upward and brimming with confidence after a stunning 2:1 away win over Bodo/Glimt (at juicy 9.0 odds, no less).
  • Haugesund, meanwhile, is rooted to the bottom at 16th with just 2 points, though their recent 1:1 draw away to Brann (odds 9.03) proves they’re not simply rolling over for anyone.

This gulf in form is reflected in the betting odds: a home win is priced at 1.32, the draw at 5.5, and an away win at a distant 8.0. The markets are rarely so lopsided—and for good reason.

Squad Value: Money Talks—But Does It Walk?

Financial muscle often translates to on-pitch dominance, and here the numbers are telling:

  • Sarpsborg 08: €21.98 million
  • Haugesund: €8.55 million

With such a disparity, it’s no surprise Sarpsborg 08 is expected to dictate the game. Their deeper squad and resources have underpinned a more consistent campaign, while Haugesund’s struggles mirror their limited means.

Head to Head: History Suggests Caution

Yet, before you empty your wallet on the home win, remember their last head to head on August 18, 2024, ended in a 2:2 draw. The odds then favored Sarpsborg 08 at 1.66, but Haugesund defied expectations. This result is a reminder that, in football, the script is never set in stone.

Statistical Breakdown: Possession, Shots, and Discipline

The AI’s expected match stats reinforce the narrative:

  • Possession: 60% Sarpsborg 08, 40% Haugesund
  • Total Shots: 15 (Sarpsborg 08) vs 9 (Haugesund)
  • Shots on Goal: 6 vs 2
  • Corners: 4 each
  • Yellow Cards: 1 per side

Expect Sarpsborg 08 to dictate proceedings, but Haugesund’s ability to counter and win set pieces could keep things interesting.

Predictions and Betting Tips: AI’s Best Bets

Here’s how the AI sees it:

  1. 1x2 Prediction: Home win (trust 10.0/10, odds 1.32)
  2. HS2+ (Home team to score at least two goals): Confidence 10.0/10, odds 1.3
  3. Over 2.5 total goals: Trust 3.0/10, odds 1.42
  4. Expected final score: 2:1 (First half: 1:0)

The overwhelming faith in a Sarpsborg 08 win is matched by the league’s own patterns: home teams prevail 43.9% of the time, and over 2.5 goals land in 56.5% of matches. Both teams score in 55.8% of games—hinting Haugesund could find the net despite their struggles.

What Does It All Mean for the Sarpsborg 08 vs Haugesund Prediction?

All signs point toward a home win, with Sarpsborg 08’s superior squad value, form, and home advantage stacking the odds. But Haugesund’s recent resilience and the memory of their last 2:2 draw inject a note of caution. For punters, the value lies in expecting Sarpsborg 08 to score at least twice, while over 2.5 goals is a reasonable shout given both teams’ recent attacking output and league-wide trends.

  • Best Bet: Sarpsborg 08 to score 2+ goals (odds 1.3)
  • Secondary: Home win (odds 1.32)
  • For the bold: Both teams to score, drawing on Haugesund’s knack for the unexpected

In summary, our Sarpsborg 08 vs Haugesund prediction is a confident nod to the hosts, with a dash of respect for the unpredictable nature of Norwegian football. Expect drama, goals, and—if recent history is any guide—a few twists along the way.

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Sarpsborg 08 vs Haugesund

HS2+ -333

Sarpsborg 08 is expected to score at least 2 goals with odds of -333
10/10

1x2 Tip

1 -313

Sarpsborg 08 is expected to win with odds of -313
10/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -238

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -143

Both teams are expected to score
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

60%
Ball Possession
40%
15
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Goal
2
5
Shots Off Goal
4
4
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

2.8
Total Goals
2.8
1.8
Goals Scored
0.4
1
Goals Against
2.4
45%
Possession
41%
11.9
Total Shots
8.8
5
Shots on Goal
2.6
4.1
Shots off Goal
4.4
10.3
Fouls
10.1
3.3
Corners
3.9
1.6
Offsides
0.6
1
Yellow Cards
1.33
0
Red Cards
0.22
407
Total Passes
365

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
0
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
6
Over 2.5 Goals
6
5
Over 3.5 Goals
4
7
Both Teams Scored
4
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Sarpsborg 08
5 - 9 - 4
Haugesund
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 18-Aug-24
2:2
Haugesund Haugesund
Haugesund Haugesund 07-Jul-24
1:2
Sarpsborg Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 30-Jul-23
2:1
Haugesund Haugesund
Haugesund Haugesund 30-Apr-23
0:0
Sarpsborg Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08-Oct-22
4:0
Haugesund Haugesund
Haugesund Haugesund 24-Jul-22
3:1
Sarpsborg Sarpsborg 08
Haugesund Haugesund 12-Sep-21
2:1
Sarpsborg Sarpsborg 08

Profile time Recent Matches of Sarpsborg

06 DecL Lillestrom Lillestrom.
3:1
Sarpsborg 08. Sarpsborg 08

Profile time Recent Matches of Haugesund

Norway - Eliteserien Norway - Eliteserien

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Viking Viking30
77-36
71
2 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt30
85-28
70
3 Tromso Tromso30
50-36
57
4 Brann Brann30
55-46
56
5 Sandefjord Sandefjord30
55-42
48
6 Valerenga Valerenga30
49-50
43
7 Rosenborg Rosenborg30
45-42
42
8 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad30
38-35
42
9 Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 F30
48-50
41
10 Molde Molde30
46-42
39
11 Ham-Kam Ham-Kam30
42-47
37
12 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo30
42-41
35
13 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund B30
34-59
34
14 Bryne Bryne30
37-56
31
15 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset30
37-72
20
16 Haugesund Haugesund30
22-80
9
Video preview
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches