Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Japan
Shimizu S
€10.95m
Kashiwa Reysol
€17.50m
Preview
If you’re searching for the sharpest Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol prediction ahead of the 2.25-06-28 encounter at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, you’re in the right place. With the home side currently 12th in the league with 27 points and Kashiwa Reysol soaring in 2nd with 38 points, there’s more than just pride at stake in this intriguing J1 League fixture. The 10-place, 11-point gap between these two teams is as wide as the Pacific, but as any seasoned football fan knows, numbers are only part of the story—especially when you’re hoping to outsmart the bookmakers.
Let’s dive into the betting odds and recent form that shape our Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol prediction. Bookies are offering 3.1 for a home win, 3.4 for a draw, and 2.25 for an away win. These odds reflect both the current league standings and the teams’ recent results. Shimizu S-Pulse, sitting mid-table, have struggled to find consistency, while Kashiwa Reysol, perched in second, have shown the kind of resilience that keeps title dreams alive—just look at their recent 1-1 away draw against Sanfrecce Hiroshima, where they defied long odds of 5.2 to snatch a point. If you’re betting with your head, the away win at 2.25, as favored by the AI, looks like the value play, even if the confidence level sits at a modest 2.2.
The AI’s best tip for this match is over 1.5 total goals at odds of 1.3, with a confidence rating of 5.1 out of 10. This prediction aligns perfectly with historical J1 League stats, where 63.7% of matches end with more than 1.5 goals. The algorithm also projects a 1-2 final score (0-1 at half-time), which fits the narrative of a tight but entertaining contest—expecting both teams to find the net, but with Kashiwa’s extra quality making the difference.
The squad values also tell a story: Shimizu S-Pulse’s €10.95m versus Kashiwa Reysol’s €17.50m is another pointer to the away side’s depth and quality. In a league where away wins occur 29.5% of the time and draws 33.8%, there’s still hope for the underdogs, but the numbers lean toward Kashiwa.
Of course, the beauty of football—and betting—is that history can repeat itself or be turned on its head. The last time these teams met at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, back on 2022-08-20, it ended 1-1. The odds then? 2.48 for Shimizu and 2.7 for Kashiwa—almost as tight as this year’s prices. Both teams scoring is a 44.9% occurrence in the J1 League, so the predicted 1-2 scoreline and the over 1.5 goals tip are not just wishful thinking; they’re rooted in solid trends.
For those who like to roll the dice on higher-scoring affairs, remember that only 41.8% of league games go over 2.5 goals, and just 21.5% break the 3.4-goal barrier. The AI’s moderate confidence in the over 1.5 goals market is well placed—this isn’t likely to turn into a goal-fest, but fireworks aren’t out of the question.
So, what’s the best Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol prediction for your bet slip? The numbers, form, and AI lean toward an away win, with Kashiwa’s superior squad value and recent away resilience tipping the balance. Over 1.5 total goals looks like a safe, if unspectacular, shout. But with the unpredictability that makes the J1 League so watchable, don’t be surprised if Shimizu S-Pulse put up a real fight. After all, football isn’t played on spreadsheets—though a little nerdy insight never hurt anyone’s wallet.
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Kashiwa Reysol didn't play better in the last H2H match!
O1.5 -333
At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -3332 125
Kashiwa Reysol is expected to win with odds of 125Over 1.5 -333
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchYes -137
Both teams are expected to scoreX2&O1.5 -147
Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1:2
|
|
5
-
4
-
11
|
|
 Kashiwa R |
06-May-25
1:0
| Shimizu S  |
| Shimizu S |
20-Aug-22
1:1
| Kashiwa R |
| Kashiwa R |
29-May-22
3:1
| Shimizu S |
| Shimizu S |
16-Oct-21
0:1
| Kashiwa R |
| Kashiwa R |
21-Mar-21
1:2
| Shimizu S |
| Kashiwa R |
31-Oct-20
0:0
| Shimizu S |
| Shimizu S |
05-Sep-20
1:2
| Kashiwa R |
| Kashiwa R |
15-Sep-18
2:3
| Shimizu S |
| Shimizu S |
28-Apr-18
2:1
| Kashiwa R |
| Shimizu S |
13-Aug-17
1:4
| Kashiwa R |
Recent Matches of Shimizu S| 06 Dec |
Shimizu S.
|
-
| Okayama.
| |
| 30 Nov | L |
Shonan B.
|
1:0
| Shimizu S.
|
Recent Matches of Kashiwa R
| 06 Dec | Kashiwa R. |
- |
Machida (Jpn. | |
| 30 Nov | W |  Albirex. |
1:3 |
Kashiwa R. |
Japan - J1 League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kashima | 37 | 56-30 | 73 |
| 2 |
Kashiwa Reysol | 37 | 59-34 | 72 |
| 3 |
Kyoto Sanga | 37 | 60-40 | 65 |
| 4 |
Sanfrecce Hiro | 37 | 44-27 | 65 |
| 5 |
Vissel Kobe | 37 | 46-31 | 64 |
| 6 |
Machida Zelvia | 37 | 52-37 | 60 |
| 7 |
Kawasaki Front | 37 | 67-53 | 57 |
| 8 |
Urawa | 37 | 41-39 | 56 |
| 9 |
Gamba Osaka | 37 | 49-54 | 54 |
| 10 |
Cerezo Osaka | 37 | 59-54 | 52 |
| 11 |
FC Tokyo | 37 | 40-47 | 49 |
| 12 |
Avispa Fukuoka | 37 | 34-37 | 48 |
| 13 |
Shimizu S-puls | 37 | 40-49 | 44 |
| 14 |
Yokohama F. Ma | 37 | 45-45 | 43 |
| 15 |
Tokyo Verdy | 37 | 22-37 | 43 |
| 16 |
Fagiano Okayam | 37 | 32-42 | 42 |
| 17 |
Nagoya Grampus | 37 | 43-56 | 40 |
| 18 |
Yokohama FC | 37 | 24-44 | 32 |
| 19 |
Shonan Bellmar | 37 | 35-61 | 32 |
| 20 |
Albirex Niigat | 37 | 35-66 | 23 |
