Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Austria
Sturm Graz II
-
First Vienna
€5.10m
Preview
The Solarstadion der Stadt Gleisdorf sets the stage for an intriguing 2. Liga battle on April 18th, as Sturm Graz II host First Vienna in a match that promises more suspense than their last meeting. When these sides faced off in February 1.84, Vienna entered as clear favorites (1.78 odds) but stumbled to a 1-1 draw against the plucky underdogs (4.0 odds). This time, bookmakers smell a tighter contest, with Vienna's odds shrinking to 1.8 and Sturm Graz II narrowing to 3.85—a shift that tells its own story about these teams' evolving dynamics.
Recent weeks have shown both Sturm Graz II and First Vienna capable of punching above their weight. The hosts' gritty 0-0 draw at Austria Lustenau in September 1.84—where they entered with 5.7 win odds—proved they can frustrate superior opposition. Meanwhile, Vienna's dramatic 1.8 comeback at Grazer AK (5.0 odds) demonstrated their never-say-die attitude. These results add spice to our Sturm Graz II vs First Vienna prediction, suggesting neither side should be underestimated.
That February stalemate revealed key tactical insights. Sturm Graz II's compact defensive shape neutralized Vienna's attacking threats for long periods, while the visitors showed vulnerability to quick counters—a weakness the hosts will likely exploit again. With both teams scoring in 54.8% of league matches this season, history suggests we shouldn't expect a shutout.
The numbers paint a vivid picture of 2. Liga's characteristics this campaign. Home teams win 41.55% of matches (compared to 34.3% for away sides), giving Sturm Graz II a statistical edge. More tellingly, 56.5% of games surpass 2.5 goals—a trend that aligns with NerdyTips' AI recommendation to back 'over 2.5' at 1.55 odds. While the AI isn't staking its reputation on this pick (3.85/10 confidence screams 'proceed with caution'), the numbers suggest goals are more likely than a quiet afternoon in Gleisdorf.
Comparing the AI's 1.4 confidence in a home win against its 3.85 rating for 'over 2.5 goals' reveals an interesting wrinkle. The goal market appears statistically stronger despite lower odds, making it potentially smarter for value-seeking bettors. This Sturm Graz II vs First Vienna prediction leans on these league-wide patterns—when 56.5% of matches deliver fireworks, betting against the trend feels unwise.
NerdyTips' AI projects a 1.8 home victory with Sturm Graz II leading 1-0 at halftime. This aligns neatly with both teams' tendencies: Vienna's occasional defensive lapses and Sturm's improving home form. But as those surprise results against Lustenau and Grazer AK proved, these teams specialize in defying expectations. One thing feels certain—with two attack-minded sides and league trends favoring goals, the Solarstadion crowd should witness an entertaining 90 minutes. Whether the AI's 1.8 crystal ball proves accurate may depend on which version of these unpredictable teams shows up.
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O2.5 -182
At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1821 280
Sturm Graz II is expected to win with odds of 280Over 2.5 -182
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -189
Both teams are expected to score1X&O1.5 124
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
2:1
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|
2
-
2
-
2
|
|
 Sturm II |
29-Apr-25
4:1
| First Vienna  |
| First Vienna |
04-Oct-24
2:4
| Sturm II |
| Sturm II |
24-Feb-24
1:1
| First Vienna |
| First Vienna |
06-Aug-23
2:2
| Sturm II |
| First Vienna |
12-May-23
1:0
| Sturm II |
| Sturm II |
09-Oct-22
0:1
| First Vienna |
Austria - 2. Liga| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 Ried |
30 | 59-23 | 65 |
| 2 |
 Admira Wacker |
30 | 48-31 | 59 |
| 3 |
 SV Kapfenberg |
30 | 53-49 | 54 |
| 4 |
 SKN ST. Polten |
30 | 56-34 | 53 |
| 5 |
 First Vienna |
30 | 49-44 | 49 |
| 6 |
 FC Liefering |
30 | 43-44 | 43 |
| 7 |
 SKU Amstetten |
30 | 49-40 | 42 |
| 8 |
 Sturm Graz II |
30 | 47-45 | 41 |
| 9 |
 Floridsdorfer |
30 | 32-34 | 39 |
| 10 |
 Schwarz-Weiß |
30 | 52-57 | 38 |
| 11 |
 Rapid Wien II |
30 | 49-57 | 37 |
| 12 |
 Austria Lusten |
30 | 24-26 | 37 |
| 13 |
 Stripfing |
30 | 39-43 | 34 |
| 14 |
 Voitsberg |
30 | 30-41 | 32 |
| 15 |
 SV Horn |
30 | 40-61 | 30 |
| 16 |
 SV Lafnitz |
30 | 40-81 | 16 |
