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Match Prediction

ST Johnstone vs Dundee Prediction

Finished
Scotland flag Scotland
Premiership

ST Johnstone

€7.57m

18 May10:00
0 : 2

Dundee

€9.62m

Preview

ST Johnstone vs Dundee Prediction Premiership

ST Johnstone vs Dundee Prediction: A Tight Battle at McDiarmid Park

With just five points separating them in the Scottish Premiership, ST Johnstone vs Dundee prediction points to a nervy, high-stakes encounter on May 18th. The home side, languishing in 12th with 29 points, will see this as a must-win to leapfrog their rivals—who sit 11th with 34 points—in a late-season scrap for survival. The bookmakers agree it’s a coin-flip, pricing a home win at 3.24, a draw at 3.45, and an away victory at 2.15. But dig deeper, and the stats reveal intriguing trends that could shape your betting strategy.

Why This Fixture Matters

This isn’t just another relegation dogfight—it’s a chance for redemption. Dundee thumped ST Johnstone 3.24 in their last head-to-head in January, but the Saints have since pulled off a shock 1-0 win over Celtic (at odds of 18.75!), proving they can punch above their weight. Dundee, meanwhile, silenced Hearts with a gritty 0-1 away win (odds: 5.7). With both teams capable of surprises, expect fireworks.

Betting Tips Backed by the Numbers

AI-powered insights highlight two key plays:

  • Over 1.5 goals (odds: 1.27, trust rating: 5.7/10): A near no-brainer. The Scottish Premiership averages over 1.5 goals in 65.4% of matches, and Dundee’s leaky defense (34 goals conceded) meets ST Johnstone’s desperation to score.
  • ST Johnstone to win (odds: 3.24, trust rating: 1.4/10): Slightly riskier, but the predicted 2-1 scoreline and 59% home possession suggest they’ll control the tempo.

Match Dynamics: What to Expect

The stats paint a vivid picture:

  • Possession: ST Johnstone (59%) should dominate the ball, but Dundee’s efficiency (4 expected on-target shots vs. Saints’ 3) could punish complacency.
  • Shots & Corners: 16 attempts for the hosts, 11 for Dundee, with corners narrowly favoring ST Johnstone (5 vs. 4). This isn’t a shootout—but set pieces might decide it.
  • Discipline: One yellow card apiece expected. Neither side is overly aggressive, but tension could boil over.

Historical Context & Squad Depth

Home advantage matters in Scotland—hosts win 39.6% of Premiership games, while away victories occur just 27.1% of the time. ST Johnstone’s €7.57m squad is slightly outgunned by Dundee’s €9.62m roster, but grit often trumps budgets in these battles. Notably, both teams score in only 42% of league matches, making the over 1.5 goals bet even more appealing if you expect a cagey start.

Final Verdict: A Saints’ Survival Push?

The ST Johnstone vs Dundee prediction leans toward a tense, tactical affair. With halftime likely ending 1-0 to the hosts (as per AI projections), consider live-betting opportunities if Dundee chase the game late. For pre-match value, over 1.5 goals is the safer pick, while a small stake on ST Johnstone at 3.24 offers upside. One thing’s certain: with so little separating these sides, every tackle—and every bet—will carry extra weight.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for ST Johnstone vs Dundee

O1.5 -370

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -370
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 224

ST Johnstone is expected to win with odds of 224
1/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -370

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -149

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 110

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

59%
Ball Possession
41%
16
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Goal
4
7
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

2.4
Total Goals
3.6
0.7
Goals Scored
1.6
1.7
Goals Against
2
49%
Possession
43%
10.7
Total Shots
11.1
3.1
Shots on Goal
5
4.7
Shots off Goal
3.4
10.6
Fouls
10.9
4.4
Corners
4.5
2.4
Offsides
1.4
2.17
Yellow Cards
1.63
0
Red Cards
0
383
Total Passes
282

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
3
6
Over 1.5 Goals
9
5
Over 2.5 Goals
6
2
Over 3.5 Goals
5
3
Both Teams Scored
7
1
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

ST Johnstone
15 - 7 - 12
Dundee
ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 18-May-25
0:2
Dundee Dundee
Dundee Dundee 01-Mar-25
1:1
ST Johnstone ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 05-Jan-25
1:3
Dundee Dundee
Dundee Dundee 26-Oct-24
1:2
ST Johnstone ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 30-Mar-24
1:2
Dundee Dundee
Dundee Dundee 11-Feb-24
2:1
ST Johnstone ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 02-Sep-23
2:2
Dundee Dundee
Dundee Dundee 23-Apr-22
1:1
ST Johnstone ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 26-Jan-22
0:0
Dundee Dundee
Dundee Dundee 01-Dec-21
1:0
ST Johnstone ST Johnstone

Profile time Recent Matches of ST Johnstone

06 DecD St Johnstone St Johnstone.
0:0
Raith. Raith

Profile time Recent Matches of Dundee

06 DecLDundee FC Dundee FC.
1:3
Aberdeen.Aberdeen
03 DecLCeltic Celtic.
1:0
Dundee FC.Dundee FC

Scotland - Premiership Scotland - Premiership

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Celtic Celtic33
97-22
81
2 Rangers Rangers33
68-35
66
3 Hibernian Hibernian33
54-41
53
4 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd33
41-40
50
5 Aberdeen Aberdeen33
45-49
50
6 ST Mirren ST Mirren33
45-54
41
7 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlo33
43-44
40
8 Motherwell Motherwell33
37-56
39
9 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock33
38-58
35
10 Ross County Ross County33
33-56
35
11 Dundee Dundee33
50-71
34
12 ST Johnstone ST Johnstone33
33-58
29
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