Sportivo Italiano and Argentino de Merlo are set to battle it out at Estadio República de Italia on February 23, 2025, at 22:05 UTC. With both teams coming off a 1-1 draw in their last head-to-head, this one promises to be another close encounter.

The odds suggest a tight contest, with a home win at 2.4, a draw at 2.99, and an away win at 2.95. The numbers don’t lie—home teams in the Primera B Metropolitana win 37.1% of the time, while away sides take just 27.2% of victories. That gives Sportivo Italiano a slight edge, but don’t count out Argentino de Merlo just yet!

Looking at goal trends, this league isn’t exactly a goal-fest. Only 33.3% of matches see over 2.5 goals, and just 14.9% go over 3.5. That’s why the best tip for this match is under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.48, with a trust rating of 6.1/10. If you love low-scoring battles, this one’s for you!

Sportivo Italiano has shown they can pull off surprises, like their shocking away win over Colegiales at massive 6.0 odds. But with their squad valued at just €25.00Th. compared to Argentino de Merlo’s €200.00Th., they’ll need to punch above their weight again.

The predicted final score? 1-0 for Sportivo Italiano, with a goalless first half. If you’re looking for a safe bet, the 1X double chance (Sportivo Italiano win or draw) at 1.34 could be a solid option.

Expect a cagey affair with few goals, so if you’re betting, keep it simple—under 2.5 goals is the way to go. Will Sportivo Italiano edge it, or will Argentino de Merlo prove their squad value matters? We’ll find out soon!