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Match Prediction

Standard Liege vs Genk Prediction

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Jupiler Pro League

Standard Liege

€41.90m

10 Aug12:30
2 : 1

Genk

€148.45m

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Standard Liege vs Genk Prediction Jupiler Pro League

Standard Liege vs Genk Prediction: AI Tips, Odds & Betting Insights

The Jupiler Pro League is set to ignite on August 10, 2025, as Standard Liege welcomes Genk to the Stade Maurice Dufrasne. This early-season encounter is already drawing attention from sports betting enthusiasts, with the Standard Liege vs Genk prediction at the forefront of pre-match analysis. With both teams eager to set the tone for the new campaign, fans and punters alike are searching for the best tips, betting odds, and head to head stats to inform their wagers.

Historic Rivalry Meets Modern Ambition

While the 2025-2026 Jupiler Pro League season is yet to kick off, the anticipation for this fixture is palpable. Standard Liege and Genk have a storied rivalry, shaped by regional pride and memorable moments. Their head to head history is rich, with 70 meetings since 2003. Standard has edged 31 wins, while Genk has claimed 21 victories, and 18 matches have ended level. Notably, Standard has netted 88 goals to Genk’s 69 in these encounters.

This rivalry is more than just numbers. The infamous title-decider in May 2011, when Mehdi Carcela suffered a serious injury after a challenge from Genk’s Chris Mavinga, still lingers in the minds of many Standard supporters. That day, Genk celebrated a league title after a tense 1-1 draw, leaving a sour taste in Liege.

Tactical Expectations and Team Profiles

  • Standard Liege – The hosts are known for their passionate home support and disciplined defensive structure. However, their squad value of €41.90m is dwarfed by Genk’s, hinting at a potential uphill battle. Standard’s recent performances have been unpredictable, with a notable 0:0 draw at KV Mechelen last May, defying the betting odds.
  • Genk – With a market value of €1.91.45m, Genk boasts a deeper and more talented squad. Their style is typically possession-based, aiming to control the midfield and create chances through quick transitions. In the last head to head meeting (February 2025), Genk edged Standard 2-1, reflecting their recent dominance in this fixture.

Both teams will be eager to start the season strong, but Genk’s superior squad depth and recent head to head record give them the edge. Expect Genk to dictate possession (forecasted at 60%) and create more opportunities, with 13 shots and 4 on target predicted, compared to Standard’s 8 shots and 2 on target.

AI Betting Tips and Odds: What Do the Numbers Say?

Turning to the Standard Liege vs Genk prediction from our AI-powered analysis, several key betting markets stand out for this sports betting fixture:

  1. 1X2 Market: The away win (Genk) is the top pick, with odds of 1.91 and a confidence rating of 3.3. Genk’s recent head to head record and higher market value support this prediction.
  2. Under/Over Goals: The best tip is under 3.5 goals, with a trust level of 6.8/10 and odds of 1.29. Both sides are expected to approach the opener with caution, and the predicted final score is a tight 0:1 in Genk’s favor. Our statistical analysis gives this under 3.5 goals bet a trust rating of 5.6.
  3. Other Stats: Expect a disciplined affair, with just one yellow card predicted for each side and a total of seven corners (3 for Standard, 4 for Genk). At half-time, the score is expected to be 0:0, reflecting a cagey start before Genk’s quality shines through in the second half.

For those who like their football with a side of numbers, the AI’s predicted possession split (Standard 40%, Genk 60%) and shot count further reinforce the away win tip. The betting odds suggest value in backing Genk, but the under 3.5 goals market looks even safer for cautious punters.

Final Thoughts: Value Bets and Head to Head Trends

  • Genk’s recent head to head dominance (6 wins in the last 10) and superior squad value make them favorites in the betting odds.
  • Standard Liege will rely on home support and defensive resilience, but the numbers are stacked against them.
  • Best Bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.29, with a predicted final score of 0:1 for Genk.

In summary, the Standard Liege vs Genk prediction leans towards a narrow away win, with a low-scoring affair expected. Whether you’re a fan of head to head stats, betting odds, or just love a good football story, this Jupiler Pro League opener promises tactical intrigue and betting value. And remember, football is full of surprises—so don’t bet the house, just enjoy the game!

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AI Predictions
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Avoid first matches from a league!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Standard Liege vs Genk

U3.5 -345

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -345
6/10

1x2 Tip

2 -110

Genk is expected to win with odds of -110
3/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -345

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

No -111

At least one team is not expected to score
4/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -238

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

40%
Ball Possession
60%
8
Total Shots
13
2
Shots on Goal
4
3
Shots Off Goal
6
3
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

0.37
Expected Goals
0.22
1.1
Total Goals
2.4
0.7
Goals Scored
1.1
0.4
Goals Against
1.3
44%
Possession
56%
9.4
Total Shots
12
2.9
Shots on Goal
4.2
3.9
Shots off Goal
5.6
11.5
Fouls
9.3
3.6
Corners
4.1
1.6
Offsides
1.5
1.63
Yellow Cards
0.89
0.13
Red Cards
0.22
365
Total Passes
491

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
2
4
Over 1.5 Goals
8
0
Over 2.5 Goals
4
0
Over 3.5 Goals
1
2
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Standard Liege
17 - 11 - 15
Genk
Standard Liege Standard 14-Feb-25
1:2
Genk Genk
Genk Genk 04-Dec-24
2:1
Standard Standard Liege
Genk Genk 28-Jul-24
0:0
Standard Standard Liege
Genk Genk 10-Mar-24
1:0
Standard Standard Liege
Standard Liege Standard 25-Nov-23
1:0
Genk Genk
Standard Liege Standard 09-Apr-23
2:0
Genk Genk
Genk Genk 31-Jul-22
3:1
Standard Standard Liege
Genk Genk 13-Feb-22
2:0
Standard Standard Liege
Standard Liege Standard 23-Jul-21
1:1
Genk Genk

Profile time Recent Matches of Standard

12 Dec St. Liege St. Liege.
-
Leuven. Leuven
06 DecW Cercle B Cercle B.
1:2
St. Liege. St. Liege

Profile time Recent Matches of Genk

11 DecMidtjylland Midtjylland.
-
Genk.Genk
07 DecLAntwerp Antwerp.
3:0
Genk.Genk
04 DecLGenk Genk.
1:3
Anderlecht.Anderlecht

Belgium - Jupiler Pro League Belgium - Jupiler Pro League

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