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Match Prediction

St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United Prediction

Finished
Ireland flag Ireland
Premier Division

Patrick's

€4.05m

13 Jun14:45
0 : 0

Drogheda

€1.75m

Preview

Patrick's vs Drogheda  Prediction Premier Division

St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United Prediction: Detailed Betting Preview and Odds Analysis

This Friday night, Richmond Park sets the stage for a Premier Division encounter that’s tighter than a drum: St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United prediction is the phrase on every punter’s lips. With just a single point separating these two high-flying sides after 19 matches—St Patrick's Athl. in 4th on 29 points, Drogheda United in 2nd on 30—this isn’t just another fixture. It’s a battle of ambition, resilience, and, if the stats are anything to go by, a fair bit of tactical chess. Let’s dig into the numbers, trends, and betting odds that make this fixture a must-watch for sports betting fans.

Recent Head to Head: Stalemates and Defensive Grit

If recent head to head meetings are anything to go by, goals have been at a premium. Their latest encounter ended 0:0 on 2025-02-14, with St Patrick's Athl. backed at 1.42 and Drogheda United massive 7.0 underdogs. The defensive theme continued in St Patrick's Athl.'s memorable 0:0 draw with Istanbul Basaksehir last August, where they defied the odds as 7.5 outsiders, and in Drogheda United’s own 0:0 away draw at Richmond Park. History suggests neither side gives much away, even when the bookmakers expect otherwise.

Premier Division Betting Odds and League Trends

  • St Patrick's Athl. (Home Win): 1.75
  • Draw: 3.6
  • Drogheda United (Away Win): 4.5

NerdyTips’ AI rates the home win as the best value, assigning it a trust score of 8.5/10 and echoing the 1.75 odds. The 1x2 prediction is firmly in the home camp (trust 8.5, odds 1.75). For goals, the under 3.6 market is suggested (trust 4.0, odds 1.25), reflecting the league’s tendency toward tighter affairs: under 3.6 goals lands in 80% of matches, while over 2.5 only hits 39.3% of the time. Draws aren’t rare either, with 35.8% of Premier Division games finishing level—something both teams are familiar with.

Tactical Insights and Match Stat Projections

Looking at the projected stats, St Patrick’s Athl. are expected to boss possession (66% vs 34%), fire in more shots (13 to 9), and test the keeper more often (4 shots on goal to 2). Corners should favour the home side (5 vs 3), and discipline looks balanced with 2 yellow cards each. These numbers point to a home side controlling the tempo, probing for openings, while Drogheda United will likely look to hit on the break.

  • Possession: St Patrick’s Athl. 66% / Drogheda United 34%
  • Total Shots: 13 vs 9
  • Shots on Goal: 4 vs 2
  • Corners: 5 vs 3
  • Yellow Cards: 2 each

Value, Form, and What to Expect: Who Has the Edge?

Squad value often hints at depth and quality, and here St Patrick’s Athl. hold the upper hand at €4.05m compared to Drogheda United’s €1.75m. That’s a sizeable gap, but the league table tells us there’s little to choose between them on results. Both teams have shown they can grind out results, but St Patrick’s Athl. have the tools to impose themselves at home.

  1. League Trends: Home teams win 38.2% of matches, away sides just 26.1%. The draw is a live runner at 35.8%—worth considering, but the AI’s confidence in a home win is hard to ignore.
  2. Goal Markets: Both teams score in only 40.3% of games, and over 3.6 goals is rare (20%). The under 3.6 goals bet (trust 4.0, odds 1.25) looks sensible, especially given recent history.
  3. Momentum: Both sides have shown resolve in tight games, but St Patrick’s Athl., with their superior squad value and home advantage, are fancied to edge it.

St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United prediction: Expect a disciplined, possession-heavy performance from the home side, with Drogheda United dangerous on the counter but likely to find chances limited. The prediction? A 2:1 win for St Patrick’s Athl., with a 1:0 lead at half-time—mirroring the bookmakers’ odds and the AI’s trusted insights.

Final Betting Tips for St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United

  • Home Win (1.75): Backed by the AI (trust 8.5/10), home advantage and possession dominance make this the standout bet.
  • Under 3.6 Goals (1.25): Consistent with recent H2H results and league trends; expect a tight contest.
  • Correct Score 2:1: Offers a blend of value and statistical backing, with St Patrick’s Athl. tipped to lead at the break and seal it late.

For those seeking the best St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United + prediction insights, the numbers point to a home win, with goals at a premium but not completely absent. Richmond Park is set for another tense, tactical Friday night—just the way Premier Division football should be.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

St Patrick's Athl. didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Patrick's vs Drogheda

1 -133

Patrick's is expected to win with odds of -133
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 -133

Patrick's is expected to win with odds of -133
8/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -345

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -114

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -286

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

66%
Ball Possession
34%
13
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots Off Goal
4
5
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

2.7
Total Goals
2.6
1.2
Goals Scored
1.2
1.5
Goals Against
1.4
50%
Possession
35%
12.2
Total Shots
11.2
4.2
Shots on Goal
3.2
3.8
Shots off Goal
5.6
9.4
Fouls
9.5
4.8
Corners
4.4
1.6
Offsides
1.2
2.2
Yellow Cards
1.8
0.2
Red Cards
0.1
381
Total Passes
233

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
2
7
Over 1.5 Goals
7
6
Over 2.5 Goals
6
4
Over 3.5 Goals
4
5
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

St Patrick's Athl.
11 - 5 - 3
Drogheda United
Drogheda United Drogheda 21-Apr-25
0:0
Patrick's St Patrick's Athl.
St Patrick's Athl. Patrick's 14-Feb-25
0:0
Drogheda Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl. Patrick's 01-Sep-24
4:1
Drogheda Drogheda United
Drogheda United Drogheda 07-Jun-24
0:0
Patrick's St Patrick's Athl.
St Patrick's Athl. Patrick's 03-May-24
1:0
Drogheda Drogheda United
Drogheda United Drogheda 29-Mar-24
0:0
Patrick's St Patrick's Athl.
St Patrick's Athl. Patrick's 26-Jan-24
2:1
Drogheda Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl. Patrick's 25-Sep-23
1:2
Drogheda Drogheda United
Drogheda United Drogheda 09-Jun-23
2:1
Patrick's St Patrick's Athl.

Ireland - Premier Division Ireland - Premier Division

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rover36
56-33
66
2 Derry City Derry City36
52-39
63
3 Shelbourne Shelbourne36
48-37
59
4 Bohemians Bohemians36
48-39
54
5 St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's A36
42-32
52
6 Drogheda United Drogheda Unite36
38-38
51
7 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers36
42-54
41
8 Galway United Galway United36
37-44
39
9 Waterford Waterford36
41-60
39
10 Cork City Cork City36
33-61
24
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