Sassuolo vs Genoa Prediction

Sassuolo vs Genoa Prediction: Stats, Odds, and Smart Betting Tips

If you’re on the hunt for a sharp Sassuolo vs Genoa prediction, you’ve come to the right place. As Serie A action returns on November 3, 2025, at 17:30 GMT, all eyes will be on Mapei Stadium as two sides with plenty to prove face off. With recent form, tactical tweaks, and a laundry list of injuries to consider, this match offers more than just your average Monday night football. Let’s break down the details and see where the value lies for your next bet.

Team Form, Tactics & Head to Head Insights

Sassuolo and Genoa may not be the glamour clubs of Serie A, but they rarely fail to deliver drama. The hosts, Sassuolo, currently sit in 13th place, having picked up 10 points from their opening eight rounds. Their recent run has been a mixed bag: a tidy 3-1 win over Udinese, a hard-fought 1-0 victory against Verona, and a goalless draw at Lecce. However, a narrow 1-0 home loss to Roma has reminded fans that consistency is still a work in progress.

Genoa, meanwhile, are struggling to shake off their early-season blues. Rooted at the bottom of the table, they’ve lost their last three away games and have found goals particularly hard to come by—especially at home, where the net remains untouched. Their most recent outing, a 2-1 defeat to Torino despite scoring first, sums up their campaign: promising moments, but little reward.

• Head to head history favors Genoa in recent years, with back-to-back wins over Sassuolo in 2024 (2-1 and 2-1).
• Draws have also been common, with 1-1 and 2-2 results in 2022 and 2021 respectively.
• Sassuolo’s last home win over Genoa came in May 2021.

Both teams are nursing lengthy injury lists. Sassuolo are missing key players like Y. Paz and Filippo Romagna, while Genoa’s treatment room is crowded with the likes of Leo Østigård and Junior Messias. With both squads forced to shuffle their lineups, expect managers Fabio Grosso (Sassuolo) and Davide Nicola (Genoa) to stick to pragmatic gameplans. Sassuolo’s 4-3-3 can be fluid but sometimes fragile under pressure, while Genoa’s approach has been more about damage limitation than ambition.

Betting Tips, Predictions & AI Analysis

Now, let’s get to the heart of the Sassuolo vs Genoa prediction: where does the smart money go? Our AI has taken a deep dive into the numbers, recent form, and historical trends to offer the following betting tips:

1. 1X (Home win or draw) is the standout tip, with a confidence rating of 6.1/10 and odds of 1.36. Sassuolo’s home advantage, combined with Genoa’s struggles on the road, make this a sensible pick for cautious punters.
2. The 1x2 prediction slightly favors a home win (Sassuolo) with a calculated trust of 4.8 and odds at 2.42. While not a runaway favorite, the numbers suggest Sassuolo have the edge.
3. For those who prefer goals markets, under 2.5 goals comes in with a trust rating of 4.7 and odds of 1.55. Both teams have been involved in low-scoring affairs lately, and with injuries up front, don’t expect fireworks.

Statistically, possession is expected to be almost even (51% Sassuolo, 49% Genoa), with both sides predicted to register 11 shots and 3 on target. Corners and cards should be evenly split as well, reflecting two teams likely to cancel each other out for long spells.

• Predicted final score: 2-0 to Sassuolo
• First half prediction: 1-0 Sassuolo

Given Genoa’s habit of conceding after half-time and Sassuolo’s ability to grind out results at home, this Sassuolo vs Genoa prediction leans towards a home win or, at worst, a draw. If you’re after value, the under 2.5 goals market looks solid, especially with both attacks hampered by injuries.

Final Thoughts

While neither side is setting Serie A alight, this match is a classic case of small margins and tactical discipline. For your betting tips, stick with 1X or under 2.5 goals, and keep an eye on late team news—especially given the lengthy injury lists. As always, gamble responsibly, and may your bets be as sharp as your football knowledge!