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Match Prediction

Standard Liege vs Dender Prediction

Finished
Belgium flag Belgium
Jupiler Pro League

Standard Liege

€39.90m

2 Aug17:15
1 : 1

Dender

€18.90m

Preview

Standard Liege vs Dender Prediction Jupiler Pro League

Standard Liege vs Dender Prediction: Odds, Stats & Betting Tips

The Standard Liege vs Dender prediction is shaping up as one of the more intriguing angles for Jupiler Pro League fans this August. Both sides come into the 2025-08-02 fixture at Stade Maurice Dufrasne with plenty to prove, and our betting tips will help you make sense of the latest odds, team news, and head to head trends. Whether you’re a seasoned punter or a casual supporter, this preview will guide you through the most important details for your bets.

Team Context: Squad Value, Form, and Recent Changes

Let’s start with the basics. Standard Liege and Dender are two clubs with very different backgrounds and ambitions for the 2025/2026 season.

  • Standard Liege is a historic Belgian club, playing at the 30,023-capacity Stade Maurice Dufrasne. Their squad is valued at €39.90m, nearly double that of Dender, and they recently underwent a strategic capital increase of €28.7 million. Off the pitch, Giacomo Angelini has taken full control of the club, signaling a new era of stability in Liege.
  • Dender, on the other hand, is experiencing a renaissance after returning to the top flight for the first time since 2.128-09. Their squad is valued at €18.90m, and they’ve reinforced with the signing of Benjamin Fredrick, aiming to solidify their place in the Pro League.

Both sides have seen some player movement. Notably, Standard Liege has lost Nathan Ngoy and Arnaud Bodart to Lille, while Dender is integrating new faces into their squad. No major injuries or suspensions are reported for either team ahead of this match.

Head to Head: A One-Sided Story?

Looking at the head to head record, Standard Liege has historically dominated Dender. In their last 10 meetings, Standard Liege has claimed victory six times, while Dender has only managed one win, and three matches ended in a draw. Even more telling, Standard Liege has never lost to Dender in their previous eleven encounters.

  • The last three league meetings: 0-0 (May 2025), 1-1 (April 2025), and a 1-0 win for Standard Liege (January 2025).
  • Recent form for Standard Liege includes solid friendly wins over Renaissance Mons and MVV Maastricht (both 2.12), and respectable draws against Lens and Westerlo.
  • Dender’s recent friendlies have been a mixed bag: a 5-1 win over Lierse Kempenzonen, but defeats to Heracles and Groningen. Their last league outing was a 0-0 draw with Cercle Brugge.

Betting Tips: Odds, Predictions, and What to Expect

Now, let’s get into the numbers and betting tips for the Standard Liege vs Dender prediction. Here’s how the odds stack up:

  1. Home win: 2.12
  2. Draw: 3.25
  3. Away win: 3.54

Given Standard Liege’s superior squad value, historical edge, and home advantage, the odds reflect their status as favorites. However, recent form and Dender’s ability to grind out results—like their unexpected 2-3 win away at Anderlecht—suggest this may not be a walk in the park for the hosts.

AI Predictions and Value Bets

  • Best Tip: Under 3.54 total goals (odds: 1.25, trust score: 3.54/10). Both sides have shown defensive discipline in recent matches, and their last three head to head games have all ended with fewer than three goals.
  • 1X2 Prediction: 1X (Standard Liege win or draw) with a confidence level of 2.12 and odds of 1.3. The home side’s unbeaten record against Dender is hard to ignore.
  • Expected Final Score: 1:0 for Standard Liege. Our models anticipate a tight affair, with the first half likely to end 0:0 before Standard Liege finds a breakthrough.

For punters looking for value, the under 3.54 goals market stands out as the safest pick, while a home win or draw (1X) covers the most likely scenarios based on head to head history and squad strengths.

Summary & Final Standard Liege vs Dender Prediction

To sum up our Standard Liege vs Dender prediction: expect a close, tactical match, with Standard Liege’s historical dominance and superior squad value giving them the edge, but don’t rule out a stubborn Dender side that’s proven capable of surprises. The best betting tips here are under 3.54 goals and 1X on the double chance market, with a projected 1:0 final score favoring the home team. As always, keep an eye on confirmed lineups and any late news, but these are the angles we’re backing for this Jupiler Pro League encounter.

For more head to head stats, betting tips, and predictions like this, keep following NerdyTips for the latest on Belgian football and beyond.

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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Standard Liege vs Dender

U3.5 -400

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -400
3/10

1x2 Tip

1X -333

Standard Liege to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -400

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

No -118

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -222

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Average / Match

0.22
Expected Goals
0.19
1.1
Total Goals
3.4
0.7
Goals Scored
1.8
0.4
Goals Against
1.6
44%
Possession
49%
9.8
Total Shots
10.6
2.6
Shots on Goal
3.9
4.3
Shots off Goal
4
12.4
Fouls
8.3
3.9
Corners
3.9
1.9
Offsides
2
1.5
Yellow Cards
1.29
0.13
Red Cards
0
362
Total Passes
409

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
3
4
Over 1.5 Goals
8
0
Over 2.5 Goals
7
0
Over 3.5 Goals
5
2
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Standard Liege
3 - 2 - 0
Dender
Standard Liege Standard 17-May-25
0:0
Dender Dender
Dender Dender 13-Apr-25
1:1
Standard Standard Liege
Standard Liege Standard 26-Jan-25
1:0
Dender Dender
Dender Dender 13-Sep-24
0:2
Standard Standard Liege
Dender Dender 08-Nov-22
0:1
Standard Standard Liege

Profile time Recent Matches of Standard

12 Dec St. Liege St. Liege.
-
Leuven. Leuven
06 DecW Cercle B Cercle B.
1:2
St. Liege. St. Liege

Profile time Recent Matches of Dender

05 DecWRAAL L RAAL L.
1:2
Dender.Dender

Belgium - Jupiler Pro League Belgium - Jupiler Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gill17
32-10
37
2 St. Truiden St. Truiden17
26-20
33
3 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV17
24-17
32
4 Anderlecht Anderlecht17
23-17
31
5 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen17
21-18
27
6 Standard Liege Standard Liege17
16-20
24
7 Gent Gent17
25-25
23
8 Genk Genk17
21-23
23
9 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem17
23-23
22
10 Antwerp Antwerp17
18-18
20
11 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo17
25-26
20
12 Charleroi Charleroi17
18-22
19
13 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvi17
12-17
18
14 OH Leuven OH Leuven17
18-27
16
15 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge17
20-26
13
16 Dender Dender17
14-27
12
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